Originally Posted by Tulkas
I don't understand why anyone would expect the 3GS launch to hurt pre sales in any substantial way. The pre appeals to certain demographics, some of why will not overlap with 3GS. One demographic are those that have no intention of buying an iPhone, whether because it doesn't meet their needs, they have a distain for Apple or they just don't want it. Another group are those that are already on Sprint and don't want to switch to get a useable phone. Yet another group might be wannabe technophiles that want to get the newest gadget on the block and the 3GS just seems to pedestrian for their tastes now. I am not saying these groups encompass every pre buyer, but they will cover a sizable number of them. The 3GS launch would have no impact whatsoever on these sales. Combine this with the fact that there just is nowhere near the demand for the pre that there was/is for the iPhone and it makes it a silly call to say it is a surprise that the 3GS launch didn't hurt pre sales.
The pre hasn't launched here yet, but I know of only one person with any intention of even considering a purchase. His comment was "finally, a useable smart phone that can shut up the iPhone fanboies". Alternatively, when the iPhone 3G was announced to be coming to Canada last year, there were dozens I knew that wanted to check them out. A few co-workers bought them at launch and that number has at least tripled in the year since. I now see more iPhones at work than Blackberries (which is ironic, given the number of RIM employees are in this building). The pre seems to appeal to a different market segment than the iPhone. While it is getting lots of press, it just doesn't seem to have gained any real traction. Even in the US, it seems like mainly the 'anything but iPhone' crowd, Sprint customers and those that will buy anything shiny and new.
Anyway, the pre seems very nice. If the iPhone didn't meet my needs, I would definitely consider it. That WebOS sure seems shiny.
When you consider the puny sales of the Pre, even though it's being built up as being great, you can understand that people are not regarding it as a viable option.
It seems that the Pre's sales are almost all from current Sprint customers. That's not what Sprint hoped for, or needs.
Why would that be so?
We have Verizon, considered by many to be the best network, yet, many Verizon customers have been moving to AT&T for the iPhone. Sprint and AT&T are about the same, but many Sprint customers are leaving to go to AT&T as well, for the iPhone. Sprint is losing 4 million customers a yeardevastating!
So there are undoubtedly more than a few customers who would be considering the Pre. That makes sense. But they would want to wait just one more week to see what Apple had coming. That makes sense as well. A few of those customers will buy the Pre, but most won't.
Both of these phones are contending for the same customer base. The BB fits in here as well of course.
I hope that Palm will be successful with the Pre, WebOS, and whatever newer phones they may come out with.
But let's not pretend that in this increasingly crowded field, that customers aren't going to look at all contenders. As the iPhone is the preeminent smartphone environment, it will be the first to be considered for many people. The Pre, being new, and from a company that's been having major problems, will have to play catch-up. There will be more skepticism there.
So many of people will wait for the iPhone, before they make a decision about the Pre. Some will then choose the Pre, but many more will choose the iPhone.
We're seeing that happen.
An article about the Pre's sales.http://www.cdfreaks.com/news/16105-P...Pre-sales.html