PC makers struggle as Apple locks up metal chassis supply

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Comments

  • Reply 41 of 77
    carthusiacarthusia Posts: 583member


    When you heard Steve talk, it was often about leaving the competition so far behind that they could not catch up. Apple, operationally, is intensely focused on that in terms of process and the means by which those objectives benefit from massive piles of cash and profit. Buffett mentioned that Steve always only wanted the cash


    http://www.cnbc.com/id/46540227/Warren_Buffett_Steve_Jobs_Didn_t_Take_My_Advice_to_Buy_Back_Apple_Stock-this is mainly why.


     


    Now, the also-rans are jumping on the CNC train and won't be able to effectively enter that supply chain for at least three years (if at all). Apple already bringing on line the next step in its chassis production process. I recall a story about a Liquidmetal exec (or former exec or engineer) commenting on how Apple would not be ready to use that material and process on a massive scale for at least 3-5 years. That sounds about right to me. They have been investing in and refining this new process since, what, 2010? And Apple recently renewed their exclusive CE license for another 2 years. By 2015 their FOUR YEAR investment will allow them to leave Wintel OEMs that many years behind. Even if an exclusive licensing agreement fails to be renewed in a couple years, they'll already hold patents for using Liquidmetal in extremely efficient, cost-effective, and proprietary fabrication processes. 

  • Reply 42 of 77
    mstonemstone Posts: 11,510member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post





    Of course it's more efficient. So what?

    Apple has gone to the trouble to build a supply chain that's efficient and its competitors have not. Why is it unfair for Apple to not let them piggy back on the supply chain that it has built? The competitors are free to go out and buy or rent a facility and 50 CNC machines and put them under the same roof. It's not Apple's fault that they're unable or unwilling to do so.


    I never said it was unfair. I think it is absolutely brilliant. The other producers can copy Apple's look and style, but they can't copy the efficiency and thus the price. The reason is the other companies don't have the commitment. You can't dip a toe in the unibody water and expect to compete with Apple who is all in and doubled down on their unibody assembly line.

  • Reply 43 of 77
    inklinginkling Posts: 772member


    I wish this obsession with slim would pass. I carry my laptop in bags that are so thick, even another inch in thickness hardly matters. What I'd really like to see is are 11" and 13" MacBook Airs with iPad-like battery lives, perhaps even 12-15 hours.

  • Reply 44 of 77
    sflocalsflocal Posts: 6,093member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post





    That's absolutely true.

    But it's not the machines or machine shops that are lacking. Rather, what is lacking is the foresight and effort from Apple's competitors to actually build a supply chain.

    Instead of building a supply chain like Apple did, they want to hop onboard the supply chain that Apple already built - and whine when they can't do so. Too bad.




    I was going to counteract what you were saying JR, but you've redeemed yourself with this post.  :)



    When the unibody chassis came out, everyone ridiculed it.  The iHating trolls and whiners are unusually absent on this subject after they crucified Apple for wanting to waste money and aluminum on carving out cases from a block of metal.  As usual, they were proven wrong on an epic level and the competitors are now complaining of constraints?? Screw them.  Apple bought the machines for their suppliers and it now seems that the other players want to just hitch a ride on everything that Apple built for their own stuff?  Whiners to the max.



    Sure, there are countless of smaller shops that can make them, the problem I think is that there are no shops really where one can walk in and say "Build me 10 million chassis' in three months".  That's the problem.  Not Apple's problem thankfully, because they were looking years down the road instead of the quarter-to-quarter like everyone else.



    Sucks to be them.  They only have themselves to blame.

  • Reply 45 of 77
    solipsismxsolipsismx Posts: 19,566member
    inkling wrote: »
    I wish this obsession with slim would pass. I carry my laptop in bags that are so thick, even another inch in thickness hardly matters. What I'd really like to see is are 11" and 13" MacBook Airs with iPad-like battery lives, perhaps even 12-15 hours.

    I, too, would like a longer lasting battery an I'm willing to sacrifice some CPU and GPU capacity, and storage capacity for it but there is a limit. I think Apple does a good job here even if they are thinner than I would personally prefer.

    Sure, bags have to bigger than the things we carry within them until such time as we see TARDIS Inside stickers on our cases. Add in the needed cushioning for protection and it gets even thicker and heavier but this woud be even more dramatic with a larger and heavier machine.

