sacto joe

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sacto joe
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  • Nikkei, WSJ split on their Apple horror narratives

    bohler said:
    the most idiotic thing in recent years was Apple buying back its stock and building up a wall of debt $100bn high...insane
    ROFLMAO!!!

    Oh. You're serious.
    Dan_Dilgerjony0watto_cobra
  • Apple plans to reopen some Apple Store locations in the first half of April

    melgross said:

    sacto joe said:
    bulk001 said:
    @sacrojoe (@soli you will be ignored) If those who are most vulnerable would isolate themselves the death rate would be significantly lower. Not everyone has to do this. 

    Your comments also highlight something else - if it is as terrible as you say then there should be no essential worker to provide alcohol and weed in Colorado. All medical works should stay home (after all their lives are just as important as yours), what about the people who grow our food, stack our store shelves, deliver our orders, get gas to gas stations? Shouldn’t they also isolate and let you just fend for yourself. As long as you are not inconvenienced it is okay? 

    Yes a lot of people will die. A lot die from the flu. But we don’t shut down the country for that (it almost doesn’t even get any attention in previous years where 15, 30 or 60 thousand people die without you giving them a single thought - full breakdown of hospitalizations and deaths from flu can be found at https://www.health.com/condition/cold-flu-sinus/how-many-people-die-of-the-flu-every-year). Are their lives any less important? Shouldn’t we have shut down the country for them too? 

    So not only is there a lot of needless paranoia and fear but also a lot of hypocrisy in the “concern” expressed by some. 
    Faulty logic, bulk. "Essential" means exactly what it says. Are you an essential worker? If so, you're actually duty bound to take your chances, but also duty bound to try your damndest not to catch the virus. Catching it both increases the chances you'll pass it on and increases the demand on the health care system.

    By definition, essential workers are workers required to keep the numbers of dead down. Your argument fails on that basis alone.

    I know you'd really like to defend your original statement from the basis of logic. But it's looking more and more like you just don't want to admit you were wrong.
    It’s a bit more complex than that.no matter how bad this gets, everything isn’t going to shut down, that’s impossible. So there are sectors of the economy that will continue. My daughter’s company in Texas was declared, by the government, to be essential, and she was declared to be an essential employee. Fortunately, she has been working from home for almost two weeks now through logging in on her computer.
    I write this, even though the post has now gotten increasingly buried, because there's nothing "complex" in bulk's argument. 

    "A lot die from the flu. But we don’t shut down the country for that..."

    That right there is the weak link in his argument. There's no argument with "essential" jobs requiring at-risk folks to risk more, although I'd argue those folks deserve some form of special compensation and as much protective gear as humanly possible. So the idea that I'm arguing we should "shut down the country" is simple hyperbole.

    Please don't fall into his wordsmith trap.
    fastasleep
  • Apple plans to reopen some Apple Store locations in the first half of April

    bulk001 said:
    @sacrojoe (@soli you will be ignored) If those who are most vulnerable would isolate themselves the death rate would be significantly lower. Not everyone has to do this. 

    Your comments also highlight something else - if it is as terrible as you say then there should be no essential worker to provide alcohol and weed in Colorado. All medical works should stay home (after all their lives are just as important as yours), what about the people who grow our food, stack our store shelves, deliver our orders, get gas to gas stations? Shouldn’t they also isolate and let you just fend for yourself. As long as you are not inconvenienced it is okay? 

    Yes a lot of people will die. A lot die from the flu. But we don’t shut down the country for that (it almost doesn’t even get any attention in previous years where 15, 30 or 60 thousand people die without you giving them a single thought - full breakdown of hospitalizations and deaths from flu can be found at https://www.health.com/condition/cold-flu-sinus/how-many-people-die-of-the-flu-every-year). Are their lives any less important? Shouldn’t we have shut down the country for them too? 

    So not only is there a lot of needless paranoia and fear but also a lot of hypocrisy in the “concern” expressed by some. 
    Faulty logic, bulk. "Essential" means exactly what it says. Are you an essential worker? If so, you're actually duty bound to take your chances, but also duty bound to try your damndest not to catch the virus. Catching it both increases the chances you'll pass it on and increases the demand on the health care system.

    By definition, essential workers are workers required to keep the numbers of dead down. Your argument fails on that basis alone.

