They likely will have more 5C's available this weekend than 5S's. As far as 5C sales this weekend though, two questions come to my mind:
rumormill wrote: »
These analyst are useless. There are too many variables to determine what this weekends sales mean compared to last year. Apple could even limit how many phones they want sold in this quarter to ensure the December quarter is a blow out. May have nothing to do with supply and demand.
I think we're going to see a lot of that over this weekend.
Tim Cook is a master at inventories.
I doubt there is less stock of 5Ss than there were of 5s a year ago. I'm assuming just as a year ago there will be 5 million 5Ss ready launch weekend, but demand this year for the 5S being greater will more quickly outstrip supply. That will leave plenty of 5Cs for customers desperate to have the latest iPhone to fight over.
I think we could easily see upwards of 8-9 million iPhones sold this weekend (4-5 million 5Ss and 3-4 million 5Cs).
8-9 million iPhones? Please don't get those jackass analysts started with the big iPhone numbers theory. They'll see your figure and then try to stick another million or two on top of that and eventually even if Apple sells 10 million it will be seen as a disappointment and proof that Apple has jumped the shark. I'm already pissed that only Apple's share price is stuck in the mud while the rest of the stock market soars to the heavens.
constable odo wrote: »
8-9 million iPhones? Please don't get those jackass analysts started with the big iPhone numbers theory. They'll see your figure and then try to stick another million or two on top of that and eventually even if Apple sells 10 million it will be seen as a disappointment and proof that Apple has jumped the shark. I'm already pissed that only Apple's<span style="line-height:1.4em;"> share price is stuck in the mud while the rest of the stock market soars to the heavens.</span>
sure, if the 5c/5s first weekend sales don't at least match last year's, that will be a bad sign for real. if your "latest and greatest" drops off from the previous model (all other things being equal) that is not good.
plus with two new models this time and an expanded global launch, that alone should boost initial sales.
and there is a lot of enthusiasm about the 5s. it's gotten mostly 4/5 star reviews, except for a few nagging nabobs of negativism. Touch ID in particular is shaping up as a "killer feature" that people just have to have - all the reviewers said they really wished they didn't have to go back to the old passcode manual entry after they got used to it. so i'm sure all the other OEM's are in a panic now to rush their own biometric ID feature into production (how fast can Samsung copy it?).
add all that up, and yeah, at least 6 million sales would be expected, and 8 million is possible. so for once i don't think these "analysts" are way off.
first reality check will be how long the lines outside Apple stores are tonight compared to last year - the most enthusiastic.