DanielEran
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WWDC 2018: Apple, Siri and the future of mobile voice automation in iOS 12
canukstorm said:"Siri’s development is one area where we need to watch closely from Apple in the post-Jobs era of Apple. There was a major concern that Apple would not be same, and their run on innovation would end. That certainly has not been the case, however, what I’m not sure we have seen is how Apple in the post Jobs era deals with failure or potentially impactful struggles to the companies future."
https://techpinions.com/apple-siri-and-dealing-with-failure/52484
"What do you anticipate WWDC 18 will introduce for Siri, Workflow, HomePod and Continuity?" => Given that the rumors point to iOS 12 / macOS 14 being a "Snow Leopard" type of release, I'm not expecting much this year.
Given that Siri languished for many years under Eddy Cue's leadership (Federighi now being in charge of Siri) & how important Siri is to Apple's future, I am surprised he still around at Apple.
It was well into the Post Jobs era that iOS 7 and the A7 shipped, that iCloud development was fixed and dramatically expanded, that Maps was made usable in most countries (enough to relegate Google Maps into a minor position on iOS) and where iPad crushed all tablets and no competition is left outside of Android placeholders shipping PC-like generic boxes with razor-thin margins.
Also, Samsung's leadership is fresh out of jail and Google has experienced a wave of new managers. So the whole Jobs thing really needs to be put to bed. -
If iPhone X demand is less than expected, analyst expects it to be 'end of life' when repl...
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Apple bought back a record $23.5B of AAPL shares in Q1 as Wall Street peddled "full panic ...
GeorgeBMac said:In the years following the Great Recession Apple and many other companies were borrowing money (at super cheap rates) in order to funnel it out to shareholders as stock buybacks and dividends --which is obviously not a sustainable business model. But it kept the stock market in a 10 year bull market -- the largest period of sustained growth in its history (Well, actually, the 2nd longest).But, now that the Fed is raising rates, that mechanism is no longer viable. So, rather than letting the stock market crash to its fundamental value, they thought up a new ponzi scheme: The federal government borrows the money, funnels the proceeds to corporations and the corporations funnel it out to their stock holders via share buybacks and dividends. Essentially, the U.S. government borrows the money from China and gives it to stock holders...Like all scams, it's a brilliant scheme that works really, really well. Until it doesn't.
Rates are rising, but Apple no longer needs to issue debt.
How do you think the fed govt "funneling money to corporations"? Apple is distributing its earnings to shareholders. Apple also holds billions in US Govt securities. -
Sloppy report depicts Apple as struggling with LG as an alternative to Samsung OLEDs on ne...
klock379 said:"Display estimates for iPhone 7 and 8 models have suggested an LCD component cost closer to $50. Yet the screens' cost ratio to the entire iPhone BOM was only a few percentage points different. And even a nearly $50 difference component cost for the display would only result in a retail price difference of about twice that much, or around $100 of the final price. " I am sure DED has done the math and I am confident that his statement is correct. But for my own education, can someone help me understand how that conclusion is derived?
As a very general ballpark rule, the component cost of a CE device generally has to be roughly doubled to arrive at a price where it can be sold at a reasonable profit.
That's why low-end phones generally can't afford to add an expensive processor or camera that "only costs" a certain amount that by itself doesn't seem very expensive. You have to double that component cost to achieve a sellable price. -
Bloomberg butchers Samsung OLED statements to portray iPhone X as weak
k2kw said:For once i would like to see DED come out with his prediction of how the iPhoneX is doing ? How much revenue will Apple pull in this quarter? How many phones will be sold. What will be the ASP? And what percentage of phones where the iPhoneX? Will the iPhoneX be the still be the big seller?
Same for iPads, Computers, and HomePods.
And how will Apple do in the next year? Will sales in Fiscal year 2019 be better or worse than 2020 when the second generation of Apple OLED phones come out.
Its easy being a critic and attacking others in hindsight.
I'd like to see Apple's staff make their predictions and publicly track how they do (along with all these 3rd party analysts). Track two predictions be for Earnings release ; one made one month be fore the earnings call and one 3-5 days before the earnings call.
Mark Gurman is selectively picking up ideas to create bullshit logic to support a narrative that is not really supported by any facts, and contradicted by clear facts.
The fact my reporting this upsets you sort of reveals a lot about you.
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A look at Apple's secretive strategies set to unfold at WWDC 2018
dewme said:I really (really!) hope that Apple doesn't fall into creating a SDK/API/Platform/Toolkit galaxy of time sucking black holes like the ones that Microsoft created for itself throughout the 90s and 00s. An endless parade of unfinished, ever changing, and unfulfilled promises perched precariously atop fragile SDKs, APIs, Platforms, Toolkits, and fantastical reimagined architectures that kept tens of thousands of engineers very busy for years building technical tidbits that would too often never even see the light of day and constantly keeping customers sitting on their hands year after year waiting for the next big thing that would transform their business and pump up their bottom line. It ends up being an endless chain of pass-along promises and everyone ends up losing - except the company selling the toolkits and technical book publishers.