    That said, my computer bags are considerably smaller and lighter than they use to be. Mostly from a reduction size and weight but Apple has furthered this with sturdier chassis, integrated components and solid state components that are allowing our bags to become less bulky.
  • Reply 46 of 77
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    inkling wrote: »
    I wish this obsession with slim would pass. I carry my laptop in bags that are so thick, even another inch in thickness hardly matters. What I'd really like to see is are 11" and 13" MacBook Airs with iPad-like battery lives, perhaps even 12-15 hours.

    I completely disagree. I never have a time when the MBA's battery life (5-7 hours) would be a limitation. Even on a flight to Europe, by the time you get settled and have something to eat, the battery will get you the whole way there. I travel over 100,000 miles per year and avery inch or pound I can save in my carry on bag is appreciated.

    Considering that the fastest growing segment in laptops is the ultra book/MBA segment, lots of people seem to agree with me. And for those who don't, you can still get an MBP with better battery life. If that's not good enough, you can presumably get an external battery (at least you could on previous MacBooks, so I assume you can do it now, as well).
  • Reply 47 of 77
    mstonemstone Posts: 11,510member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post





     I travel over 100,000 miles per year and avery inch or pound I can save in my carry on bag is appreciated.


    I was doing fine in the weight department until the iPad came out. I needed the MBP but wanted to take the iPad as well so I ended up lugging even more weight.

  • Reply 48 of 77
    ssquirrelssquirrel Posts: 1,196member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post





    And even that wouldn't be necessary - there are hundreds of thousands of machine shops in the US and many thousands in China, as well. It would only take a few phone calls to find shops capable of making the cases.


     


    Or you know, 60,000


     


    http://www.census.gov/econ/industry/hierarchy/i332710.htm


     


    Of course, of those 60,000, how many of them have the right kind of machines or the capacity to do what Apple wants done?

  • Reply 49 of 77
    solipsismxsolipsismx Posts: 19,566member
    jragosta wrote: »
    Considering that the fastest growing segment in laptops is the ultra book/MBA segment, lots of people seem to agree with me.

    That's an erroneous assumption. Just because something is popular does not in any way make it perfect or ideal, it just means it's perceived as a better for that other products.

    Most notebooks sold are cheap as notebooks that font come close to any battery like of a Mac notebook. By your logic one could have said less than a decade ago that people don't want notebooks because desktops are selling just fine.

    I want more battery life and trust Apple to supply it when it's feasible. I expect next year's iPad to likely increase by at least 10%
  • Reply 50 of 77

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Constable Odo View Post


    I'm sure on the surface, the Galaxy S III appears to be a solid product, but it appears that Samsung is cutting corners on some components.



    Especially the fire suppression system!

  • Reply 51 of 77
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    I hope people read your post and grasp what you are saying. A few points though, the machines aren't "prototyping" CNC machines, these are full bore production machines.
    mabhatter wrote: »
    Gotta love horribly biased articles.
    Apple isn't locking anything up. When Apple persued Unibody 4 years ago they had to go out and buy "aircraft quality" prototyping CNC machines FOR their suppliers to operate. These are $250k a pop, and Apple is competing with prototype engineering firms al over the WORLD for these.
    Actually the CNC machine itself can be fairly cheap it is the building of the entire production line that ups the price. Of course not seeing the "line" it is hard to nail down a figure but full bore production lines can easily run into millions if you factor in development costs.
    Other companies were more than able to buy their own.. Of course Apple has new machines already PAID FOR 2-3 years out.
    This is what people on this forum don't understand, CNC equipment is readily available. Setting up a production line does take some time and effort though.
    Apple stuck its neck WAY out on these machines while everybody else was laughing at them. Even if the other manufacturers did have the machines right now, Apple still has a 4-year head start on making them profitable. Apple put a considerable amount of its own upfront money into Foxconn for these machines. They are not "market resources" they are APPLE'S resources they paid for FIRST.
    it amazes me that people read the various article about Apple investments with their contractors and can't grasp the idea that Apple owns the hardware the products are built on. They aren't the worlds production lines they are Apples.
    Apple isn't using unfair tactics... Other than planning 3 years ahead to buy stuff nobody thought of yet. They are THAT far ahead of everybody else!

    It isn't unfair at all and is a bit like expecting GM to build motors for Ford. The fact that PC companies can't afford to buy production lines like this is really a comment on the state of the PC industry. By the way, while the machines are relatively cheap, setting up the production line does take considerable time and effort. So while Apple may have been doing Unibody for 4 years now, actual R&D on the line probably started 6 years ago.

    This is the other thing with Unibody, it requires an engineering effort that many PC builders simply don't have. There was a rumor at one time that Apple had (maybe still has) a line set up in California where these R&D took place to establish the production line. This wouldn't surprise me one bit as I've seen companies do similar things with development work here in the US.
  • Reply 52 of 77
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    solipsismx wrote: »
    That's an erroneous assumption. Just because something is popular does not in any way make it perfect or ideal, it just means it's perceived as a better for that other products.

