How Many Songs Will iTMS Have Sold By Wednesday?

Posted:
in iPod + iTunes + AppleTV edited January 2014
I'm sure Steve will announce how many songs the iTunes Music Store sold in the first year. How many do you think it'll be.

Comments

  • Reply 1 of 18
    jwri004jwri004 Posts: 626member
    With or without Pepsi codes?



    Don't really care, as the Music Store is MIA in my area



  • Reply 2 of 18
    You folks shooting for 100 million... are you serious?



    You all do realize that only 50 Million had been sold as of last month, right?
  • Reply 3 of 18
    As I recall, Steve said he wasn't going to count the Pepsi promotion towards the goal of selling 100 million songs in the first year, so let's say, "How many songs will iTMS have sold by Wednesday not including the Pepsi promotion?"
  • Reply 4 of 18
    eugeneeugene Posts: 8,254member
    Optimistic: 80M including the Pepsi promo.
  • Reply 5 of 18
    hmurchisonhmurchison Posts: 12,423member
    They'll definitely hit the 100 million. I know when i'm being setup. Steve claiming 50 million sales was done purposely to make it appear as if the service wasn't meeting projections. Once he adds in the Pepsi promotion and the standard sales I think the 100 Million target will be met. Of course Jobs will ride this one for the full 8 seconds.



    Plus I'm smelling the announcement of some new partnership. You heard it here first.
  • Reply 6 of 18
    ipodandimacipodandimac Posts: 3,273member
    Quote:

    Originally posted by hmurchison

    They'll definitely hit the 100 million. I know when i'm being setup. Steve claiming 50 million sales was done purposely to make it appear as if the service wasn't meeting projections. Once he adds in the Pepsi promotion and the standard sales I think the 100 Million target will be met. Of course Jobs will ride this one for the full 8 seconds.



    Plus I'm smelling the announcement of some new partnership. You heard it here first.




    actually i heard about a partnership somewhere else first, but i forget where.
  • Reply 7 of 18
    I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest 62 620 411 songs.



    ... Give or take.



    My reasoning is as follows:

    Code:


    Dayt Songst Source:

    771000000Source

    16162000000Source

    Jun7403500000Source

    56565000000Source

    61616500000Source

    Sep813310000000Source

    Nov619217000000Source

    Dec922520000000Source

    Dec1523125000000Source

    Mar1532250000000Source









    A quick graph shows:



    (The X is where they want to be: 100 000 000, 365 days)



    I'd like more data points, but the current formula (y = 517 x^2 - 26 300 x + 3 370 000, y is songs, x is days) seems to fit the data set pretty well (give or take ~3 000 000 songs)



    Additionally, I predict they hit 100 000 000 songs 458 days after introduction (July 29th, 2004)



    (I'm hoping someone checks my math, cause it's late, and I have a psych exam tomorrow.)



    EDIT: Sorry I made the forum too wide, but I wanted to include the references in my table. Fixed now.
  • Reply 8 of 18
    Quote:

    Originally posted by Phroggy



    EDIT: Sorry I made the forum too wide, but I wanted to include the references in my table.




    Just use the URL tag for each of your references, like this:



    Code:


    Source





    we don't need to see the whole URL written out, and that's what's chewing up the page width
  • Reply 9 of 18
    phroggyphroggy Posts: 63member
    Quote:

    Originally posted by FormerLurker

    we don't need to see the whole URL written out, and that's what's chewing up the page width [/B]



    Fiar enough, fixed now.

    I was just too lazy to care at the time.
  • Reply 10 of 18
    cosmonutcosmonut Posts: 4,872member
    Quote:

    Originally posted by Phroggy

    I was just too lazy to care at the time.



    And yet you used a complex formula and created a chart.



  • Reply 11 of 18
    Quote:

    Originally posted by CosmoNut

    And yet you used a complex formula and created a chart.







    Heh, yup
  • Reply 12 of 18
    wrong robotwrong robot Posts: 3,907member
    Alright fsckers, go buy some music, make them hit 100 million





    There was a *really* big new music tuesday today, I didn't count(I wish apple gave a total) but the page scrolled forever, easily 500 albums and singles.
  • Reply 13 of 18
    messiahtoshmessiahtosh Posts: 1,754member
    73 Million
  • Reply 14 of 18
    homhom Posts: 1,098member
    68 million not including Pepsi.

    71 million including Pepsi.



    Steve will mention how this is 7x more than the rest of the downloading services combined.
  • Reply 15 of 18
    messiahtoshmessiahtosh Posts: 1,754member
    You just KNOW he will say something about how the Pepsi redeemed songs far outnumber the other music services, regularly sold songs.
  • Reply 16 of 18
    pfflampfflam Posts: 5,053member
    iTunes store is down . . . must be overloaded!!
  • Reply 17 of 18
    Either that or it's being updated...
  • Reply 18 of 18
    paulpaul Posts: 5,278member
    Quote:

    In its first year, iTunes sold more than 70 million songs, providing music fans with the best digital experience on Mac or PC. Now iTunes 4.5 offers even more ways to discover and enjoy music.



    link here
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