Notes of interest from Apple's Q1 2013 conference call

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  • Reply 41 of 61

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by AppleInsider View Post

    Apple's next (Q2 2013) fiscal quarter



    Operating expenses are expected to be between $3.8 billion and $3.9 billion, with a tax rate of 26 percent.



    Other income and expenses (OI&E) expected to be $350 million.


    I don't where it was in the CC, but swear I heard that Q1 2013 was $8 billion in expenses towards manufacturing equipment alone.  Can someone expand on that?!  If so, that seems more than the normal.  From that, we might see if TC is either a genius or just a risky spender.  I think the former.

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  • Reply 42 of 61
    ifij775ifij775 Posts: 470member
    Apple's suite of products with a total refresh just delivered a lackluster quarter, and only new products will help. A few competitors going under would help, too
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  • Reply 43 of 61
    mikeb85mikeb85 Posts: 506member


    Apple's valuation is exactly where you'd expect for a mega cap consumer goods company.  Most other mature companies with similar valuations (Exxon Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell) have P/E ratios around where Apple's is (a little lower actually). 


     


    As another poster has said, Apple has somewhat reached a sort of market saturation - most people in 'developed' markets, if they can afford an iProduct and want one, odds are they already have one.  They'll still replace their products, but that doesn't really drive growth.  In China you have Lenovo, ZTE and Huawei coming out with some pretty decent products, and of course Samsung is in the mix too - why buy an iPhone when you can buy an equivalent phone for half the price? 


     


    Apple is by no means in trouble, but their market cap has been adjusted to reflect a mature business, as opposed to the exponential growth that Apple had experienced in the last few years. 

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  • Reply 44 of 61
    solipsismxsolipsismx Posts: 19,566member
    ifij775 wrote: »
    Apple's suite of products with a total refresh just delivered a lackluster quarter, and only new products will help. A few competitors going under would help, too

    Highest revenue and profits Apple has ever delivered and it's lackluster? I understand that Apple's mindshare is so large that if Tim Cook stubs his toe the stock drops a couple percent but the most successful public company in the world reporting it's even more successful than before is some how doom and gloom? What gives?
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  • Reply 45 of 61
    mikeb85mikeb85 Posts: 506member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by SolipsismX View Post





    Highest revenue and profits Apple has ever delivered and it's lackluster? I understand that Apple's mindshare is so large that if Tim Cook stubs his toe the stock drops a couple percent but the most successful public company in the world reporting it's even more successful than before is some how doom and gloom? What gives?




    Expectations were higher than reality.  Their stock price of 750 assumed world domination, and they disappointed... 

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  • Reply 46 of 61
    flaneurflaneur Posts: 4,526member
    I truly wish they would announce a massive share repurchase.

    As an aside, is it getting a bit tiresome for others too, listening to phrases like "surprise and delight" and "laser focus"..... it's just getting a bit long in the tooth, at least for me....

    Agreed, but in my cliché graveyard, I would bury "long in the tooth" right next to "bells and whistles."
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  • Reply 47 of 61
    flaneurflaneur Posts: 4,526member
    Connie? Zazzles? Is that you?

    By what signs shall we know Him? His granola in the evening?
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  • Reply 48 of 61
    jungmarkjungmark Posts: 6,927member
    mikeb85 wrote: »

    Expectations were higher than reality.  Their stock price of 750 assumed world domination, and they disappointed... 

    Again, not record breaking enough. The profitable calendar year in corporate history is not good enough for failed business owners ie analysts.
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  • Reply 49 of 61


    Originally Posted by Flaneur View Post

    By what signs shall we know Him? His granola in the evening?


     


    That lo, when findeth he a point of humor, doth flies from his mouth its contents, described by he as such depending on sun's locale.


     


    Also anti-Apple crusading.

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  • Reply 50 of 61
    ifij775ifij775 Posts: 470member
    solipsismx wrote: »
    Highest revenue and profits Apple has ever delivered and it's lackluster? I understand that Apple's mindshare is so large that if Tim Cook stubs his toe the stock drops a couple percent but the most successful public company in the world reporting it's even more successful than before is some how doom and gloom? What gives?
    Take a look at the growth numbers put up when Steve was around. These are pathetic by comparison
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  • Reply 51 of 61
    solipsismxsolipsismx Posts: 19,566member
    ifij775 wrote: »
    Take a look at the growth numbers put up when Steve was around. These are pathetic by comparison

    They reported growth. In some areas lots of growth. What you're focusing on but not acknowledging is YoY net profit growth comparing a 14 week to a 13 week quarter with a huge number of number products on the market.

