Originally Posted by hill60
Motorola and Sonyericsson's handset divisions might bite the dust but the companies will carry on with their other more profitable interests.
They might offload the handsets to someone else like Siemens did with Benq.
What is hard to understand is SonyEricsson's dumping of Symbian, it will be interesting to see if they pick it up again when the Symbian foundation launches.
Nokia is a huge player with a very strong customer base, they are very competitive and flood the market with multiple models across every facet of phone use, you don't see that so much in the States but in the rest of the world that's how it is.
In the store I work in we currently sell 16 different Nokia's which is roughly three quarters of our range.
Phone OS's are moving in the direction of the iPhone/Android/Linux mold.
That is, a "real" computer level OS.
Symbian, Win Mobile, the current Palm, and RIM phone OS's are just that, phone OS's.
They are now struggling to keep up with the far more sophisticated ones that Apple, Google, and Linux (distro's) offer.
Android is thought to have a decent chance of bcoming more than it is, with netbooks, Tv converter boxes, and even possibly low end PC's. OS X, of course, is already there, and Linux is getting there.
None of the other phone OS's have any possibility of moving beyond where they are now.
Symbian has been called "creaky", and it's more than that. You just can't keep adding features to something that was never intended to have those features in the first place because of the general design of the software.
A general purpose computer OS IS designed to be feature expanded in a broad way with upgrades to the system. But these phone OS's were never expected to need that. When they came out, no one could see the influence of something in the future such as the iPhone.
Now, their businesses are being impacted negatively by this. While right now, they are still somewhat competitive, as phones like the iPhone are 1.5 generation products, and Android is a gen. 1.0 product, while Linux phones are still getting off the ground. In another year, once the iPhone is fully into a gen 2 hardware spec, with the OS also, and Android also in gen 2, with Linux phones following, the old phone OS designs will be at a terrible disadvantage.
Even Palm is believed to be finally introducing its new Linux based OS this January.
As we've seen, Nokia isn't doing very well right now, esp. in the area of smartphones, where they have fallen significantly below 50% recently. Actually to about 43%. That's a drop from about 80% not that long ago.
They're expected to fall more.
Even RIM is beginning to lose ground in the business market, where their older style OS is being seen as less competitive.
I expect the smartphone marketplace to look very different a year from now.