    Sorry, I never made any such assumption. Where did I say it was perfect or ideal? I simply stated that it was relatively popular because it was selling well. That is most certainly a warranted conclusion.

    The fact is that you have a choice of laptops from Apple - the MBA or the MBP (actually two versions of the MBP). Complaining that the MBA is too thin and light is foolish. That's what it's designed for. If you don't want thin and light, then buy one of the MBPs.

    Essentially, complaining that the MBA is too thin and light is like complaining that the GMC Sierra 1500 doesn't have enough hauling capacity. That's what the 2500 and 3500 are for.
  • Reply 53 of 77
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    You just demonstrated an inability to read for content!!!!

    Apple has locked nothing up, they own their production lines. Letting a PC manufacture use these lines would amount to the same thing as Maytag allowing GE to build washing machines with their equipment.

    Nothing is locked up here at all, all that is required is for the PC manufactures to spend some cash to develop like processes. The fact that many builders can't, due to the economic status of the PC industry, is an indication of the poor state of the PC industry not a sign that Apple has things locked up.

    I'd expect that getting line one up cost Apple several million dollars. This is most likely why Intel had to set up a cash fund to even get PC manufactures to think about ultra Books. It isn't the actual machinery that is the problem but rather the development effort to get everything working productively. It is a huge hurdle and the PC manufactures most likely don't have the ability to govern a development effort that might take two years or more.
    alandail wrote: »
    You said "apple isn't locking anything up" then proceeded to explain just how they have managed to lock things up by effectively controlling a large percentage of the world's supply for the necessary equipment.  Not just now, but into the future.
  • Reply 54 of 77
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    Hopefully with the coming election Eric Holder will find himself in jail for some of the things they tried while in power.
    I am waiting for someone to take Apple to court over this..... or Eric Holder's DoJ to be all over this soon enough...
  • Reply 55 of 77
    jragostajragosta Posts: 10,473member
    ssquirrel wrote: »
    Or you know, 60,000

    http://www.census.gov/econ/industry/hierarchy/i332710.htm

    Of course, of those 60,000, how many of them have the right kind of machines or the capacity to do what Apple wants done?

    Those numbers are underestimated. Look at the methodology:
    http://www.census.gov/econ/census07/www/methodology/sources_of_the_data.html

    Unless you're doing business with the government, small firms would be vastly underrepresented.

    In any event, the point is made - there are tens of thousands of machine shops in the US alone. Based on my experience with machine shops, I would venture that at least 10% could handle Apple's case - and probably a lot more than that. So there are many thousands of places that could do it. Or, the competitors could simply choose one or two and help them to improve their capabilities as Apple did.
  • Reply 56 of 77
    aeleggaelegg Posts: 99member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by TheOtherGeoff View Post


    my cracked TI Powerbooks and White Macbooks told me it was an investment in the weakest aspect of a Mac Laptop.  Either the Hinges go or the case cracks.


    College backpacks in Minnesota and Colorado are brutal test labs for laptop cases (-20F and tossed into a study booth).


     


    As much as people say Apple is obsoleting equipment, I'm saying it makes a 3 year expense into a 5 year investment (my 2008 unibody is needing a battery, but otherwise, it's running great).



     


    This is only barely on topic (except that Apple products rock). 


     


    Our 2008 Unibody still looks brand new after 3 years of light daily use (after a wipe down with a paper towel and some cleaner that is).


     


    Our battery is in so-so condition after 3 years, like yours, TheOtherGeoff.


     


    We recently upgraded our RAM from 2GB to 4GB for the whopping investment of......$27US.  Nice.


     


    After using MonoLingual to remove extraneous languages etc etc and other speed-up things (like deleting 2000+ e-mail messages), it's back in great shape (for Web & E-mail).


     


    It will run Mountain Lion (barely, whew!).




    So early 2013?  128GB SSD for less than $100 (it should happen by then).  Then it will be a MacBook Air, and last ANOTHER few years.


     


    Maybe a battery from NewerTech sometime in there.


    _________


     


    Last Thing:  When we sold our 2005 White iBook G4 in 2009, it was for $475, the price of a new DELL Laptop.


     


    Here's a Maxim:  When you're ready to "throw out" an Apple product (through selling it), that's when it's worth the same as a new Windows-Box.