    There were plenty of quarters under Steve Jobs that had less of YoY rise in total net profits so why pooh pooh Apple for having record-breaking revenue, record-breaking profits, and record-breaking iOS-based device sales. There is no public company in the history of the world that has made more revenue in a quarter than Apple has made and is the 4th highest profitable company in the history of the world with no signs of dropping and we're to believe Apple is doomed? WTF?!
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  • Reply 52 of 61
    ifij775ifij775 Posts: 470member
    Yes a few percent points profit growth. That's orders of magnitude less than it used to be, and the Xmas quarter is their best quarter.
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  • Reply 53 of 61
    solipsismxsolipsismx Posts: 19,566member
    ifij775 wrote: »
    Yes a few percent points profit growth. That's orders of magnitude less than it used to be, and the Xmas quarter is their best quarter.

    1) Why can't anyone use orders of magnitude correctly.

    2) So profit growth is less extreme than it has been in the past? Why not look at the many already stated reasons why it was going to happen and note that even Apple stated a much lower profit margin instead of making it look like Apple failed? What's your agenda for not looking that whole? I can assure you Apple will be here a year from now.

    3) It's funny that people keep saying that Apple can't survive without this of that cheap product but those same people seem to be shocked that when you saturate a market and grow into the larger partition of the market pyramid your profit margins and profit per unit are likely to drop. I'm not saying you have said that, but others have.

    4) It seems Apple can't win with some people no matter how successful they are. I guess we'll have to just all wait and be impressed that Amazon was able to squeeze out a 1% net profit after a net loss last time.
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  • Reply 54 of 61

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Tallest Skil View Post


     


    So the last decade of his work leading Apple to insanely low operational costs and high revenue were… what? image



    just COOincidence

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  • Reply 55 of 61
    jidojido Posts: 129member
    But by far the biggest threat to Apple is the Telecom Subsidy economy going bust in the U.S. 
    Apple should be doing whatever it can to make sure T. mobiles plan of eliminating phone subsidy fails. Because if it does work and get adopted by the other telecoms, well that $600+ iphone is not going to cut it. 
    I doubt it is such a concern for the company. The iPhone is not the only product they sell in the USA.
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  • Reply 56 of 61
    philboogiephilboogie Posts: 7,675member
    International government deployments strong with Sweden deploying 10,000 iPads and over 5,000 purchased by the Netherlands for Dutch tax authority and court system.

    Nice; having the Dutch courts using iPads during these Samsung patent cases.
    But by far the biggest threat to Apple is the Telecom Subsidy economy going bust in the U.S.
    Apple should be doing whatever it can to make sure T. mobiles plan of eliminating phone subsidy fails. Because if it does work and get adopted by the other telecoms, well that $600+ iphone is not going to cut it.

    @techstrumpler: I stopped using the subsidized plan and just pay full retail price by ordering straight from Apple. Once people figure out they pay more through a phoneplan they'll do the same. So I really hope other telco's will follow T-Mobiles plan!
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  • Reply 57 of 61
    retrogustoretrogusto Posts: 1,155member
    "Apple was hardest hit by year over year revenue increases of 10 percent in Japan, 11 percent in Europe, and 15 percent in the Americas."

    What is this supposed to mean? Are they talking about taxes?
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  • Reply 58 of 61
    kdarlingkdarling Posts: 1,640member

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by drewys808 View Post


    I don't where it was in the CC, but swear I heard that Q1 2013 was $8 billion in expenses towards manufacturing equipment alone.  Can someone expand on that?!  If so, that seems more than the normal.  From that, we might see if TC is either a genius or just a risky spender.  I think the former.



     


    Good memory.  Close.  In late 2011, Apple predicted they'd spend $8 billion in all of 2012 on M&E.  Almost $1B would be on their stores.   The other $7B would be for tooling and testing equipment, new facilities like the spaceship, and on data centers.  Analysts vary on the allocation.


     


    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Techstalker View Post


    U.S telecoms would love to end subsidy economy. It knee caps apple, who they don't like, makes people pay for their own phones, it also means they no longer have to negotiate long term contracts with Apple. Sprint no longer has to go to Apple and say we will give you "x" amount of money if you give us the iphone.



     


    It also would free up a lot of money.   Carriers can easily have over a half billion dollars tied up in iPhone subsidies alone, which are basically an interest free loan that drags down the carrier's available cash.   Better to offer an outright loan.

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  • Reply 59 of 61


    Originally Posted by Retrogusto View Post

    "Apple was hardest hit by year over year revenue increases of 10 percent in Japan, 11 percent in Europe, and 15 percent in the Americas."



    What is this supposed to mean? Are they talking about taxes?


     


    I was confused about that as well. You don't use "hardest hit" for anything good… ever.

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  • Reply 60 of 61


    So the new thinner iMac design is a monumental fu[k up.  Questionable functional gains and unproducable in mass quantities.  


     


    If Jobs were still CEO, heads would roll.

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