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Originally Posted by
franksargent 
That this is such a poor analogy, I don't even know where to begin ...
1) Katrina happened almost four years ago. The 2nd strongest Atlantic hurricane ever (Rita had higher sustained wind speeds (offshore for both)). Plenty of hindsight versus the current ongoing in situ situation. We entered this recession in December 2007.
So 13+ months of the current recession happened under Dubya's watch. Plenty of blame to go around though.
2) Katrina did all it's damage in less than 24 hours, i. e. less than one day. Which moves slower, the world's economy or a tropical cyclone/typhoon/hurricane?
3) A better analogy would be the events that the Bush administration precipitated in the 7+ years following 9-11. Unfortunately, Obama has only served for 180
days.
Black Tuesday? That was in 1929, or ~80 years ago.
Here is the deal Frank, and I suspect you might even agree with me on this one.
You are right, Bush had the recession start on his watch and unemployment rose to 7% by the time he left office. It had gone from 4% to 6% during the election timeframe. Sure guys like me would point out the Democratic Congress during those final two years, and you wouldn't agree, but whatever in that regard.
The main point though would be that it would have been very hard for Bush to win a third term and his job approval dropped as the unemployment rate rose. The lack of fiscal control during his eight years as a definite negative as well and I'm sure that contributed to that declining job approval too.
Here is where guys like myself scratch our heads and see the logic train coming off the rails. Bush inherited a recession as well. The dot com collapse occurred right as he came into office. Bush had to fix it, and take responsibility to fix it . Obama just gets to pass blame.
Obama passed a stimulus package with the intent of limiting unemployment to 8%. Instead unemployment has risen to 9.4%. He simply declared that he couldn't have gotten it right because by his claim EVERYONE got it wrong.
Obama got it wrong.
Bush did implement tax cuts and has taken all the heat including heat from me for the fact the national deficit doubled during his term.
The scale of the Obama spending is so huge though that it is already raising government bond rates, it is crowding out the private borrowing that was supposed to be fixed by the bailouts, it is crushing the recovery before it can really get started. Adding that $787 billion is all on Obama. Go to a couple financial news aggregators for a week or two. Our president's policies are starting trade wars, they are causing people to stop buying bonds, it is making them demand a new reserve currency.
That has absolutely nothing to do with Bush.
Bush did not pass cap and trade legislation that notes that if industry flees in an attempt to circumvent it, the U.S. government will impose tariffs on the products coming in from the other country in violation of the WTO. It is Obama that did that much like how Canada filed a similar complaint related to the stimulus. This is on Obama.
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Originally Posted by
Mumbo Jumbo 
Your post is considerably wrong.
Based on rainbows and butterflies I guess.
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Your sources are clearly so partial as to be useless.
Ad-homing the source is allowed by the board rules, but doesn't improve the argument. Claiming bias doesn't address the articles claims anymore than claiming the National Enquirer is a yellow journalistic rag, made Edwards not cheat.
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You call me "hysterical" and suggest with a straight face that Europe is in danger of an Islamic take over.
Actually -ly makes it an adverb which in no form modifies you, the noun. There are several good reasons to fear Islamic influence in Europe. I listed a few of them and you haven't addressed them.
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This is utterly ludicrous and not considered worthy of a moment's debate outside of the most paranoid right wing fora. It is a notion so ridiculous, indeed, that it can only be made by someone who has never been to Europe. That's not an ad hom, to use your favorite phrase, but a factual observation.
I've been to Europe and I wouldn't engage in the fallacy of claiming that it made me right or made you wrong. It is an attempted personal attack and the very definition of Ad hominem circumstantial.
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Muslim people in Europe are outnumbered by more than 720,000,000 people I see from a moment's googling. Italy today is 94% Catholic. You haven't been to Italy. I say this because if you had, you wouldn't bother to argue what you're arguing. Even assuming that every Muslim in Europe is a radical, indeed that every child born to Muslim parents will follow their parents' religion and that the only immigrants into Europe are Muslim... actually, I can't even be bothered to do the math. It's a ridiculous suggestion made from ignorance and argued from fear.
I'm speaking several generations from now. We are talking about 75-100 years out. Again, while I did the little vacation tour bit, I would never claim that 14 days in Europe made me right or wrong.
What is right is the math you rail against. You toss out a lot of phrases that allow you to justify closing your mind and avoid all reasoning on this matter. In the timeframe I am discussing, the vast majority of those 720 million people won't be alive. For example Italy's birthrate is a little over 1.2 depending upon the source. That is a fact and so is the fact that it takes 2.1 as a birth rate to maintain a stable population. It is also a fact that Muslim birthrates are well above replacement rates.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Mumbo Jumbo 
Your post is considerably wrong. Your sources are clearly so partial as to be useless. You call me "hysterical" and suggest with a straight face that Europe is in danger of an Islamic take over. This is utterly ludicrous and not considered worthy of a moment's debate outside of the most paranoid right wing fora. It is a notion so ridiculous, indeed, that it can only be made by someone who has never been to Europe. That's not an ad hom, to use your favorite phrase, but a factual observation.
Muslim people in Europe are outnumbered by more than 720,000,000 people I see from a moment's googling. Italy today is 94% Catholic. You haven't been to Italy. I say this because if you had, you wouldn't bother to argue what you're arguing. Even assuming that every Muslim in Europe is a radical, indeed that every child born to Muslim parents will follow their parents' religion and that the only immigrants into Europe are Muslim... actually, I can't even be bothered to do the math. It's a ridiculous suggestion made from ignorance and argued from fear.
Don Melvin writes that, excluding Russia, Europe's Muslim population will double by 2020. He also says that in 2005, almost 85% of Europe's total population growth in 2005 was due to immigration in general.[17][19] Omer Taspinar predicts that the Muslim population of Europe will nearly double by 2015, while the non-Muslim will shrink by 3.5%, due to the higher Muslim birth rate.[20] Esther Pan predicts that, by 2050, one in five Europeans will likely be Muslim.[20][21]
Professor Philip Jenkins of Penn State University estimates that by 2100, Muslims will compose about 25% of Europe's population. But Jenkins admits this figure does not take account of the large birthrates amongst Europe's immigrant Christians.[22] Additionally, this estimation depends more on the supposed inevitability of the increase of Muslim population in the West and one person's research on the future of Europeans. Therefore, while Jenkins' estimation should be considered in the process of predicting what it would be like to live in the West in the year 2100, it should also be raising doubts about the entire European population.
Other analysts are skeptical about the given forecast and the accuracy of the claimed Muslim population growth, since sharp decrease in Muslim fertility rates[23] and the limiting of immigrants coming in to Europe, which will lead to Muslim population increasing slowly in the coming years to eventually stagnation and decline. Others point to overestimated number and exaggeration of the Muslim growth rate.[24]
Tell me that that Muslims can be 20-25% of the population and still have no political clout or control. Sure things can change and everyone is speculating about the future, but you can't conjure human beings out of the air. When you take the numbers we have now and project the trends forward, that is where we arrive. If you think something will alter the trends, present that information instead of fixating about how many days you think I've spent in Italy.