India's coronavirus lockdown to affect Apple's iPhone XR production

Comments

• Reply 1 of 6

  blastdoor Posts: 3,293member

  March 24, 2020 4:18PM

  I shudder to think of what this virus could do in India. Social distancing is harder because fo the high population density. Many people lack access to consistently clean water and other means for sanitation. It's not hard to imagine a scenario in which 10 million people die... perhaps a lot more than that. 
  

  
• Reply 2 of 6

  lkrupp Posts: 10,557member

  March 24, 2020 4:52PM

  blastdoor said:

  I shudder to think of what this virus could do in India. Social distancing is harder because fo the high population density. Many people lack access to consistently clean water and other means for sanitation. It's not hard to imagine a scenario in which 10 million people die... perhaps a lot more than that. 
  

  Jeeezus, you are the biggest Debbie Downer I've ever seen on this site. Why imagine the worst? What does that do for you? What does it do for those who read your grim posts? Get a grip, man. Is that all you do in your bunker, think up worst case scenarios? It is what it is and your apocalyptic ruminations don't add anything.
• Reply 3 of 6

  blastdoor Posts: 3,293member

  March 24, 2020 5:18PM

  lkrupp said:

  blastdoor said:

  I shudder to think of what this virus could do in India. Social distancing is harder because fo the high population density. Many people lack access to consistently clean water and other means for sanitation. It's not hard to imagine a scenario in which 10 million people die... perhaps a lot more than that. 
  

  Jeeezus, you are the biggest Debbie Downer I've ever seen on this site. Why imagine the worst? What does that do for you? What does it do for those who read your grim posts? Get a grip, man. Is that all you do in your bunker, think up worst case scenarios? It is what it is and your apocalyptic ruminations don't add anything.

  It sounds to me like you're a starry eyed optimist wearing rose colored glasses. It's time to put on your big boy pants and face the numbers. 
  
  1.3 billion people in India
  So far, mortality rate looks to be between 2% and 5%
  I've seen estimates that up to 80% of a population could eventually be infected. 
  1.3 billion * 80% * 2% = 20.8 million dead. 
  
  or maybe 50% get it and 5% mortality rate?
  1.3 billion * 50% * 5% = 32.5 million dead
  
  to get just 10 million, assume 2% mortality and 40% of people get it:
  1.3 billion * 40% * 2% = 10.4 million dead
  
  So you see, I wasn't imagining the worst with 10 million dead -- it's very easy to imagine much worse than that. 
• Reply 4 of 6

  wood1208 Posts: 2,913member

  March 25, 2020 3:04AM

  blastdoor said:

  lkrupp said:

  blastdoor said:

  I shudder to think of what this virus could do in India. Social distancing is harder because fo the high population density. Many people lack access to consistently clean water and other means for sanitation. It's not hard to imagine a scenario in which 10 million people die... perhaps a lot more than that. 
  

  Jeeezus, you are the biggest Debbie Downer I've ever seen on this site. Why imagine the worst? What does that do for you? What does it do for those who read your grim posts? Get a grip, man. Is that all you do in your bunker, think up worst case scenarios? It is what it is and your apocalyptic ruminations don't add anything.

  It sounds to me like you're a starry eyed optimist wearing rose colored glasses. It's time to put on your big boy pants and face the numbers. 
  
  1.3 billion people in India
  So far, mortality rate looks to be between 2% and 5%
  I've seen estimates that up to 80% of a population could eventually be infected. 
  1.3 billion * 80% * 2% = 20.8 million dead. 
  
  or maybe 50% get it and 5% mortality rate?
  1.3 billion * 50% * 5% = 32.5 million dead
  
  to get just 10 million, assume 2% mortality and 40% of people get it:
  1.3 billion * 40% * 2% = 10.4 million dead
  
  So you see, I wasn't imagining the worst with 10 million dead -- it's very easy to imagine much worse than that. 

  
  Corona virus is new kind and fatal than seasonal flu but you forgetting(from your statistics) important aspect of human body. Mighty Anti-bodies. Most people in India already lived through malaria,cholera,typhoid,seasonal flu(no one dies) and many more diseases. So, there immune system is better than many in world. That doesn't mean everyone in India can fend off and some may die but not in millions. Moreover, corona virus hate warm temperature and India already in warmer season.
  
• Reply 5 of 6

  blastdoor Posts: 3,293member

  March 25, 2020 3:54AM

  wood1208 said:

  blastdoor said:

  lkrupp said:

  blastdoor said:

  I shudder to think of what this virus could do in India. Social distancing is harder because fo the high population density. Many people lack access to consistently clean water and other means for sanitation. It's not hard to imagine a scenario in which 10 million people die... perhaps a lot more than that. 
  

  Jeeezus, you are the biggest Debbie Downer I've ever seen on this site. Why imagine the worst? What does that do for you? What does it do for those who read your grim posts? Get a grip, man. Is that all you do in your bunker, think up worst case scenarios? It is what it is and your apocalyptic ruminations don't add anything.

  It sounds to me like you're a starry eyed optimist wearing rose colored glasses. It's time to put on your big boy pants and face the numbers. 
  
  1.3 billion people in India
  So far, mortality rate looks to be between 2% and 5%
  I've seen estimates that up to 80% of a population could eventually be infected. 
  1.3 billion * 80% * 2% = 20.8 million dead. 
  
  or maybe 50% get it and 5% mortality rate?
  1.3 billion * 50% * 5% = 32.5 million dead
  
  to get just 10 million, assume 2% mortality and 40% of people get it:
  1.3 billion * 40% * 2% = 10.4 million dead
  
  So you see, I wasn't imagining the worst with 10 million dead -- it's very easy to imagine much worse than that. 

  
  Corona virus is new kind and fatal than seasonal flu but you forgetting(from your statistics) important aspect of human body. Mighty Anti-bodies. Most people in India already lived through malaria,cholera,typhoid,seasonal flu(no one dies) and many more diseases. So, there immune system is better than many in world. That doesn't mean everyone in India can fend off and some may die but not in millions. Moreover, corona virus hate warm temperature and India already in warmer season.
  

  I hope you’re right. I hope the hot weather kills it.
• Reply 6 of 6

  beowulfschmidt Posts: 2,137member

  March 26, 2020 12:13PM

  wood1208 said:

  
  Corona virus is new kind and fatal than seasonal flu but you forgetting(from your statistics) important aspect of human body. Mighty Anti-bodies. Most people in India already lived through malaria,cholera,typhoid,seasonal flu(no one dies) and many more diseases. So, there immune system is better than many in world. That doesn't mean everyone in India can fend off and some may die but not in millions. Moreover, corona virus hate warm temperature and India already in warmer season.
  

  Unfortunately, that's not the way our immune system works.  If the virus is similar enough to something an individual has had in the past, then their immune system has a better chance of fighting it.  Thus, those who've contracted chicken pox are much less likely to contract small pox.  But being immune to one thing does not necessarily confer immunity to another thing, especially when those things are different.  Thus, immunity to chicken pos confers no protection against the flu.
  
  This is a new strain of an existing virus which previously affected only animals, so humans have very limited, if any at all, immunity to it.