Indeed. Both my wife and I make ~$40,000 annually (Canadian) and we are both excited for the delivery of each of our ? Watches. The Sport model is not priced so highly as to be completely out of our respective affordable ranges. We allow ourselves one expensive toy a year, and we decided on these wonderful devices this time around. They can't get here soon enough!
The other aspect would be >200K would probably gravitate towards the right end of the selection chart: the Stainless Steel with link bands, and they won't ship until June.... so all those bare wrists could simply be waiting for that shipping status to change and the charge to hit their black cards.
Apple has 700 million iPhone customers. 36 million is pittance.
By the end of 2015, there will be about 420M Apple Watch compatible Iphones in use (accounting for retired or broken phones, gifted and sold phones remain active). By the the time May 2016 comes around, that number should be about 530M.
If about 5% of those buy a watch, you get 26.5M watches sold.
Even that seems a bit high for a year 1 device, my own estimates are about 20-22M (15-18M by January 1 2016), still a smashing success for a companion device in its first year. I think those are close to year 1 Ipad sales.
Believe which ever one fits your bias. Go to any financial website and read articles about any company on the planet and you’ll find the same opposite opinions. For every Armageddon there’s a Utopia analyst. So if you don’t like Apple or the ?Watch then believe the negative articles. You will feel better and not alone. If you like Apple and the ?Watch then believe the Morgan Stanley analyst. You will feel better too. This bias can be seen in this thread. You know what, it doesn’t matter what analysts say. Human beings have always thought they can predict the future by analyzing data. It used to be throwing chicken bones in the air and ‘analyzing’ their positions when they hit the ground. Today it’s algorithms and charts. Same thing.
When the actual sales figures are released we will know, not before then.
Good point. The fact of the matter is that all data (including chicken bones) are in the past. Really, the only way to "predict" the future is to create it here and now. To pretend to see the future by looking backwards at data is sheer blindness, denial, and folly, as evidenced by the crapshoot that is the stock market and its minions.
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Indeed. Both my wife and I make ~$40,000 annually (Canadian) and we are both excited for the delivery of each of our ? Watches. The Sport model is not priced so highly as to be completely out of our respective affordable ranges. We allow ourselves one expensive toy a year, and we decided on these wonderful devices this time around. They can't get here soon enough!
The other aspect would be >200K would probably gravitate towards the right end of the selection chart: the Stainless Steel with link bands, and they won't ship until June.... so all those bare wrists could simply be waiting for that shipping status to change and the charge to hit their black cards.
That's the thing: it doesn't work well yet.
Did you miss all the reviews talking about the potential and that this is really just a 1.0 device?
Exactly, they should have released the 2.0 version first. Stupid move releasing the first version before the second one.
Apple has 700 million iPhone customers. 36 million is pittance.
By the end of 2015, there will be about 420M Apple Watch compatible Iphones in use (accounting for retired or broken phones, gifted and sold phones remain active). By the the time May 2016 comes around, that number should be about 530M.
If about 5% of those buy a watch, you get 26.5M watches sold.
Even that seems a bit high for a year 1 device, my own estimates are about 20-22M (15-18M by January 1 2016), still a smashing success for a companion device in its first year. I think those are close to year 1 Ipad sales.
Good point. The fact of the matter is that all data (including chicken bones) are in the past. Really, the only way to "predict" the future is to create it here and now. To pretend to see the future by looking backwards at data is sheer blindness, denial, and folly, as evidenced by the crapshoot that is the stock market and its minions.