Overseas suppliers indicate Apple sales up 87% in May

Posted:
in AAPL Investors edited January 2014
Tracking of Apple's component purchases from the overseas supply chain shows the company with an 87 percent year-over-year increase in the month of May.



Analyst Brian White with Ticonderoga Securities issued the latest update for his "Apple Barometer" to investors on Thursday. The barometer tracks trends in Apple's Taiwan supply chain, representing a broad group of suppliers with a high concentration of sales generated from Apple.



The latest numbers for the month of May show Apple tracking up 87 percent year-over-year. While the number is particularly strong, it is less than the 100 percent year over year increase the barometer found for the month of April.



The estimate shows Apple's sales for May up 10 percent month-over-month, a number well above the average 2.2 percent month-over-month increase the company has traditionally seen over the last six years.



"Although we are cognizant that share shifts occur in the Apple supply chain, inventory adjustments occur and builds occur ahead of demand, we believe the overall direction versus historical performance provides us with further confidence in strong trends at Apple," White wrote.



White's barometer shows Apple on track to post better-than-average sequential growth in the second quarter of 2011. In fact, if Apple delivers just its average performance in June of a 0.8 percent increase month over month, he estimates sales will rise by 18 percent quarter-over-quarter, above the six-year average June quarter increase of 15 percent.



"Keep in mind that Apple's outlook for the June quarter called for a sequential sales decline of 7%, much weaker than the eight-year average increase of 5%," he wrote. "By comparison, we are estimating a 1.8% sequential sales uptick for Apple in the June quarter."



Apple's third quarter of the company's fiscal 2011 ends this month. The iPhone maker will report its earnings from the current quarter in July. In the same frame last year, Apple saw a 77 percent year-over-year increase in profits, driven by then-record sales of 3.47 million Macs.



Earlier this month, White reported that Apple is expected to have strong sales of the iPhone 4 in June, despite the fact that Apple did not introduce a new model at this year's Worldwide Developers Conference. He said sources in the overseas supply chain have indicated that the release of the white iPhone 4 has helped Apple keep on pace to break even with iPhone sales from the previous quarter.

Comments

  • Reply 1 of 13
    originalgoriginalg Posts: 383member
    "White's barometer shows Appel on track"



    Speeling and gremmer chekcer plaese!
  • Reply 2 of 13
    vinitaboyvinitaboy Posts: 156member
    Oh, Gawd, say NOT! This kind of news will drive AAPL right into the toilet!
  • Reply 3 of 13
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by VinitaBoy View Post


    Oh, Gawd, say NOT! This kind of news will drive AAPL right into the toilet!



    Absolutely. Imagine - only 87% year over year growth instead of 100%. The horrors!!!!
  • Reply 4 of 13
    smiles77smiles77 Posts: 668member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by AppleInsider View Post


    The latest numbers for the month of May show Apple tracking up 87 percent year-over-year. While the number is particularly strong, it is less than the 100 percent year over year increase the barometer found for the month of April.



    Too bad. I guess they should cut some of their products since clearly 87% YOY increase is not a good thing. \
  • Reply 5 of 13
    sockrolidsockrolid Posts: 2,789member
    A number of factors likely contributed to the later release of iPhone 4S / 5 this year. Let's see how many I can remember: Verizon iPhone 4 release, white iPhone 4 release, earthquake/tsunami affecting Japanese suppliers, Lion + iOS 5 + iCloud announcements together at WWDC...



    This year there were almost too many software and services to announce at WWDC. "One more thing" would have been too much. Steve and Apple want everything announced at keynotes to stay in the spotlight for weeks. To let the message sink in. And 3 big things is about all that they can fit on their home page.



    Other factors are iPhone 4's continuing popularity, and even iPhone 3GS' relatively good sales numbers. Good enough to out-sell any individual Android phone on the market in CY Q1. There isn't any financial pressure to release this year's iPhone.
  • Reply 6 of 13
    ssls6ssls6 Posts: 49member
    Maybe this is really going on, stop people from skipping models with yearly releases.
  • Reply 7 of 13
    eazywayeazyway Posts: 20member
    for the last ten quarters Apple has shown consecutive YOY revenue increases of

    6,9,12,25,32,49,61,71,and 83 %



    So an 87% increase is not out of line. That would produce revenue of just over $28 B. Which would totally blow the analysts out of the water.
  • Reply 8 of 13
    SpamSandwichSpamSandwich Posts: 33,407member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post


    Absolutely. Imagine - only 87% year over year growth instead of 100%. The horrors!!!!



    IT'S THE END OF APPLE AS WE KNOW IT!
  • Reply 9 of 13
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by SpamSandwich View Post


    IT'S THE END OF APPLE AS WE KNOW IT!



    Cue Michael Dell...
  • Reply 10 of 13
    jdwjdw Posts: 1,334member
    Yeah, yeah, yeah. And all the while, AAPL has been an underperformed for the last several months. What gives with the stock? It should be at $400/share right now, especially in light of all the good financial news we've been hearing, and the good news out of WWDC. It makes no sense whatsoever.
  • Reply 11 of 13
    mactelmactel Posts: 1,275member
    So will Apple sell 5 million Macs this quarter? I suppose we'll find out come June for sure.



    My company's execs love the Macbook Air a lot. So much so that they've forced out IT Dept to install Exchange 2010 to support email on the Macs. Before that the IT Dept couldn't get Exchange 2010 in the door. Amazing what the Mac will do for the Windows folks.



    I can only imagine that the rest of Corp America is looking away from Microsoft as well since Microsoft doesn't have an elegant tablet nor smart phone OS. Apple is the only one that can take Corp America for mobile to the office desk without skipping a heart beat.



    We'll see if Windows 8 catches Microsoft up on the client side come next year.
  • Reply 12 of 13
    brucepbrucep Posts: 2,823member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by SpamSandwich View Post


    IT'S THE END OF APPLE AS WE KNOW IT!







    the clouds are darkening apple is doomed

    its over

    turn out the light be fore you go





    9
  • Reply 13 of 13
    SpamSandwichSpamSandwich Posts: 33,407member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by JDW View Post


    Yeah, yeah, yeah. And all the while, AAPL has been an underperformed for the last several months. What gives with the stock? It should be at $400/share right now, especially in light of all the good financial news we've been hearing, and the good news out of WWDC. It makes no sense whatsoever.



    Global turmoil, even though it has nothing to do with Apple directly, is part of the issue. Traders short AAPL to capitalize on the overall market decline... and yes, Apple is one of a few companies that should be shooting through the roof but are punished by stock manipulators.
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