Only the base iPhone 17 may escape a $50 price hike

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in Future Apple Hardware edited July 30

An analyst with almost no Apple rumor track record is probably right when they claim that three out of the four new iPhone 17 models will cost an extra $50 versus corresponding iPhone 16 models.

Close-up of a smartphone's rear in blue, featuring three large camera lenses and a flash positioned in the upper corner.
Render of a possible iPhone 17 Pro Max



Despite Trump's constant insistence that it's other countries who pay his "reciprocal" tariffs, it's US firms that do -- and so it's inevitable that costs will be borne by consumers. Apple has worked to delay price rises, but now an analyst says it has no choice to add $50 to almost every model.

Specifically, Jefferies analyst Edison Lee claims that the price hike will come to the iPhone 17 Pro, iPhone 17 Pro Max, and the expected iPhone 17 Slim. That would mean that both the top of the range and the company's first major new design will be affected.

$AAPL - IPHONE 18 PRICE HIKE EXPECTED: JEFFERIES

Jefferies analyst Edison Lee maintained a Hold rating and $188.32 price target on Apple. He noted strong iPhone demand in Q2 2025, with U.S. telcos reporting ~22% growth in equipment sales -- the highest in six quarters. This

-- *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone)



Perhaps most significantly, if this is correct, it means that the iPhone 17 Pro will break the $1,000 barrier for the first time. Apple has kept its base configuration to $999 since the iPhone 11 Pro in 2019.

There is no direct equivalent to the predicted iPhone 17 Slim in the current iPhone 16 range. However, that new model is assumed to be replacing the iPhone 16 Plus, which currently starts at $899.

The one model not predicted to see a price rise is the base iPhone 17. That's expected to retain the $799 of its current equivalent, the iPhone 16.

Jeffries says that the price rise is specifically to offset the impact of the tariffs, and from unspecified rising component costs.

Back in May 2025, it was reported that Apple was looking to raise prices because of tariffs, but also to find a way to avoid blaming Trump. That's because Trump's administration exploded at Amazon over a claim, later denied, that the retailer would display exactly how much the tariffs were adding to the cost of items.

Rumor Score: Likely

Read on AppleInsider

Comments

  • Reply 1 of 16
    Since Apple insists that apps provide a sort of 'nutrition' type privacy label (which I support), seems reasonable that Apple should provide a price transparency label. Include shipping costs, tariffs, etc. I really do not want to see Apple raise prices worldwide to mitigate tariffs on US customers. (I am a US customer.) 
    themindjibronnwillett
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  • Reply 2 of 16
    Afarstarafarstar Posts: 96member
    I’m assuming that this price rise will only be for US customers. Presumably European stock doesn’t touch America. 
    jibdanoxronnpulseimages
     1Like 3Dislikes 0Informatives
  • Reply 3 of 16
    retrogustoretrogusto Posts: 1,164member
    There has also been a lot of inflation worldwide in recent years (in many places worse than it has been in the U.S.) due to factors relating to the pandemic, so the new iPhones will probably still cost less than those from five years ago when you adjust for that factor. 
    jibdanoxronn
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  • Reply 4 of 16
    themindthemind Posts: 24member
    This is a VERY difficult thing to say as a 20+ year apple fan and UK user but if apple "spreads the pain" of Trumps tariffs around the world then I'm out, I'll leave the apple ecosystem and that's from someone who is VERY invested in it. Apple/USA, you have danced with the Trump devil and if the impact is on the rest of the world then expect the rest of the world to have long memories. Apple was, possibly still is, seen as one of the good guys of tech but that view is wearing thinner. At least in the UK/Europe several US tech companies are seen with distain for cosying up to Trump, paying for his inauguration etc, it's a dangerous path. Tesla drivers sporting "pre Trump Tesla" bumper stickers. Meta and X getting rid of any semblance of fact checking etc. As I say, I'm very much an apple fan but if Apple tries to make us pay for Trumps tariffs on the USA then Apples market share in the UK/Erope is going to go south.
    ToroidaljibwilliamlondonWesley_Hilliarddanoxronn
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  • Reply 5 of 16
    Wesley_Hilliardwesley_hilliard Posts: 634member, administrator, moderator, editor
    themind said:
    This is a VERY difficult thing to say as a 20+ year apple fan and UK user but if apple "spreads the pain" of Trumps tariffs around the world then I'm out, I'll leave the apple ecosystem and that's from someone who is VERY invested in it. Apple/USA, you have danced with the Trump devil and if the impact is on the rest of the world then expect the rest of the world to have long memories. Apple was, possibly still is, seen as one of the good guys of tech but that view is wearing thinner. At least in the UK/Europe several US tech companies are seen with distain for cosying up to Trump, paying for his inauguration etc, it's a dangerous path. Tesla drivers sporting "pre Trump Tesla" bumper stickers. Meta and X getting rid of any semblance of fact checking etc. As I say, I'm very much an apple fan but if Apple tries to make us pay for Trumps tariffs on the USA then Apples market share in the UK/Erope is going to go south.
    You're going to have a tough time finding a company that isn't spreading the cost globally.

