Apple Inc. to distribute $3 billion in dividends as its market valuation grows $163B large...

Posted:
in AAPL Investors edited May 2017
On May 18th, Apple will pay its shareholders of record (as of May 15th) a quarterly dividend of $0.63 per share. Apple will pay out $3 billion in dividends on its outstanding shares for the quarter, on stock that has appreciated 34.4 percent so far in 2017.

cash


Apple has been paying its shareholders a dividend about a month and a half after the end of each fiscal quarter ever since it declared its modern dividend plan in the summer of 2012.

The May dividend will be the twelfth to occur since the company issued a 7-for-1 stock split. That split converted the dividend from $3.29 per share to 47 cents per share, which Apple subsequently increased to 52 cents, then 57 cents and again increased this year to 63 cents.

Over the past four quarters, Apple has paid out around $12.3 billion in dividends to its shareholders, distributing close to $3 billion every quarter, although that number has decreased slightly in tandem with the company's stock buybacks.

AAPL Buybacks

Dividends are a minority portion of Apple's shareholder capital return program, the majority of which has been earmarked for buying back outstanding shares.

Buybacks increase the scarcity, and therefore value, of Apple's stock by taking shares off the market and retiring them. Removing shares from circulation also enhances the company's closely-watched earnings per share metrics. Over the last four quarters, Apple has repurchased $34 billion worth of its stock off the market or via accelerated repurchase programs, with $7 billion of that spent in the most recent quarter ending in December.


Capital Return AAPL Q2 2017


In total, Apple has spent $151 billion on stock buybacks since initiating its capital return program, including an opportunistic $14 billion share grab initiated after the stock plunged more than 8 percent in January 2015 following the company's holiday Q1 release which detailed its highest ever quarterly revenues and operating profits--results that the tech media depicted as "disappointing."

This happened again in the summer after Apple announced record earnings in June but market players raised the fearsome prospect of weak sales in China. Apple's shares tanked, enabling the company to opportunistically snatch up $14 billion of its own shares at what was then the lowest point in 2015.

Apple subsequently announced blockbuster earnings for the holiday Q4, particularly in China where revenue nearly doubled and iPhone sales grew by 87 percent in a market that only grew by 4 percent (meaning that outside of Apple, the market for smartphones had actually contracted). Apple also guided for growth higher than analysts were expecting. That correction in intelligence sent Apple's stock up a relatively meager few percent, followed by a massive collapse resulting from new rumors of supplier cuts that were interpreted as representing a massive decline in iPhone demand.

However, those rumors did not materialize in Q1 results. Instead, Apple provided guidance for Q2 to indicate a much smaller decline year over year than the rumors had anticipated. Even so, Apple's shares continued to fall to levels not seen since the summer of 2014, before iPhone 6--the most popular and massively successful computing device ever sold--appeared.

Against earlier predictions, iPhone 6s achieved similar sales in the winter quarter, while Apple's valuation returned to the days of iPhone 5/5s. Over the March quarter, Apple's global sales of iPhones, iPad and Macs were all lower than the year ago quarter, with the company attributed to a difficult economic climate and very unfavorable exchange rates across most of its international regions.

Apple's stock has appreciated dramatically in 2017, following strong earnings in the December quarter with the launch of iPhone 7; new MacBook Pros that helped boost Mac Average Selling Prices and hit new unit peaks; new wearables including Apple Watch Series 2 and AirPods and strong growth in Services from its growing installed base of loyal customers.

Combined with dividend payments and net share settlements, Apple has spent $300 billion on capital return since mid 2012.

AAPL Buyback History and Stock Appreciation

Apple's Capital Return program has been roundly criticized by some pundits, including Fortune columnist Shawn Tully, who a year ago declared the "wisdom" of the program as "looking pretty misguided" under the title "Apple Has Wasted Billions on Buybacks."


