Why George W. Bush will be easily re-elected in 2004
Quote:
WASHINGTON -- Last year three African-Americans running statewide for offices in the same state were all elected, something that has never happened before in any state, even during Reconstruction. The African-Americans are Democrats, and the state is one of those proudly, reliably liberal ones -- Massachusetts, perhaps, or California, right?
Wrong. The state was Texas, and all three winners are Republicans. Their successes suggest how Republicans might make modest progress with African-American voters. Modest progress -- say, 15 percent rather than 8 percent of the African-American vote -- could have large effects.
WASHINGTON -- Last year three African-Americans running statewide for offices in the same state were all elected, something that has never happened before in any state, even during Reconstruction. The African-Americans are Democrats, and the state is one of those proudly, reliably liberal ones -- Massachusetts, perhaps, or California, right?
Wrong. The state was Texas, and all three winners are Republicans. Their successes suggest how Republicans might make modest progress with African-American voters. Modest progress -- say, 15 percent rather than 8 percent of the African-American vote -- could have large effects.
George Will
Democrats are about to have one of their most loyal voting blocks begin to crack. When this happens, it will be all over.
Nick
Comments
An extremely right-wing religious fundamentalist with an actual mandate to be the most powerful man in the world.
I can't think of anything more frightening.
Originally posted by kneelbeforezod
Anybody see the Daily Show's foreign policy 'debate' between Governor George W Bush and President George W Bush? They used footage of Bush from the last three years to show how he has gone 180 degrees on foreign policy, use of US troops and 'nation building.' He was even somewhat likable as Governor.
Heh. I'm waiting on some republican challenger who'll say something like "I thought Bush was a republican! Nation building? Steel tariffs? Massive spending? New government offices and cabinet positions? No apparent domestic policy other than "tax cuts"? Two foreign conflicts?"
Will he be re-elected? Most likely. The democrats make me sick these days, and all I can figure is that their long-term strategy is to give the Bush admin EVERYTHING IT WANTS ON A SILVER FRIGGIN' PLATTER.
Originally posted by kneelbeforezod
Anybody see the Daily Show's foreign policy 'debate' between Governor George W Bush and President George W Bush? They used footage of Bush from the last three years to show how he has gone 180 degrees on foreign policy, use of US troops and 'nation building.' He was even somewhat likable as Governor.
Yeah, well a few planes crashing into building will do that you know.
Nick
Originally posted by ColanderOfDeath
He'll be reelected because he is well liked personally moreso than because of the popularity of his policies. I doubt that we'll see much of a shift in the African American vote from historical trends.
While I agree with you (if I had a dollar for every time I've heard someone make some claim about "liking" Bush), I've always found this to be the most absurd notion I've ever heard. I mean, how the hell can ANYONE know whether or not they'd like this guy???
Democrats already have 100 or so electoral votes wrapped up with NY and CA and the northeast without lifting a finger, and Republicans already have about the same from the Bible belt and the West.
Oh, and here's that Bush versus Bush video.
Originally posted by Existence
No way he'll be relected.
Oh, and here's that Bush versus Bush video.
That is one stunning piece of video. I would plea that man is allowed to change his mind, but of course, if you become the president, and revoke all that you've said that got you elected, you're seriously misleading, abusing, millions. Stunning. No less.
Originally posted by der Kopf
BTW: when are the elections coming up? Is it this year or next year?
its next year... primaries begin this year (the system that supposedly leads to the nomination of a canidate well liked by most of either party, respectively)...
However, demographics are interesting.
Could it be that blacks are finally figuring out that democrats don't give a damn about them either? While at the same time, Republicans are figuring out that nothing is better than "me too" when it comes to politicking, and "issues" are secondary whenever you can employ the same puerile fantasy of representation that has worked so well for democrats in minority circles?
Or it could be that blacks have more money than democrat tear jerker politicos would have you believe and they'd like to keep some of it too?
in my home town there is a black police chief, the city is in the southeast and is mostly white, though the black population is significant, ie 40% if not higher... why did this man get elected? because both the whites and the blacks voted for the democrat in a strongly democratic city...
its complete bullshit that if you have black republican politicians that it follows exactly that black voters elected them... i would not vote for a white person if i agreed more strongly with say an indian, why should that be true of blacks...
this is just george will (and other republicans) spouting the demise of the two party system, because god knows that everything would be better if everyone agreed on everything...