Rumor: Online battery test log points to possible 13-inch Retina Display MacBook Pro

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  • Reply 41 of 64
    johndoe98johndoe98 Posts: 278member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by macxpress View Post


     


    That is true, however there's also no room for a discrete graphics chip in the 13" MBP. I don't know if you've ever seen the logic board of a 13" MBP, but there is absolutely no room for another chip on it. 



     


    Right, which of course could easily be fixed by throwing out the optical drive. That might even make room for a second fan.

  • Reply 42 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    jragosta wrote: »
    Amazing. One of the nicest products Apple has released in years and in your view it's a prototype just because of glued batteries and soldered RAM? In case you hadn't noticed, they've used soldered RAM on the MBA for years. And glued batteries are not that common. Both of those are there to save space and weight - which they do quite well.

    Well, I hope it is a prototype. Otherwise, as others have pointed out, it is not a "pro" machine, it is a disposable computer. Prosumer at most. They can use soldered RAM on the Air, who would care to update RAM on an Air? But not on the Pro line. In the same vein, will they unveil a new Mac Pro with soldered RAM????
    As for 'Apple couldn't have sold out if they had been ramping up for months', you don't have any idea what you're talking about. Each iteration of iPad and iPhone sells out within days even though they ramp up for months before release.
    Frankly, you don't have any idea what you're talking about.

    Do you really expect *that* much people to order a $2,000 toy? Of course, that’s wild guessing, but for the delay to slip so quickly, I would bet there was no more than a few thousands in stock. AFAIK, there is not even one available to be picked up in an Apple store. Did you ever witness that before? I remember Jobs presenting new stuff and concluding by "hits the stores tomorrow". Not this time.
  • Reply 43 of 64
    tallest skiltallest skil Posts: 43,388member
    eauvive wrote: »
    Well, I hope it is a prototype.

    Well, you're completely wrong…
    Do you really expect *that* much people to order a $2,000 toy?

    Do you really expect that many people not to see through your trolling?
  • Reply 44 of 64
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    eauvive wrote: »
    Do you really expect *that* much people to order a $2,000 toy? Of course, that’s wild guessing, but for the delay to slip so quickly, I would bet there was no more than a few thousands in stock. AFAIK, there is not even one available to be picked up in an Apple store. Did you ever witness that before? I remember Jobs presenting new stuff and concluding by "hits the stores tomorrow". Not this time.

    Let's see:
    - Reviews are universally very positive.
    - Lots of people report having ordered the Retina MBPs
    - Availability is slipping
    - The price and features are better in most respects than the previous MBPs, but the price is considerably lower

    OTOH, we have some mindless troll claiming that they aren't selling well.

    Hmmmmm, what to believe? /s

    Oh, and btw, it is not uncommon for new products to be severely constrained after launch. The iPads were not available for walk-ins for months in some cases. And, of course, you could consider the Wii which sold by the millions - yet no one had them in stock for YEARS.
  • Reply 45 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    Well, you're completely wrong…
    Do you really expect *that* much people to order a $2,000 toy?
    Do you really expect that many people not to see through your trolling?

    No trolling is meant, I just express my opinions based on previous and current facts. You can disagree of course, and I may be wrong… we’ll see with the next iteration in a few months.
  • Reply 46 of 64
    briancpabriancpa Posts: 61member
    If anyone could take an educated guess, how many months might I need to wait for a 13" Retina?
  • Reply 47 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    jragosta wrote: »
    Let's see:
    - Reviews are universally very positive.
    - Lots of people report having ordered the Retina MBPs
    - Availability is slipping
    - The price and features are better in most respects than the previous MBPs, but the price is considerably lower
    OTOH, we have some mindless troll claiming that they aren't selling well.
    Hmmmmm, what to believe? /s
    Oh, and btw, it is not uncommon for new products to be severely constrained after launch. The iPads were not available for walk-ins for months in some cases. And, of course, you could consider the Wii which sold by the millions - yet no one had them in stock for YEARS.

    Well, I agree reviews are positive and features are better. But price point is still high, higher than the conventional 15" – well, let’s not argue about this. What puzzles me, is that the production of this machine reportedly begun last April, two months ago. How many pieces you expect to be in stock after two months of continuous production, knowing that all stock goes to online order and none to the stores?

    Also, who would be ordering a new computer hours after it has been hastily announced, without even having a chance to try it a few minutes to make up his/her own mind? Not professional users I guess – at least, I would not.

    An other explanation would be a limited availability of the 15" retina LCD.

    iPad is another story. It’s four time less pricey. It appeals to everybody.
  • Reply 48 of 64
    nvidia2008nvidia2008 Posts: 9,262member


    Sweet. Though I like the MacBook Air 13". It's almost like a samurai blade in design.

  • Reply 49 of 64

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by macxpress View Post


     


    Were not talking about desktops and external displays here, were talking about laptops. In Apple's laptop lineup, there's no room for a 17" model anymore. It doesn't fit what they want to do in their notebook lineup. I honestly don't remember Apple constantly saying the 17" is their flagship notebook. Maybe they said it once, but I can't recall them saying it time after time after time. 