This outlook didn't hold up well


Apple's market cap is currently $813.9B while Alphabet is $651.3B, a difference of $162.6BTully was also excited to report that Google's umbrella company Alphabet "overtook Apple as the world's most valuable company," although that lasted only briefly (apart from Google's incorrect Snippets which continued to report false facts for nearly a year. Google still suggests that it is worth more than Apple in its search result answers, which draw upon old sources dating from 2015, below).

In reality, Apple's market cap is currently $813.9 billion while Alphabet is $651.3 billion, a difference of $162.6 billion, which is itself larger than the market cap of IBM ($141.3 billion).

However, Apple's Price/Earnings is just 18.31, compared to Google's P/E of 31.5. If investors saw the same potential in Apple as Google, the market cap of the iPhone maker would be closer to $1.4 trillion, rather than $814 billion.


Google is still living in the glory days of 2015


As Apple's share appreciation sped past Google's, the "wisdom" of its buyback program has also resulted in what appears to be the most successful buyback programs ever initiated.

Prior to its 2014 stock split, Apple spent about $50 billion buying back shares at prices ranging from around $50 to $90. Since the stock split, Apple has repurchased shares at prices from $100 to $130 per share, at times significantly higher than the current stock price--indicating that Apple expected its stock to recover and appreciate to much higher levels. Apple expected its stock to recover and appreciate to much higher levels--and it has

Apple's shares have indeed since spiraled upward, closing today at $156.10. That means the $151 billion in buybacks has erased about 1.3 [actually 1.57] billion shares, which at today's valuation would amount to about $245 billion, about $94 billion more than it spent on buybacks, more than paying for all the dividends Apple has distributed since 2012 ($54 billion) [figures corrected for accuracy as noted by reader Carnegie]

As of April 21, 2017, the company has 5.214 billion shares outstanding. The number of outstanding shares actually increased slightly in April as Apple issued more new shares than it purchased--this appears to be the first time the share count has increased within a month since 2013.


Apple shares outstanding Q2 2017. Source: YCharts.com

Despite massive buybacks, Apple still has a massive pile of cash

Apple is currently using much of its domestic U.S. cash flow to finance stock buybacks and dividend payments, and is also issuing bonds at extremely low interest rates to help pay for its capital return programs.

It currently holds $240 billion of its total $257 billion in cash reserves overseas; spending those funds domestically would incur a substantial tax penalty unless the U.S. Congress approves a tax break to enable and incentivize American firms to invest their foreign earnings in America.

Investors generally view cash as bad for companies to hoard (due to low returns from conservative investments), but Apple can't currently distribute more cash to shareholders without incurring a substantial U.S. tax penalty.

That has made Apple's vast cash holdings a convenient problem to have, because it enables the company to borrow at interest rates very close to zero for domestic investment and capital returns to shareholders while still maintaining vast market power to make long term component deals and strategic investments ranging from acquisitions to expansions of its retail network and its production capabilities.

Apple currently holds $99 billion in total debt, including about $10 billion in Commercial Paper outstanding. Subtracted from cash holdings, this means Apple has $158 billion in liquid assets apart from the more than $10 billion in free cash flow it generates every quarter.

Last year Apple reported that it expected to invest $15 billion in infrastructure, tooling, retail and other capital expenditures in fiscal 2016. For the current year, Apple expects to spend $16 billion.

Massive Apple investments around the world

In addition to its vast new Apple Park campus in Cupertino, the company has reportedly leased a third very large "AC3" Sunnyvale campus, has nearly completed a massive 1 million square foot Americas Operation Center in Austin, Texas (below) and is operating a San Jose, California chip fab for some unknown, very secretive functions, flanked by nearby development sites capable of hosting a fourth major Apple campus in the Bay Area around 101 Tech, directly north of the San Jose airport, where Apple could build another 4 million square feet of office space.