  • Reply 57 of 77
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    I have years of experience in manufacturing in the optics industry, thus I can say this either the supplier is competent or they aren't. Given a proper engineering drawing the contractor either has the ability to fabricate the part or he doesn't. There is no middle ground here.
    solipsismx wrote: »
    I don't have to have a career in CNC machines to understand how logistics and machinery works. I've even had issues with 3rd party parts that are little more than a ben piece of metal that were suppose to be compatible. What you suggest is simply impossible to do at the same costs with a variety of shops with various equipment spread across the globe.
    Baloney! Seriously guy you are out of your speciality here. I once worked on a line that held tolerance on a part to a couple of microns. That was 24 hour shifts seven days a week with cycle times under ten seconds. Expensive yes, maintenance consuming yes but impossible no.

    anantksundaram has a point. It's less common but I could see how one could make a claim that Apple has a monopsony, or has effectively set up exclusive dealings or a refusal to deal.
    It is still a garbage arguement! PC manufactures are completely free to set up, invest really, in their own production lines. There is a repeated theme that there is a shortage of CNC equipment to do this which is completely bogus. The availability of CNC equipment is not the problem and never has been, that is why the articles are bogus. All it takes is a manufacture willing to invest the capital to put the line into a building. pC manufactures apparently assume that the contractors will do this, the contractors though most likely don't want to take the risk. More so if a contractor does take the risk the product will be far more expensive than a similar item coming off Apples line.
    I hope alll that money that Apple saved and then strategically invested longterm projects like the unibody construction, displays, etc. are now looking like smart investments to the Vin Diesels of the corporate world that only run their business one quarter at a time.

    The problem with many industries is that they end up controlled by bad actors on Wall Street. Many a company has been ruined trying to appease major shareholders. I've seen this first hand and really it isn't pretty when every move a company makes is focused on numbers for the next quarter. The one good thing about Steve Jobs was that he didn't give a damn about these bozos. This may have had the side effect of keeping Apple stock rather cheap for years but it also keep investors away that didn't have a clue. In this regards there are good and there are very evil investors, in effect owners, you really don't want your company owned by the evil ones.
  • Reply 58 of 77

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post





    Those comments are nonsense. There is nothing magical about the CNC machines used to make computer cases. I am familiar with machine shops and could easily find 50 shops within a 20 mile radius of my home that can do it. It's also not that hard to set up a machine shop. Buy a couple of machines (and they ARE available - we've bought several in the past few years), rent or buy a facility, and hire someone who knows how to program the machine. And even that wouldn't be necessary - there are hundreds of thousands of machine shops in the US and many thousands in China, as well. It would only take a few phone calls to find shops capable of making the cases.

    The entire premise of Apple making it impossible for people to make cases is absurd.

    Now, it is true that Apple has done a masterful job of setting up a supply chain to ensure a stead supply of reasonably priced cases. It took them years to do that - but anyone else can do it if they're willing to put in the time and effort. The fact that they're looking for a shortcut (by trying to tap into Apple's supply chain) is not Apple's problem. Rather, it is further indication of the inability of most PC vendors to do anything creative.


     


    Quote:

    Originally Posted by jragosta View Post





    Sorry, but I have years of experience with machined parts and you're wrong. At the level of tolerances needed for a laptop case, any competent machine ship with reasonably modern equipment can make suitable product. The differences from one shop to another should be less than the batch to batch variations within an individual shop.

    Apple has done an impressive job with the supply chain and has certainly worked with suppliers to standardize and streamline production, but any company buying millions of components can (and probably should) do the same thing.


     


    I remember the issue Apple had to overcome to mill the chassis for the MBP and MBA and it involved a much finer machine than was being produced for the machine sops you are referring to. The machines were an order or two beyond the usual milling machines in some respects that I don't quite remember. If what you're thinking was true then Apple wouldn't have drained the world supply of milling machines and flown them to the factories in a big toot. 


     


    Some other posters on this thread are also confusing the production of laptops with ultrabooks. The ultrabooks require the unibody construction to instill the required rigidity into the thinner lighter case because there is less structure to do so, as it a typical laptop. There is no shortage of cases for the typical laptop.

  • Reply 59 of 77
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    Retina MBP maybe?
    inkling wrote: »
    I wish this obsession with slim would pass. I carry my laptop in bags that are so thick, even another inch in thickness hardly matters. What I'd really like to see is are 11" and 13" MacBook Airs with iPad-like battery lives, perhaps even 12-15 hours.
  • Reply 60 of 77
    boredumbboredumb Posts: 1,418member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by JiveTurkey View Post


    There will be plenty of CNC capacity for all once Apple moves their entire line to Liquidmetal enclosures.



    Touché

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