Everytime I think of Edwards, I think, "Hyuk, hyuk, give me a chance and ah'll give you thuh White House hyuk." It's almost like he's begging, it's really pathetic to me.
Not that that really answers your question, I just thought I'd share.
If Kerry gave a speech to his supporters where he said, "Let me tell you somethin BROTHER... WHAT you gonna DOOO when KERRY runs WILD ON YOU George W. BusH?!?!", that might help Edwards a little.
Edwards is on a roll. I still think Kerry will win....but Edwards may damage Kerry enough to hurt him for the general election. I'll say this: Kerry is smarter than Edwards and speaks better. But, Edwards is much more likeable and more positive. There's something about Kerry that is venomous and harsh...and if the media plays that up, Edwards could rebound. Actually, some would argue that after his much better than expected showing in WI, he may have started to surge already.
The thing is that Edwards did *not* do 'better than expected' in Wisconsin. On the contrary, the only polls that said Kerry was going to run away with it were ones that don't treat a voter like a voter. Some voters get extra points for being a teacher, being a minority, etc. Zogby immediately comes to mind.
The night before the primary, I saw polls saying Edwards could close the cap to about 6-8 points behind Kerry, and that's what it ended up being.
Edwards got a boost from candidates who dropped out (and from Dean who was about to drop out) and to his credit, was able to ride it to that 'close' finish. Still, Kerry won and in the end it wasn't terribly close, but the media sure played it up that way. It's a better story if the two candidates left in the race are competitive with each other.
I read an analysis that it would be virtually impossible, mathematically, for Edwards to catch up at this point. It has to do with the fact that the primaries are proportional, and so even if Edwards started winning lots of states, Kerry would probably get enough votes to still win. I think the only way it could happen is if some scandal (say, an intern scandal?) basically forced Kerry out.
Are the representatives chosen for some of the drop out candidates free to vote for the remaining candidates at thbe convension?
Normally the candidate "frees" their delegates to vote for the nominee at the convention so it can be a unanimous vote.
And Edwards does have a chance, a very very very small chance, but a chance none the less of winning. Kerry has to implode at this point (see Dean, Howard) for Edwards to get anywhere.
My nightmare scenario would be Edwards vs. Bush. At that point, I'd move to Zimbabwe.
Bush is leading us to an ideological civil war... Edwards, I feel, would lead us to a class war.
Of the two, I think an ideological war would be less damaging in the long run, but I think that Bush's economic pushes, while short-term good, are long-term bad. \
Comments
Everytime I think of Edwards, I think, "Hyuk, hyuk, give me a chance and ah'll give you thuh White House hyuk." It's almost like he's begging, it's really pathetic to me.
Not that that really answers your question, I just thought I'd share.
If Kerry gave a speech to his supporters where he said, "Let me tell you somethin BROTHER... WHAT you gonna DOOO when KERRY runs WILD ON YOU George W. BusH?!?!", that might help Edwards a little.
The night before the primary, I saw polls saying Edwards could close the cap to about 6-8 points behind Kerry, and that's what it ended up being.
Edwards got a boost from candidates who dropped out (and from Dean who was about to drop out) and to his credit, was able to ride it to that 'close' finish. Still, Kerry won and in the end it wasn't terribly close, but the media sure played it up that way. It's a better story if the two candidates left in the race are competitive with each other.
Originally posted by Anders
Are the representatives chosen for some of the drop out candidates free to vote for the remaining candidates at thbe convension?
Normally the candidate "frees" their delegates to vote for the nominee at the convention so it can be a unanimous vote.
And Edwards does have a chance, a very very very small chance, but a chance none the less of winning. Kerry has to implode at this point (see Dean, Howard) for Edwards to get anywhere.
Bush is leading us to an ideological civil war... Edwards, I feel, would lead us to a class war.
Of the two, I think an ideological war would be less damaging in the long run, but I think that Bush's economic pushes, while short-term good, are long-term bad.
*sigh* What a predicament that would be.