As I said, the more national the election, the greater the cross-over vote...and your data, combined with mine, bears this out:
I agree that southerners are more likely to vote for Dems in local elections than national elections, but I wouldn't call it a "cross-over" vote in which Rs are voting for Ds.
I don't know anything about this source, but it has data on party identification in the South. There used to be a strong D advantage, but now it's very small. And the last year reported here is 1996, and I bet the trend has continued even further.
But even setting that aside, there might be a couple percentage point advantage to the Ds, but Blacks are much more like to say they're Ds than whites, so that would suggest the majority of Whites identify themselves as Rs in order to balance out the difference.
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What race initiated programs???
Originally posted by MaxParrish
As I said, the more national the election, the greater the cross-over vote...and your data, combined with mine, bears this out:
I agree that southerners are more likely to vote for Dems in local elections than national elections, but I wouldn't call it a "cross-over" vote in which Rs are voting for Ds.
I don't know anything about this source, but it has data on party identification in the South. There used to be a strong D advantage, but now it's very small. And the last year reported here is 1996, and I bet the trend has continued even further.
But even setting that aside, there might be a couple percentage point advantage to the Ds, but Blacks are much more like to say they're Ds than whites, so that would suggest the majority of Whites identify themselves as Rs in order to balance out the difference.
Party Identification in the South
Year, Dems, Ind., Repub, Dem advantage
1960_56_23_21_+35
1964_50_32_17_+33
1968_40_38_22_+18
1972_35_39_26_+9
1976_51_30_19_+32_
1980_43_29_28_+15
1984_37_34_29_+8
1988_43_25_32_+11
1990_44_27_30_+14
1992_38_32_30_+8
1994_34_35_31_+3
1996_36_33_31_+5__