Americas Operation Center in Austin, Texas
Americas Operation Center in Austin, Texas


Apple has also leased a million square feet of office space in the Broadway Trade Center in Los Angeles, California and operates what is believed to be a GPU Design Center in Melbourne, Florida near Orlando, as well as having built out a 1.3 million square foot iCloud data center global command facility in Mesa, Arizona that cost around $2 billion and which directs the activities of four, multi-billion dollar U.S. iCloud data centers in Maiden, North Carolina; Reno, Nevada; Prineville, Oregon and Newark, California.


WaveRock facilities in Hyderabad, India | Source: Tishman Speyer


In addition, Apple has opened new software development centers in Brazil, Italy and India, including a technology center in Hyderabad (above) and a Design and Development Accelerator in Bengaluru.

It has also built out multiple other research centers including the Zhongguancun Science Park in Beijing, China; three silicon-related research and development sites in Herzlia, Ra'anana and Hafia, Israel; a health and materials-related research facility at the Tsunashima Technical Development Center in Yokohama, Japan; a top secret production lab in Longtan, Taiwan; a Siri voice research lab in Cambridge, England; an apparent automotive research site at Kanata Research Park in Ottawa, Canada and a camera optics research facility in Grenoble, France. It also has started work on a new research and development center in Shenzhen, China.

Last May, Apple announced a $1 billion investment in Chinese ride-hailing company Didi Chuxing, a move that resulted in rival Uber ending its efforts to compete in China.

Apple also floated $441.5 million of Green Bonds over the last year to fund new projects related to environmental sustainability, as well as a $1 billion Advanced Manufacturing Fund and a contribution of $1 billion into SoftBank's 'Vision Fund' to "speed the development of technologies which may be strategically important to Apple."

Comments

  • Reply 1 of 16
    irelandireland Posts: 17,798member
    Who cares how large Apple is in relation to Google? If they were smaller you'd tell us why it doesn't matter. But it doesn't matter either way. It's uninteresting to invest some much energy into talking about market valuation comparisons when it's all just based on speculation, greed and manipulation. This isn't a financial website. You'd be better off sticking to technology subject matters.
    edited May 2017 SpamSandwichSpamSandwich
  • Reply 2 of 16
    retrogustoretrogusto Posts: 1,117member
    Another benefit of the buybacks is that they are now saving $819,000,000 in dividend payments per quarter at the current rate due to all of those retired shares, and this number is just going to keep getting better. 
    Solitycho_macuser
  • Reply 3 of 16
    SoliSoli Posts: 10,038member
    Have they really bought back 1.5 billion share? I'd love for that to continue.
    retrogusto
  • Reply 4 of 16
    carnegiecarnegie Posts: 1,078member
    ...

    Apple's shares have indeed since spiraled upward, closing today at $155.71. That means the $151 billion in buybacks has erased about 1.3 billion shares, which at today's valuation would amount to about $203 billion, about $52 billion more than it spend on buybacks and nearly paying for all the dividends Apple has distributed since 2012 ($54 billion).

    ...
    Apple's share repurchases actually represent, in the aggregate, a better value than that. That $151 billion has bought back over 1.57 billion shares for an average price of around $96 per share. And AAPL closed at $156.10 today. Those 1.57 billion shares at $156.10 would be worth more than $245 billion.

    The number of shares repurchased isn't equal to the decline in the number of shares outstanding over that time because new shares are issued regularly (e.g. under Apple's employee stock purchase plan and as equity compensation). Also, I said that over 1.57 billion shares have been bought back because we don't know yet how many shares its February 2017 accelerated share repurchase agreement will yield. It was to close this month (i.e. in May 2017), so Apple could only report part of the shares repurchased though it on Apple's last 10-Q. The $151 billion number, on the other hand, includes all of the money that will be spent for that ASR ($3 billion). Perhaps another 3 to 4 million shares (in addition to the already reported 17.5 million shares) were purchased through that ASR.
    edited May 2017 retrogusto
  • Reply 5 of 16
    radarthekatradarthekat Posts: 3,855moderator
    "The May dividend will be the twelfth to occur since the company issued a 7-for-1 stock split. That split converted the dividend from $3.29 per share to 47 cents per share, which Apple subsequently increased last year to 52 cents and again increased this year to 63 cents."