    Afarstar said:
    I’m assuming that this price rise will only be for US customers. Presumably European stock doesn’t touch America. 
    Apple will absolutely raise prices globally to minimize how much the price needs to go up. $50 sounds like this is the case.
    danox
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  • Reply 6 of 16
    themindthemind Posts: 24member
    Apple has built a brand based on design, simplicity, focusing on what the user wants to do and trust, and can charge a significant premium because of that. Frankly other companies have caught up on design, both are getting there for simplicity of use, I'm good enough with IT to be able to bend Windows, Android, Linux etc to work the way I want to work. If the trust is gone then I have less reason to pay that significant premium.

    It's getting to the stage where the lockdowns in the apple ecosystem are irritants, by no means deal breakers, but irritants. If I end up subsiding US consumers then the pendulum has swung too far for me. 

    I appreciate great design, I don't appreciate being taken for granted. 

    Apple has been living on its reputation, ease of use, trust and the ecosystem for a long time, I'm not seeing anything compelling (for me) coming out of the company at the moment. I'm borderline on upgrading my phone this year, if I move that away from apple then the rest of my gear will move over then next 2 years. I seriously think apple is playing with fire here if the tariffs are spread to worldwide sales.
    edited July 30
    nubuswilliamlondonjibWesley_Hilliarddanoxwillett
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  • Reply 7 of 16
    lukeilukei Posts: 414member
    The Samsung Fold 7 is $100 more expensive at launch than the Fold 6
    danoxronn
     1Like 0Dislikes 1Informative
  • Reply 8 of 16
    themindthemind Posts: 24member
    lukei said:
    The Samsung Fold 7 is $100 more expensive at launch than the Fold 6
    I may be wrong but from what I can see both launched at £1799 in the uk for the same storage. Remember I'm UK.
    edited July 30
    williamlondondanoxronn
     0Likes 2Dislikes 1Informative
  • Reply 9 of 16
    themindthemind Posts: 24member
    I guess one of my issues is my iPhone is actually my "least loved" apple device, apart from my watch which I never now use. I have 2, desktops, 2 laptops and 2 iPads. My Macs are my most loved, the iPad Pro I like a lot but my phone is much less "loved" if that makes any sense at all. 

    In all seriousness I cannot see any significant innovation in iPhones for several years, AI had a chance to change that but google and copilot are leaps ahead for work, and I don't give a damn about making pretty pictures. As far as the rest goes? Dynamic island - really? dumping pixels to hide the camera is a feature? Action button - ok, a bit useful. The cameras - they are fine, but you can get better. The battery life - no. Airdrop - yes that's useful.

    Ideally I won't change phone this year which will give me another year to see if apple produces something compelling, but if my power socket continues to play up, and apple decided to spread US tariffs then, as I say, I'll probably move away from apple.
    williamlondonjibWesley_Hilliardronn
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  • Reply 10 of 16
    themindthemind Posts: 24member
    Rather hilarious that I'm getting "dislikes" for these comments.

    Hey ho
    Wesley_Hilliardlukeironnfred1
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  • Reply 11 of 16
    lukeilukei Posts: 414member
    themind said:
    lukei said:
    The Samsung Fold 7 is $100 more expensive at launch than the Fold 6
    I may be wrong but from what I can see both launched at £1799 in the uk for the same storage. Remember I'm UK.
    Many variables including currency, UK £ is up against the US $

    but I quoted $ for a reason 
    ronn
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  • Reply 12 of 16
    lukeilukei Posts: 414member
    Had a Fold 7 delivered for one of my board today. Very impressive phone. Only the Apple ecosystem in particular watch keeping me on iPhone for now…
     0Likes 0Dislikes 0Informatives
  • Reply 13 of 16
    charlesncharlesn Posts: 1,556member
    Reality check:

    The iPhone 7 Plus 256GB cost $969 in 2016 -- accounting for inflation, that works out to $1293 in 2025 dollars. 

    The iPhone 16 256GB--which has a much bigger screen than the 7 Plus and is an exponentially better phone in pretty much every measurable way costs $899 in 2025 dollars. Not only is that less in actual dollars, it's a little over 30% cheaper than an iPhone 7 Plus when accounting for inflation and you're getting a hugely better phone. Even if you slap a $50 increase on the iPhone 17/256 for tariffs, it's still ten bucks cheaper in actual dollars than the iPhone 7 Plus. 