    I know you'd really like to defend your original statement from the basis of logic. But it's looking more and more like you just don't want to admit you were wrong.
    Solifastasleep
  • Apple plans to reopen some Apple Store locations in the first half of April

    bulk001 said:
    @sacto joe I appreciate the thoughtful post. And while we are all in this together on one side we have some who even when they know they are sick running around and potentially infecting others and in the other we have people who are acting like we are all going to die. There is room for a balance between these extremes. If you are vulnerable stay isolated. If you are sick stay isolated. Practice basic hygiene. Keep a little more distance. Don’t go to nursing homes, don’t hug your grand kids. Etc. I am glad Apple is looking to open stores as soon as sometime in the first half of April. You don’t like it? Just don’t go to an Apple store! Stay home. But please don’t decide what is best for me. 
    Everyone cherishes their freedom. I personally want folks to have the maximum freedom possible. But like the old saying, your right to swing a fist stops at the tip of my nose. Nobody should have the freedom to endanger another.

    “... in the other we have people who are acting like we are all going to die.” A LOT of people are going to die, here and around the world. It’s going to be horrible. Period. It’s all about keeping it from being far worse.

    The optics of Apple saying this right now are stunningly bad. It is harmful to the universal cause. And I say that as one who has often been accused of being an Apple apologist. Literally nobody, least of all this Apple VP, has any factual idea of when Apple can ”open stores”, because nobody knows who and where all the sick people are. No one can guarantee that, by going out, they won’t end up spreading death behind them. If someone is fine with that, it literally defines them as socially irresponsible. Or thoughtless to a degree that’s hard to fathom.

    Going out should have ones heart in ones throat with trepidation. And it should be the absolute minimum necessary, with every protection one has available, not for the individual going out, but for those whose paths that individual will cross.
    montrosemacs
  • Apple plans to reopen some Apple Store locations in the first half of April

    bulk001 said:
    To all the haters and or / paranoid, if you don’t want to go out, don’t. Especially if there is a high incident rate near you or you fall into a vulnerable population. Evidently though Apple sees that it is unnecessary to close all stores indefinitely and they have been one of the leaders in closing and so trust that they know what they are doing in looking to start opening some stores too. To those who have to work for a living a sensible approach to letting them do so is welcome news to me. @monteo - you, your wife and your teenage daughters don’t have to go to the Apple store. @techno, this is not the Spanish flu so less hyperventilating and more grip on reality? @themonk I actually work for a living, not taking unnecessary risk at spring break but also not hiding out in fear when sensible precautions can be taken (as evidenced by the fact that Apple is willing to open some stores) and @fastasleep well your name pretty much says it all, right? But thanks for calling me a genius! 

    Let's define sensible. Young AND old folks are going to need serious medical help (respirators, etc) to survive. If the medical system gets overwhelmed, like happened in Italy (over 6,100 dead and 64,000 confirmed cases in Italy as of yesterday, or a die-off of over 9.5%), then we could be approaching a major die-off, and not just of older folks. In the US, with a population of 330 M and assuming everyone gets the virus, even a 1% die-off is 3.3 million dead. In a world with 7.7 billion people, assuming everyone gets it, 1% would be 77 million dead. But that's understating the problem: If the world's medical systems gets overwhelmed, we’ll see more like a 3-5% die-off. Think about that. 1 out of every 20 people on the planet could theoretically die of this virus.

    To put this in context, from wikipedia: “World War II was the deadliest military conflict in history. An estimated total of 70–85 million people perished, which was about 3% of the 1940 world population (est. 2.3 billion).“

    Now, because of the woeful lack of testing, we in the US only see the number of confirmed cases, which is a fraction of the true infection rate. So folks shouldn't look at the dying now and equate them with the unknown number of sick now. However, there's more to determining the die-off rate than just determining the number of sick now. The proper comparison is with the number of sick 2 or more weeks ago. Only when we get enough tests to get a proper snapshot of not just now but two weeks back will we be able to calculate the potential die-off. 

    And even then, we’ll find the percentage is going to be heavily dependent on the amount of adequate medical care that is available. And unfortunately, the vast majority of Earth's people don't have access to anything close to adequate medical care. Ergo, we are just at the beginning of something truly and horrifyingly tragic. Therefore, each of us is morally bound to do our bit to keep the transmission rate down, if for no other reason than when, not if, it comes for us, we will have increased the chance that there's adequate medical help available for ourselves or our loved ones.

    Like it or not, ignore it or not, we're all in this together.

    fastasleepgregoriusmchemengin1