Lack of updates and new models sees Apple Watch sales decline

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A lack of significant new features in the Apple Watch Series 10 and no updates to the Apple Watch SE or Apple Watch Ultra, is claimed to be behind another year of declining sales.

Red and black smartwatch screen showing compass, music note icon, and various activity metrics like UV index, latitude, and distance walked.
Apple Watch Ultra



First reports about Apple Watch sales in 2024 had already showed a significant drop, but now new figures from Counterpoint Research say the decline is tied to a lack of updates.

Counterpoint says that globally, Apple Watch sales declined 19% in 2024 year on year. That makes the second year that Apple Watch has seen a year on year decline, and Q4 2025 was the fifth consecutive quarter of decreasing sales.

The research firm says that the decline was worldwide except for India. While the company does not break down the sales per region further, Counterpoint says that the global figure was chiefly driven by the decline in North America.

Apple Watch Ultra 2 has previously accounted for over 10%, but fell to under 8% in 2024. That has been ascribed to the lack of a new Apple Watch Ultra 3 during the year.

Bar graph showing Apple Watch shipments from 2019 to 2024 with a line for growth rate, which declines from 23% in 2019 to -19% in 2024.
Sales have the Apple Watch have declined in the last two years -- source: Counterpoint Research



Similarly, the Apple Watch SE hasn't been updated since 2022. The report says that the Apple Watch SE constitutes the majority of Apple Watch sales immediately after launch, so the lack of one in Q3 2023 is what prompted the first quarterly decline.

Separately, as well as Apple Watch Series 10 being seen to offer few new features over its predecessor, the model was affected by legal battles. Those saw the removal of the Apple Watch Series 10's blood oxygen feature, at least from models sold in the US.

Apple is expected to launch an Apple Watch Series 11 in September, and while it is predicted to look the same, it may have significant new features. Those are said to include additional health sensors, as well as possibly cameras.

Then it's previously been reported that Apple has been working on introducing an Apple Watch SE with a plastic chassis. That would lower production costs, though it isn't guaranteed that Apple would pass those savings on to buyers.

Apple has also been rumored to be working on an update to the Apple Watch Ultra. It's suggested that an Apple Watch Ultra 3 could add the ability to use Messages via satellite, directly on the watch.



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Comments

  • Reply 1 of 17
    paisleydiscopaisleydisco Posts: 162member
    'declining' meaning those who want one already have it and see no reason to upgrade every year. 
    Alex1Nmacguineutrino23mr.scottgrandact73
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  • Reply 2 of 17
    Xedxed Posts: 3,166member
    'declining' meaning those who want one already have it and see no reason to upgrade every year. 
    On top of that, I know many people, myself included, that won't upgrade again until the O2 sensor is reactivated.
    xyzzy-xxxwilliamlondonmr moemuthuk_vanalingamAlex1Nmr.scottgrandact73fastasleep
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  • Reply 3 of 17
    melliottmelliott Posts: 4member
    As an owner of a Apple Watch 6, it is the O2 sensor. I won't upgrade without this feature.
    williamlondonmr moemuthuk_vanalingamgrandact73fastasleep
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  • Reply 4 of 17
    kiltedgreenkiltedgreen Posts: 653member
    Just think of this (A lack of significant new features in the Apple Watch Series 10 and no updates to the Apple Watch SE or Apple Watch Ultra, is claimed to be behind another year of declining sales.) concept logically; to address it, Apple would have to build new features into Apple Watch this year, in 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2032, 2033, 2034, 2035, 2036, 2037 …

    You get the picture.

    Just what exactly would you expect? How many features can be added to an Apple Watch, every year until the end of the product line? What are buyers demanding? What crucial feature must an Apple Watch have before these others buy it? Maybe everyone who wants one has bought one? Do iPhone sales keep rising every single year?

    I know computers are different from anything else in that they contain software which can be updated whereas your TV, cooker, car, grass mower, microwave and the like stay the boring same, year after year. Such is the strange life we lead as humans in the West today where it’s expected that there will always be more features in our tech products. Every. Single. Year.
    Alex1Nneutrino23grandact73fastasleep
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  • Reply 5 of 17
    danoxdanox Posts: 3,761member
    Like many Apple devices you get upgrades through software and the Apple Watch lasts a long time what’s the problem…
    neoncatgrandact73
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  • Reply 6 of 17
    avon b7avon b7 Posts: 8,272member
    Just think of this (A lack of significant new features in the Apple Watch Series 10 and no updates to the Apple Watch SE or Apple Watch Ultra, is claimed to be behind another year of declining sales.) concept logically; to address it, Apple would have to build new features into Apple Watch this year, in 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2032, 2033, 2034, 2035, 2036, 2037 …

    You get the picture.

