512ke

This is a huge construction project using American workers! Will Apple get some love from the new administration because of it? Yes *If Apple builds a giant coal power plant right in the middle of the 0

Apple is out of the business of routers. Someone else will fill that need. 

Apple is out of the business of monitors. Someone else will fill that need. 

Apple is out of business. Someone else will fill that need. 

6502 said:

I'd gladly pay a few hundred dollars more to buy an American made iPhone. We are too dependent on China for things we use daily. And fewer Chinese student at our universities? That's a reward, not a threat.

It's a fantasy to think the US Govt is going to force Apple to start manufacturing and furthermore locate its first and only factory in the USA. 

Same kind of fantasy as, coal is coming back. Same fantasy as, Detroit factories that employ tens of thousands of people are coming back. 

But I digress. As usual lol. 

Here is my personal observation about Trump attacking China's currency policies/imposing tariffs on their imports...

He promised he would do it. 

If he doesn't do it, he's a liar. 

But. 

He also promised to grow the US economy. 

And. If he keeps his promise on China trade, then the US economy will suffer greatly. 

Therefore.  He cannot keep both of these promises. These two cornerstones of his campaign are simply incompatible. 

You cannot be anti China trade and pro US growth at the same time. 

Ay, there's the rub. 

Will the Trump Presidency help or harm Apple?

Who knows? Campaign promises are just that... But here are some PERSONAL predictions:

1) Trump said, “I think we’re going to get things coming. We’re going to get Apple to start building their damn computers and things in this country instead of in other countries.”

I call b.s. on this one. You CAN'T FORCE APPLE to bring its manufacturing to the USA because Apple doesn't manufacture anything. The company doesn't have any factories. They outsource manufacturing all their components. The US Govt is not going to force Apple to change its business model and start building iPhone factories in Kentucky. Nor does the USA have the necessary manufacturing expertise any more to create viable iPhone factories. Therefore I predict ZERO EFFECT ON APPLE.

2) Cash repatriation. Incentivize Apple to bring the money back to the USA. Apple already has the cash. Whether Apple keeps it in the US is important for the US, but not for Apple in a *hugely important way.  MINOR POSITIVE EFFECT.

3) Lowered corporate taxes. This also won't make a big splash from Apple's POV. Apple already pays low corporate taxes. The company doesn't care who they write the check to. ZERO EFFECT ON APPLE.

4) Forcing Apple to open its encryption. Apple's phones would be less valuable from a privacy POV to consumers. Potentially NEGATIVE EFFECT.

5) Vengeance. Trump has vowed to jail Hillary. Tim Cook not only supported Hillary, he was on her list of potential running mates. Potentially NEGATIVE EFFECT.

6) Anti globalization. If Trump backs out of TRADE DEALS with China or starts a so-called trade war, Apple's sales will suffer. POSSIBLY ENORMOUS NEGATIVE EFFECT.

7) Trump has vowed to double the USA's economic growth. POSSIBLY LARGE POSITIVE EFFECT if he succeeds. But it won't make up for 6) above in magnitude if global trade shrinks.

8) Renewable energy. Trump may end incentives and end up costing Apple money. In the spirit of a wild uneducated guess, I would say, NEGATIVE EFFECT.

Trump seems to use a Samsung Galaxy phone, by the way, although some of his staff tweeted from an iPhone.

That is all lol. Thanks for reading my purely speculative and highly subjective analysis lol.