I'm confused at how you can say that either product will succeed or fail, given that neither exists and the former is nothing but a freaking rumor with no substance whatsoever.
It's highly unlikely that every "iTV" rumor is correct, and even a subsection of them wouldn't give anyone grounds to say that it will succeed given its continued nonexistence and especially in the face of the lackluster success of the current Apple TV that hasn't had an update in three years.
This new "iTV" fails immediately for me if it doesn't have 1080p hardware support, as that's the only thing stopping me from getting the current model. I don't care one iota for any of these new supposed features or subscriptions or cloud-based nonsense.
Success is incredibly subjective and can't hinge on rumored features of a nonexistent product. Especially when none of the rumors have indicated 1080p hardware support, something thatas I saidmakes the difference for me whether I buy it or keep ignoring it for another three years until they get their act together.