    Just what exactly would you expect? How many features can be added to an Apple Watch, every year until the end of the product line? What are buyers demanding? What crucial feature must an Apple Watch have before these others buy it? Maybe everyone who wants one has bought one? Do iPhone sales keep rising every single year?

    I know computers are different from anything else in that they contain software which can be updated whereas your TV, cooker, car, grass mower, microwave and the like stay the boring same, year after year. Such is the strange life we lead as humans in the West today where it’s expected that there will always be more features in our tech products. Every. Single. Year.
    I'd say form factor/design considerations are important to keep inertia going. Longer battery life is also a selling point. Better sensor arrays (and the AI on the data interpretation). 

    Of course, the biggie is non-invasive continuous glucose monitoring. That will be a watershed moment. 

    appleinsideruserAlex1Nmr.scottgrandact73
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  • Reply 7 of 17
    davendaven Posts: 764member
    I updated this spring to a 10 from my 3. Yes, I wish it included O2 censor functionality but my series 3 was running low on memory even though I took most everything off of it. Many years of exercise data I guess plus apps take up more room. I think most people upgrade when they need to versus when they want to because there isn’t a huge leap in functionality.
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  • Reply 8 of 17
    eightzeroeightzero Posts: 3,192member
    daven said:
    I updated this spring to a 10 from my 3. Yes, I wish it included O2 censor functionality but my series 3 was running low on memory even though I took most everything off of it. Many years of exercise data I guess plus apps take up more room. I think most people upgrade when they need to versus when they want to because there isn’t a huge leap in functionality.
    And to be clear: "need to" = "battery not lasting." While we're on the subject though, I often wonder what happened to those "Series 0" Apple Watch Editions in gold and rose gold that were like $14k. Wonder how many of those they sold...and what happened to them. 

    appleinsideruser
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  • Reply 9 of 17
    macguimacgui Posts: 2,578member
    Apple will probably strike a deal with Masimo. Eventually. But I've assumed they won't and based my purchase of an S10 on its performance bumps over the my S8 and not given the SPO2 function any weight. So if its function is restored I'm happy, If it isn't I've other Apple Watches that have it.

    The other factor was the S10's form factor. It's subtle, but I notice it still especially if I wear my 8. The Ultra 2 in black is nice looking but still too close to the Ultra and not much else to get me to buy.

    The platform has matured so much nobody should be surprised if the next Gen or two don't induce buyers of the S10 to get the newest Watch for the next iteration or two. 
    fastasleep
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  • Reply 10 of 17
    neutrino23neutrino23 Posts: 1,569member
    It would be interesting to see a plot of estimated installed base. As everyone else has pointed out, it is not that the Watch is not popular, it is more that everyone has one. 

    Different products have different life times. The iPhone seems to be replaced after about 3 - 4 years. iPads seem to be kept for longer, maybe 6 years? TV sets last maybe 9 or 10 years. I wonder what the number is for the Watch?

    I’ve got the series 9 and it is really good. It is very lightweight so I barely know I’m wearing it. The battery lasts a long time. If I turned off “always on” it would probably last two days. In addition to telling time I use a lot of activity and health monitors. 

    Right now I don’t know what would motivate me to buy a new one. I’ll keep it for another 3 -5 years, easily.
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  • Reply 11 of 17
    charlesncharlesn Posts: 1,467member
    Xed said:
    'declining' meaning those who want one already have it and see no reason to upgrade every year. 
    On top of that, I know many people, myself included, that won't upgrade again until the O2 sensor is reactivated.
    Just curious: what is important to you about pulse oximetry? Do you have a medical condition that makes monitoring of your blood oxygen level essential? (And honestly, if that's the case, you should be using a pulse oximeter from Masimo or other hospital grade medical device company.) I have an Ultra 1 with pulse ox and almost never check it. Don't really have a reason to check. There was a moment during Covid when a lower than normal blood ox level could be an early indicator of severe respiratory distress, so monitoring my blood ox had a real purpose. And for that reason, I went out and bought a Masimo because readings through a watch just aren't as accurate or reliable.  

    Interesting news about Masimo today: they sold off that high-end audio company that ex-CEO Kiana bought for $1 billion in 2022 and they only got $330 million for it just three years later. Kiani was also the guy who went to war against Apple in court at enormous cost for no payoff. I keep hoping that Masimo's new sane management and Apple can settle their differences and get pulse ox activated again on Apple Watches in the U.S. 
    edited May 7
    fastasleep
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  • Reply 12 of 17
    Xedxed Posts: 3,166member
    macgui said:
    Apple will probably strike a deal with Masimo. Eventually. But I've assumed they won't and based my purchase of an S10 on its performance bumps over the my S8 and not given the SPO2 function any weight. So if its function is restored I'm happy, If it isn't I've other Apple Watches that have it.