    Actually, Apple increased to 52 cents the prior year, then to 57 cents last year and from there to 63 cents this year.
    SpamSandwich
  • Reply 6 of 16
    davidwdavidw Posts: 2,064member
    Another benefit of the buybacks is that they are now saving $819,000,000 in dividend payments per quarter at the current rate due to all of those retired shares, and this number is just going to keep getting better. 
    But you but you have to factor in that Apple issued bonds to get the money to buy back the shares. The savings from not having to pay the dividends on those bought back shares goes to pay the interest on the bonds. Then you have the to factor in that Apple still have the overseas cash that they use to secure the bonds with and that cash is still earning interest. Overall, I think Apple is still coming out ahead out of all this.
    anantksundaram
  • Reply 7 of 16
    Soli said:
    Have they really bought back 1.5 billion share? I'd love for that to continue.
    Wall Street made it really easy for Apple to buy back those shares over the past couple of years by devaluing the company so much. Apple was able to buy back those shares on the cheap. Look how many shares Microsoft has to pay dividends for (7.72B shares) as opposed to Apple's (5.21B shares). Yet for some reason, the greedy SOBs keep complaining Apple isn't doing enough for shareholders or that Apple is poorly managing their finances. Does that really make any sense to make that sort of claim? Microsoft doesn't make nearly as much profit as Apple and carries more debt, but yet it's Apple that's always the focus of being a poorly run company.

    If Apple wants to buy back a bit more stock, I can't complain but I'd certainly prefer to see some nice acquisition made with that cash hoard. I'm not qualified to tell how Apple needs to be run. This is just a personal wish. Truthfully, are there really that many companies who are better than Apple at handling finances? I'd sure like to know which companies are run a whole lot better than Apple. Are all of the FANG stocks run better than Apple because they show faster share price gains?
    edited May 2017 radarthekatanantksundarampatchythepirateSoli
  • Reply 8 of 16
    SoliSoli Posts: 10,038member
    gmgravytrain said:
    Truthfully, are there really that many companies who are better than Apple at handling finances? I'd sure like to know which companies are run a whole lot better than Apple. Are all of the FANG stocks run better than Apple because they show faster share price gains?
    There's a scene in the The Thomas Crown Affair (1999) where douche bag executives think they got one over on Crown because he sold a business, but only after signing they realize that they grossly overbid. I see that a lot with the acquisitions other companies make. How much revenue and profits was Instagram generated when Zuckerberg made a unilateral decision to buy it for $1 billion? I'm guessing they we're probably in the red. Good for Instagram's owners, and I'm sure that a single purchase won't tank FaceBook, but we see so many excessively large purchases—especially in times of desperation—that don't seem to be well thought out. I can't recall Apple ever jumping in without considerable forethought.
  • Reply 9 of 16
    lkrupplkrupp Posts: 10,557member
    ireland said:
    Who cares how large Apple is in relation to Google? If they were smaller you'd tell us why it doesn't matter. But it doesn't matter either way. It's uninteresting to invest some much energy into talking about market valuation comparisons when it's all just based on speculation, greed and manipulation. This isn't a financial website. You'd be better off sticking to technology subject matters.
    Fanboys on both sides have long since turned the Apple/Microsoft/Google rivalry into a pissing contest where there has to be a winner and a loser. You can go back to the days of the Amiga computer to find this blathering nonsense. Apple ][, ][GS fanboys and Amiga fanboys were always going at each other. Then it was Apple vs Microsoft and to this day you’ll occasionally see posts about Microsoft “saving” Apple and how Apple owes it very existence to Microsoft. It’s adolescent chest thumping at its finest. Apple has always raised the ire of a certain segment of the pseudo-techie crowd. Apple is not allowed to exist let alone succeed. So when in recent years as Apple has pulled ahead of all of its competitors the drumbeat continues with the “Apple is Doomed” meme. Finally website publishers know full well this kind of reporting garners click after click. It’s a closed feedback loop. 
    radarthekatjony0
  • Reply 10 of 16
    Rayz2016Rayz2016 Posts: 6,957member
    ireland said:
    Who cares how large Apple is in relation to Google? If they were smaller you'd tell us why it doesn't matter. But it doesn't matter either way. It's uninteresting to invest some much energy into talking about market valuation comparisons when it's all just based on speculation, greed and manipulation. This isn't a financial website. You'd be better off sticking to technology subject matters.

