Originally Posted by mdriftmeyer
Keep thinking it is rapidly diminishing. It's not, it's just being redirected to far more specific markets that aren't jimmy, bobby, susie and their digital camcorders.
More specific markets MEANS that it's diminishing.
If Jimmy, Bobby and Susie are not needing it for their digital camcorders as they did two years ago, and as a result, less computers come equipped with it, then it's diminishing.
We're seeing a retrenching of the market for FW. That's pretty clear.
When it first came out, I was one of its biggest supporters. But now, I've left it except for minor devices such as my flash card reader. My two four drive towers are sitting idle, just like my old SCSI towers before.
My pro level Canon camcorders still use FW, that's true, but newer models will either not, or will give us a choice. I fully expect to not be using tape the next generation.
Most people would rather see fewer different ports, and more of one kind. As performance rises, the differences will become less important.
FW 3,200 has a theoretical limit of 400 MB/s. USB 3 has 640 MB/s as a theoretical limit. If we get 90% of FW's limit, we will see 360 MB/s. If we get 70% of USB 3's , we get 448 MB/s.
No matter how we look at that, FW won't be looking down on USB this time. The other advantages are just needed for a small subset of users. With more devices using direct transfer to the computer, or flash cards for storage, FW's need will continue to diminish. Even in the pro audio industry, FW is used because of its higher transfer rates more than for any other reason. USB 3 will end that need. We know that USB can work well with video, so that's another nail in FW's coffin.
With a number of computer manufacturers beginning to offer E-SATA, and with the new version offering 750 MB/s transfer rates with power over the line, where exactly does this leave FW?
With a small, diminishing market.