     


    I don't think Apple is thinking about the creative content people 100% of the time anymore. Their market is changing, and not for the better as a creative professional. Apple doesn't have to rely on creative customers anymore. They have more regular everyday people buying them than "creative professionals". If I walk into a creative content company I bet I'd see more 27" iMacs and Macs with external displays than anything else. They're #1 focus for laptops isn't creative professional anymore.


     


    They're not abandoning the creative industry. If anything, they're making it better. I bet if you go into an Apple Store and use a 15" Retina MBP you'd drool all over it, especially once FCP, Photoshop, Lightroom, Aperture, etc are fully retina compatible. 


     


     It makes absolutely no sense at all to drop it now and release a new one down the road. They'd just keep the current one there, update it to what the regular 15" MBP now has until a retina one came out. You can count on your hand (1 hand) the amount of times a product has been drop out of the store and then brought back with something new. 



     


    You are so passionately stubborn. All I am saying is that I can see why Apple would not want a $2,400 non-retina 17" in the lineup with a less expensive 15" Solid State Retina out-performing it.  They wouldn't want to sell a 17" with less pixels alongside a 15". They would wait until the 17 Retina is finished and tag on the $500 premium.


     


    In a post-production studio, you will see 17" MBPs in the field and studios, Mac Pros in the workstations and one sole iMac on the receptionist's desk. 


     


    I use a 17 for AutoCAD, 3dsMax and Rhino. I don't want smaller drawing windows with smaller floating palettes, no matter how resolved they are. I want a larger screen that I can travel with. I need to be able to create/present out of town and don't want to carry-on a cinema display. There are a lot of people like me in Design, Advertising, Film, Photography... and we have families that we obsessively buy Apple products for. Creative professionals are a HUGE part of Apple's bottom line and have always been their main champions. Notice how quickly Tim Cook fired off that e-mail assuring that MacPros are not being abandoned.


     


    The main rub against the 17" has always been the weight, not the size of the screen. A 17" Retina would solve that.

  • Reply 50 of 64
    tallest skiltallest skil Posts: 43,388member
    eauvive wrote: »
    …based on previous and current facts.

    It's a fact that it's neither a toy nor a prototype.
  • Reply 51 of 64
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    eauvive wrote: »
    Well, I agree reviews are positive and features are better. But price point is still high, higher than the conventional 15" – well, let’s not argue about this.

    Of course you don't want to argue - because you're wrong.

    Compare the price of a 15" MBP with 256 or 512 GB SSD a week ago to the price of the new Retina MBP. The price has dropped - and you're getting a vastly better display and big CPU and GPU improvements. How is that expensive?

    It's not for everyone, but for people who want a high quality Mac laptop, they now have two options:
    MBP with retina display which is lower than the old MBP price comparably equipped
    or
    Old MBP which is significantly lower than the old price.

    Either way, the price is lower.
    eauvive wrote: »
    What puzzles me, is that the production of this machine reportedly begun last April, two months ago. How many pieces you expect to be in stock after two months of continuous production, knowing that all stock goes to online order and none to the stores?

    I would suggest that you spend some time in a manufacturing operation to learn how the real world works. You don't wave a magic wand and instantly get full production. Furthermore, Apple couldn't shut down the production lines of existing laptops to start stockpiling the new ones. They are limited to using available excess capacity.

    I don't remember actual sales, but let's say that Apple sells 1 M MBP laptops per quarter. That's just over 300,000 per month. If their production line is at 80% of capacity, they could theoretically make about 75,000 units per month, but you can never get to 100%, so realistically, they have excess capacity of 40,000 units that they could make of the new model (plus any expansion in capacity, but there's no way to estimate that). Furthermore, it takes time to ramp up a new machine. There's a massive learning curve not only in your production, but from your component suppliers. I doubt if Intel was able to ship all the CPUs Apple wanted in April, for example. Then there are added quality checks - and you intentionally start up slowly so you can work out bugs in the process.

    Realistically, if Apple had 100,000 units available at launch, it would be impressive. It's not hard to imagine that many being sold quickly.
    eauvive wrote: »
    Also, who would be ordering a new computer hours after it has been hastily announced, without even having a chance to try it a few minutes to make up his/her own mind? Not professional users I guess – at least, I would not.

    Good thing not everyone lets you do their purchasing for them. Read this forum - a number of people report that they've already ordered one.
    eauvive wrote: »
    An other explanation would be a limited availability of the 15" retina LCD.
    iPad is another story. It’s four time less pricey. It appeals to everybody.

    iPad is 1/4 the price -but the volume is many times higher. The same principles apply.
  • Reply 52 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    It's a fact that it's neither a toy nor a prototype.

    It’s definitely not a toy; that was a metaphor, une façon de parler, eine Redewendung, un modo di dire. As for the prototype, let’s see what comes out next months…
    Peace! ;)
  • Reply 53 of 64
    tallest skiltallest skil Posts: 43,388member
    eauvive wrote: »
    It’s definitely not a toy; that was a metaphor, une façon de parler, eine Redewendung, un modo di dire.