    It was mentioned in the hope it would stir stir up a bun fight in the comments section. Remember that this site exists to generate clicks. 
    ireland
  • Reply 11 of 16
    anantksundaramanantksundaram Posts: 20,404member
    Rayz2016 said:
    ireland said:
    Who cares how large Apple is in relation to Google? If they were smaller you'd tell us why it doesn't matter. But it doesn't matter either way. It's uninteresting to invest some much energy into talking about market valuation comparisons when it's all just based on speculation, greed and manipulation. This isn't a financial website. You'd be better off sticking to technology subject matters.

    It was mentioned in the hope it would stir stir up a bun fight in the comments section. Remember that this site exists to generate clicks. 
    Or better yet, if someone is not interested, they might consider having the self-discipline to not help generate clicks (and stop whining).
    edited May 2017
  • Reply 12 of 16
    anantksundaramanantksundaram Posts: 20,404member
    So Apple has repurchased its shares at roughly $100/share which, by hindsight, looks smart given where the share price is today. However, at what point does it become an expensive proposition, I wonder.
    edited May 2017
  • Reply 13 of 16
    jungmarkjungmark Posts: 6,926member
    So I basically get a free iPhone at every dividend interval. Sweet. 
  • Reply 14 of 16
    SoliSoli Posts: 10,038member
    So Apple has repurchased its shares at roughly $100/share which, by hindsight, looks smart given where the share price is today. However, at what point does it become an expensive proposition, I wonder.
    When the average cost per share for a given buyback window is higher than the current stock price? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  • Reply 15 of 16
    SpamSandwichSpamSandwich Posts: 33,407member
    So Apple has repurchased its shares at roughly $100/share which, by hindsight, looks smart given where the share price is today. However, at what point does it become an expensive proposition, I wonder.
    Do you think they'd consider ending either the buyback or the dividend? Perhaps at some point in the hazy future If and when the economy is on a more solid footing they'd stop retiring stock shares, but I can't see them ending the dividend... ever.
  • Reply 16 of 16
    carnegiecarnegie Posts: 1,078member
    Soli said:
    gmgravytrain said:
    Truthfully, are there really that many companies who are better than Apple at handling finances? I'd sure like to know which companies are run a whole lot better than Apple. Are all of the FANG stocks run better than Apple because they show faster share price gains?
    There's a scene in the The Thomas Crown Affair (1999) where douche bag executives think they got one over on Crown because he sold a business, but only after signing they realize that they grossly overbid. I see that a lot with the acquisitions other companies make. How much revenue and profits was Instagram generated when Zuckerberg made a unilateral decision to buy it for $1 billion? I'm guessing they we're probably in the red. Good for Instagram's owners, and I'm sure that a single purchase won't tank FaceBook, but we see so many excessively large purchases—especially in times of desperation—that don't seem to be well thought out. I can't recall Apple ever jumping in without considerable forethought.
    There have been plenty of acquisitions that are as you describe, but I don't think Facebook's Instagram purchase is among them. Instagram is a significant revenue generator for Facebook now and most estimates of its value (i.e. as stand alone enterprise) are many multiples of the $1 billion paid for it - $20 or $30 billion, I've seen more.

    At the time Mr. Zuckerberg's decision was met with some raised eyebrows, sure. But today it looks like a great move. If anything it bolster's the notion that he might know what he's doing.
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