    The other factor was the S10's form factor. It's subtle, but I notice it still especially if I wear my 8. The Ultra 2 in black is nice looking but still too close to the Ultra and not much else to get me to buy.

    The platform has matured so much nobody should be surprised if the next Gen or two don't induce buyers of the S10 to get the newest Watch for the next iteration or two. 
    As much I want the O2 sensor back and know that any deal with Masimo won’t affect Apple’s bottom line in any appreciable way, I absolutely don’t want Apple to make a deal with them.
    williamlondon
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  • Reply 13 of 17
    SiTimesitime Posts: 89member
    I’m also won’t be buying a new Apple Watch anytime soon. But that’s simply because Apple has already put everything that I want in the Apple Watch that I already own. I legitimately don’t know what Apple could add that would make me upgrade anytime soon.

    Well… obviously if Apple used some revolutionary new battery technology that gave the Apple Watch a week-long battery life, that would get me to upgrade. But aside from revolutionary new tech like that, I have everything I already need with the Apple Watch I already own. And that’s a great thing (for me and other consumers).

    Note: I have an Apple Watch old enough to have the O2 app enabled.
    edited May 7
    grandact73
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  • Reply 14 of 17
    Xedxed Posts: 3,166member
    charlesn said:
    Xed said:
    'declining' meaning those who want one already have it and see no reason to upgrade every year. 
    On top of that, I know many people, myself included, that won't upgrade again until the O2 sensor is reactivated.
    Just curious: what is important to you about pulse oximetry? Do you have a medical condition that makes monitoring of your blood oxygen level essential? (And honestly, if that's the case, you should be using a pulse oximeter from Masimo or other hospital grade medical device company.) I have an Ultra 1 with pulse ox and almost never check it. Don't really have a reason to check. There was a moment during Covid when a lower than normal blood ox level could be an early indicator of severe respiratory distress, so monitoring my blood ox had a real purpose. And for that reason, I went out and bought a Masimo because readings through a watch just aren't as accurate or reliable.  

    Interesting news about Masimo today: they sold off that high-end audio company that ex-CEO Kiana bought for $1 billion in 2022 and they only got $330 million for it just three years later. Kiani was also the guy who went to war against Apple in court at enormous cost for no payoff. I keep hoping that Masimo's new sane management and Apple can settle their differences and get pulse ox activated again on Apple Watches in the U.S. 
    1) Yes, I do have reason to check it occasionally.

    2) I do have a medical grade device for my finger.

    3) Studies have shown that Apple's O2 sensor is good.

    4) The best device is the one you already have on your person.
    fastasleep
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  • Reply 15 of 17
    entropysentropys Posts: 4,441member
    In my country we can still have a working O2 sensor.
    however I suspect the decline will be the same. The economy is tight, cost of living has rapidly risen, while Apple Watches are premium priced and not real additional features.

    basically priorities currently elsewhere, lack of feature expansion to generate interest in new models, and high price in current economy limit purchases.
    edited May 7
    williamlondon
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  • Reply 16 of 17
    fastasleepfastasleep Posts: 6,485member
    charlesn said:
    Xed said:
    'declining' meaning those who want one already have it and see no reason to upgrade every year. 
    On top of that, I know many people, myself included, that won't upgrade again until the O2 sensor is reactivated.
    Just curious: what is important to you about pulse oximetry? Do you have a medical condition that makes monitoring of your blood oxygen level essential? (And honestly, if that's the case, you should be using a pulse oximeter from Masimo or other hospital grade medical device company.) 
    JFC, everyone has different needs. For example, one might have sleep apnea or are curious about lapses in oxygen intake at night, and having something on your wrist that you're already using for health tracking might be the easiest/best solution for a non-established "medical condition" situation. 

    I asked Apple about getting my battery in my Series 6 replaced, and whether it'd result in me getting a refurb with the O2 sensor disabled, and they said that was likely the case. I may try to do it myself with a 3rd party battery at some point, though it's not dire just yet. I'll be seriously disappointed if they don't return that feature in the Series 11.
    Xed
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  • Reply 17 of 17
    danoxdanox Posts: 3,761member
    When Apple upgrades the Apple Watch sales will increase again, iPad Pro sales for example decreased, but when Apple upgraded to the M4 processor, sales increased and have been up since then, on the other hand, if Apple goes to sleep again and doesn’t improve the iPad in a timely manner, the sales will decrease again. The Apple Watch or any other Apple product is no different.
    edited May 9
    neoncat
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