    Yeah, a metaphor. Just like when people said the iPad was a toy, that was certainly a metaphor. :broken_rolleyes_emoticon.gif:
  • Reply 54 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    jragosta wrote: »
    Realistically, if Apple had 100,000 units available at launch, it would be impressive. It's not hard to imagine that many being sold quickly.

    That’s where we disagree. I just don’t imagine 100,000 people rushing on the Apple store just a few minutes after WWDC announcement to order a $2,000 machine without further information than sparse specs. That said, you’re right: it’s not because I can’t imagine it that it has not happened!
    Good thing not everyone lets you do their purchasing for them. Read this forum - a number of people report that they've already ordered one.
    Well, if I was to order one (and I need to replace my 2008 MacBook which is growing old), I would at least wait for the first benchmarks to come out, and then I'd go to a store to be able to see, touch and use one. Do you really buy domestic appliances the same way?

    What do you think is the ratio between daily production of this MacBook and iPads?
  • Reply 55 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    Yeah, a metaphor. Just like when people said the iPad was a toy, that was certainly a metaphor. :broken_rolleyes_emoticon.gif:

    C’mon, don’t be cranky! I, too, have queued up six hours to get an iPhone 4 the day it was released at (at that time) Paris single App Store ;)
  • Reply 56 of 64
    macxpressmacxpress Posts: 5,808member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by johndoe98 View Post


     


    Right, which of course could easily be fixed by throwing out the optical drive. That might even make room for a second fan.



     


    You're right...that would make total sense to me! 

  • Reply 57 of 64
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    eauvive wrote: »
    That’s where we disagree. I just don’t imagine 100,000 people rushing on the Apple store just a few minutes after WWDC announcement to order a $2,000 machine without further information than sparse specs. That said, you’re right: it’s not because I can’t imagine it that it has not happened!

    That's called a circular argument. You're assuming it hasn't happened because you're assuming that it hasn't happened. It's also an argument from ignorance. You don't know that they haven't had lots of people ordering, so you can't say that they didn't.

    The fact is that the lead time started increasing within a day of the release. Some significant number were obviously sold. Your implication that no one was buying them is clearly false.
    eauvive wrote: »
    Well, if I was to order one (and I need to replace my 2008 MacBook which is growing old), I would at least wait for the first benchmarks to come out, and then I'd go to a store to be able to see, touch and use one. Do you really buy domestic appliances the same way?

    So you wouldn't do so. Big deal. Some people did. Read this and other forums. Open your eyes. Furthermore, the first benchmarks have already appeared.

    And, yes, I buy domestic appliances that way all the time.
    eauvive wrote: »
    What do you think is the ratio between daily production of this MacBook and iPads?

    Apple sells about 2-3 M laptops quarter (estimated). iPad is more like 15 M units per quarter. So, clearly, there are a lot more iPads sold. But the same principles apply.
  • Reply 58 of 64
    nhtnht Posts: 4,522member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by macxpress View Post


     


    You're right...that would make total sense to me! 



     


    Yah, a 13" MBP Retina with GPU would be killer.  August hopefully but I won't be upgrading my laptop till next year.

  • Reply 59 of 64
    eauviveeauvive Posts: 237member
    jragosta wrote: »
    The fact is that the lead time started increasing within a day of the release. Some significant number were obviously sold. Your implication that no one was buying them is clearly false.

    I wasn’t clear or you misunderstood me. I wasn’t trying to prove out that it didn’t sell; I was implying there were far less units available than a two months continuous production, even during ramp up, would warrant. As if production had started only very recently.
    Apple sells about 2-3 M laptops quarter (estimated). iPad is more like 15 M units per quarter. So, clearly, there are a lot more iPads sold. But the same principles apply.

    You assumed 1 M MBP each quarter in your previous message. Admittedly, 13" is more popular than 15". So what represents the 15" MBP in that grand total? 20, 25 %?
  • Reply 60 of 64
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    eauvive wrote: »
    I wasn’t clear or you misunderstood me. I wasn’t trying to prove out that it didn’t sell; I was implying there were far less units available than a two months continuous production, even during ramp up, would warrant. As if production had started only very recently.

    And I already explained why you don't go from zero to full production overnight. I'd suggest you read the response rather than simply repeating the same unsubstantiated fallacy.
    eauvive wrote: »
    You assumed 1 M MBP each quarter in your previous message. Admittedly, 13" is more popular than 15". So what represents the 15" MBP in that grand total? 20, 25 %?

    The first time, I was giving the number of MBPs per quarter and estimated about 1 M. The second time, you asked about total Apple laptop sales - which includes the MBA. The run rate on the MBA is 1.6 M per quarter.

    The only breakdown I've seen says 50% 13", 47% 15" and 3% 17". None of which changes anything - you don't have any evidence to back your claims.

    Furthermore, it is not uncommon for any computer (including Macs) to be in short supply shortly after launch. It was true going back to the IIsi and Iici and was certainly true of a lot of PowerMac and iMac models as well as some previous laptops. You just can't ramp up instantly.
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