    When we consider the base model Pro, it's the same $999 price it was when introduced in 2019... accounting for inflation, that's $1255 in 2025 dollars, so the Pro has actually decreased in price by a little over 20% in terms of inflation-adjusted dollars. Again, hard to argue with a $50 price increase given the brutal tariffs, and what I suspect Apple may do is sweeten a price increase with an increase in base memory from 128gb to 256gb. We know that storage prices are a massive profit center for Apple, bordering on criminal, so it probably costs Apple little to do the bump up and keeps customers happier than they would be with just a price increase. In fact, if the base 17 Pro goes to $1049 with 256 storage, that would be $50 cheaper than what that configuration costs for the 16 Pro. This is not just wishful thinking--the last revision of the base iPad Mini went from 128GB storage to 256GB with no increase in price at all. Of course, similar to what it did with the Pro Max, Apple could also make 256GB the new base model Pro and charge the same $1099 that it does now, and claim "no price increase," which would technically be true.  
    edited July 30
    ronnwillettlukei
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  • Reply 14 of 16
    AppleZuluapplezulu Posts: 2,549member
    themind said:
    This is a VERY difficult thing to say as a 20+ year apple fan and UK user but if apple "spreads the pain" of Trumps tariffs around the world then I'm out, I'll leave the apple ecosystem and that's from someone who is VERY invested in it. Apple/USA, you have danced with the Trump devil and if the impact is on the rest of the world then expect the rest of the world to have long memories. Apple was, possibly still is, seen as one of the good guys of tech but that view is wearing thinner. At least in the UK/Europe several US tech companies are seen with distain for cosying up to Trump, paying for his inauguration etc, it's a dangerous path. Tesla drivers sporting "pre Trump Tesla" bumper stickers. Meta and X getting rid of any semblance of fact checking etc. As I say, I'm very much an apple fan but if Apple tries to make us pay for Trumps tariffs on the USA then Apples market share in the UK/Erope is going to go south.
    Politically, sure, I’d like to see Apple charge the entire tariff cost directly to US consumers, marked clearly on the price tag as “Trump Tariff Tax.” That would be the most transparent action, and would make a valid point clear. 

    The problem, of course, is that Apple is a business, and spreading excessive costs from any one country across the price of all devices sold worldwide will probably have less net negative effect on sales than it would if they left those costs focused in individual countries. I would speculate that this has been the practice already, long before Trump’s tariffs were a thing. 
    ronnmuthuk_vanalingam
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  • Reply 15 of 16
    kellie said: Don’t forget we’ve been paying tariffs on imported products for decades. So this is nothing new.
    Paying taxes isn't anything new either. So why did rich people and corporations need another tax cut?

    Also, tariffs were already proven to be a failure in Trump's 1st term as president. They put tariffs on agricultural products and the end result was taxpayers having to pay $28 billion to farmers to keep them from going bankrupt. And after receiving the bailout, those farmers experienced diminished demand going forward for their output. Which means that doing nothing would have been better than doing tariffs. You're going to find out within the next year that it's the same deal with all the other stuff that Trump is slapping tariffs on. Doing nothing would have been better. 
    ronnwilliamlondon
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  • Reply 16 of 16
    charlesncharlesn Posts: 1,556member
    kellie said:
    The cost of US tariffs are not always passed on fully to consumers.  As has been shown thus far the vast majority of the cost of tariffs have been absorbed by the manufacturer/importer/distributor/retailer.  
    True, BUT... here's a real example of how "absorbed" actually translates to the economy. A good friend has a very substantial business importing and selling specific European goods in America for which there is no U.S.-made equivalent. He has decided to eat the 15% tariffs rather than raise prices, but that will mean many hundreds of thousands of dollars going to the government that will not be available for business expansion, hiring new people or other new business investment. And this story is being repeated ad nauseam at companies large and small across America. Do you think GM takes a billion dollar hit from tariffs and simply shrugs. "Oh, well?" In addition to this, some companies are also using a "shrinkflation" strategy to deal with tariffs. That's a real thing, I didn't make up that word. Instead of passing along price increases to consumers, they are shrinking size or quantity (mostly) or reducing quality while keeping prices the same. So the customer IS paying more, just in a less obvious way.

    kellie said:
    Don’t forget we’ve been paying tariffs on imported products for decades.  So this is nothing new. 
    Actual research is your friend, Kellie. The truth is that the last time tariffs were this high was 1925. And THAT sure worked out well, didn't it? In fact, the last time average tariffs even hit double digits was 1947, at a little over 10%. Average tariffs have been in the single digits since then, and in the low single digits in recent decades. So your suggestion that Trump's tariffs are nothing new, or somehow not so different from what we've been paying right along is false. We haven't seen anything like it in a century, and that ended very, very badly for the country. https://www.visualcapitalist.com/the-average-u-s-tariff-rate-since-1890/

    What's also terrible for business is that Trump's word and signature are worthless. The agreements he signs today he'll toss out tomorrow subject to his whim of the moment. Look no further than his torching of the USMCA shortly after he got back into office, an agreement he personally negotiated and signed after tearing up NAFTA. Or that he intends to punish Brazil with tariffs--a country with which we've had a trade surplus for decades!--for its legal actions against a Brazilian politician he likes. Where does that insanity leave American companies who export to Brazil? Trade policy is not a tool to serve a man-baby's friends and ego. He also wants to punish Canada anew because it's going to recognize Palestine as a state, something it has every right to do as a sovereign state. This is ALL absolutely unprecedented and nuts. 

    edited July 31
    foregoneconclusionronnmuthuk_vanalingam
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