Apple's success is based on its ability to deliver highly compelling, easy to use, valuable, and reliable products (and to a lesser degree - services). These big geek laden mashups like WWDC are fabulous opportunities (and boondoggles) for those who will be building the pieces and parts too get with the program so they can help bring the next round of products and services to market. But Apple has to be very careful to always be selling this technology to the technologists who "touch the code" and don't try to sell technology to the managers, directors, VPs, SVPs, C-suite residents, and especially end-customers. There's nothing quite as horrifying as seeing your CEO get up at a big customers facing conference and start spewing the virtues of service oriented architecture (SOA) like they're selling Swiss Steak as the daily special at Bob Evans. "You, our most valued customers, you need some SOA (pronounced 'so ahh') and by golly we're the ones who are gonna bring you the best SOA on the planet, with some help from our friends in Redmond no less, and it's going to be totally awesome. You're gonna love it. Maybe with some green beans on the side."
It's all about the products. Don't forget that.
Much of the new APIs that Apple is opening up are (as the article notes) actually internal work that it is making usable to third parties. Core ML isn't chasing after everyone else's ML API, but rather the work Apple did internally to develop ML-based features in Camera, Siri and the word suggesting quicktype keyboard. That's the same formula behind building iPhone apps, then opening up the SDK to third parties to build more.
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Amazon touts 100M Prime users as Apple quietly passes a quarter-billion paid subscriptions...
rogifan_new said:
Also, I have never written Motley Fool style articles offering to explain daily stock price changes. That would be a fool's errand.
Also your "AAPL shares being down 2% pre-market with TSMC offering weak guidance attributing it to softening demand in the premium smartphone market" is directly ripped from a headline by 9to5 paraphrasing the genius work at CNBC repeating the total BS that iPhone X is a great disappointment and that somebody somewhere cut orders.
There are so many sites on the internet offering to dribble out total garbage that's obviously bullshit. Why do you want AI to be another one?
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Lennar now integrating Amazon Alexa surveillance into new home construction
dewme said:This article is a glass half-empty perspective that misses some brutal limitations of Apple's current offerings. I believe Amazon is more than a few steps ahead of Apple along the path to providing real-world implementations of usable Ambient Intelligence environments ———-
Ok, Amazon is certainly working on many initiatives and partnerships rapidly, not just selling a HomePod.
But how is that different from Google spending the last ten years trying to invent a valuable set of use cases for Android and really only ending up with one: smartphones. All while Apple was cricisized for its focus on iPhone. And then later iPad. And then Apple TV and Apple Watch, and Home Pod.
And then all of a sudden Apple is the not just the only one making any money across any hardware while google keeps failing to break in, while but also Apple is learning how to monetize mobile Services better than Google (that was Google’s core competency on PC).
Google handles twice the app downloads but makes half the revenue. It doesn’t lead in music or media. Isn’t creating anything. Hasn’t even monetized search on mobile better than it had on PC.
So when people are impressed at how far the hot air blows out of Amazon today, I think about the last ten years of Google and then ten years of Microsoft before that, and IBM before that. And the winning survivor through all that has been perpetually going out of business because it’s “too proprietary and moving too slow with too little unit market share.”
And that makes me think I’m probably right about Amazon Alexa. -
Editorial: More companies need to temper their Artificial Intelligence with authentic ethi...
franklinjackcon said:I'm not sure I agree with the assumptions that this article is based on. Could Apple have developed something like Voice Match to differentiate between less personal accounts, e.g. News or Apple Music without opening up access to contacts or calling? If the issue was privacy not technology then why wouldn't they at least start with those? This looks very much like retrofitting a privacy excuse that was never the main reason for HomePod's limitations.
However, Apple is also not racing to rapidly throw out ideas in the voice category because:
a) it's not an amazon/google with surveillance/ad/marketing motivations
b) it's not behind in making money in mobile
c) Apple's huge business requires it to think about things before it deploys them to hundreds of millions of users
d) as Lkrupp noted above, Apple is scrutinized in the media the way other smaller companies are not (Google, Facebook, Amazon) -
Apple launches another kind of Bootcamp at WWDC, and it's a HIIT
Soli said:Good on Apple. I hope they have workout sessions every day for this WWDC and future developer conferences. I wonder if Steve Jobs would've ever greenlit this had the Apple Watch existed under his watch.
For DED:
1) Was there a requirement to have an Apple Watch to be part of this session?
2) How long was the workout session?
3) Did you have to sign up far in advance to get in and was it full?
It was 45 minutes. I was wet after haha.
No no it was first come first served. There were about 200 mats laid out, and they likely had more available if more people hadn’t been out for drinks the night before or didn’t want to slee in.
Steve was all about the Nike+ app and health stuff so I’m sure he would love the direction of Apple in health and fitness.