Originally Posted by matrix07
This is what Apple will learn with regret. The China market had exploded because of the newly designed iPhone, iPad and Macbook Air. We don't want our notebook to be upgraded yearly, but the phone is different. If Apple plan to continue with this iPhone_s every two year then they will kiss goodbye the spectacular China market growth.
This is an interesting perspective.. Forgive the armchair analysis (this may be either too obvious or too inane so I apologize beforehand), but it seems to this amateur observer that this viewpoint presupposes two distinct groups of consumers exist (among others of course) who buy Apple products.
The first group (perhaps the smaller) is comprised of individuals who have taken stock of the experience Apple offers (i.e., the OS, service, technology, ease of use, etc.) and characteristically count on Apple to deliver each product they make with a similar level of chutzpah. Characteristically, these individuals also own many other Apple products because they buy into the Apple philosophy which focuses on end-user benefits. Among these are many of the "early-adopter" class of Apple customer who suffered through the earlier difficult years of Apple before their meteoric rise (re: Michael Dell's now infamous comment about closing the company and returning what value remained to the stockholders). What is typical of this group is an awareness while using their Apple product of the relative difference between their user experience with the Apple-item, as opposed to what they might be experiencing had they bought a non-Apple product.
The second group (perhaps the larger) are those who have become attracted to Apple because of the swing in the opinion-makers attitude about what is "cool" and therefore desireable as a "must-have." Because the opinion-makers opine is typically well-informed, it is not surprising that many of their followers have received a great deal of satisfaction with purchases like the iPhone or MacBook Air. Implicit in this mix, however, is the realization that many who belong to this category may well be persuaded by counter-opinion-makers within this group who start chanting that another device is even more "cool" (i.e., faster, stronger, prettier, more OLED-ish, can drain batteries faster, etc.) and therefore more desireable than the Apple counterpart. It could be argued that someone changing to a competitor's product and enjoying it could possibly be one who did not buy the Apple product for its user experience in the first place and never appreciated the relative difference in the first place.
Of course, to suggest such a thing is to be an Apple fanbois spouting yet another blasphemy in the counter-worlds of Droid or PC/Microsoft, but - as Shaw once quipped - "All great truths begin as blasphemies." The fact is, when one makes an argument similar to the one bracketed above, one seems to suggest the possibility that the vast majority of Chinese can be put into the second group - and that their buying decisions and motivations would not be predicated on the same careful factors characteristic of the first group.
If this is true, the so-called "awakening giant" may be of an entirely different nature than what was first contemplated. All may not be lost for either Apple or America if many of the second category Apple bandwagon-ers leave Apple to start enjoying the compromises with their new Droid purchases that Tim Cook said Apple would not make with the iPhone. To say the least, this band of "expatriat-merry-makers" may find themselves on a band wagon already crowded with not only the Chinese, but perrenials from the land of Microsoft and Dell and feel they have never been happier.
As the proverb somewhat goes "as a dog returneth to its own vomit, and a pig to its own sty..." Oh well, one man's sty is another man's heaven.
A sentiment that those in the first group - if I may presume to guess their sentiment - will never understand.