iPhone marketshare in China predicted to double in 2014
A new report issued Wednesday by research agency IDC predicts that Apple's share of the Chinese smartphone market will double in 2014 thanks to the introduction of the lower-cost iPhone 5c and an anticipated new carrier agreement with China Mobile, the world's largest wireless provider.
IDC's analysis anticipates that Apple's introduction of the lower-cost iPhone 5c combined with the consummation of the company's long-rumored deal with China Mobile, the world's largest wireless carrier, will help Apple capture a significantly larger share of the 450 million smartphones IDC expects to be sold in China in 2014.
Apple's marketshare has "declined dramatically" in the last year thanks to slow sales of the iPhone 5, but is "expected to remarkably improve with the launch of the new iPhone,? according to IDC China's James Yan.
These predictions come despite indications that the iPhone 5c, which is rumored to launch first on China Mobile's 3G network as the carrier and its 740 million customers await issuance of 4G operating licenses, is being outsold by its Touch ID-enabled sibling by a large margin. The data suggests that the iPhone 5s was more than three times as popular as the iPhone 5c during their record-breaking opening weekend.
The report paints a bleak picture for the future of Google's rival Android operating system, predicting that the now-dominant OS will begin to decline in 2013 and slowly be overtaken by iOS and smaller, "more open" competitors.
"It is difficult to displace Android?s dominant position in the Chinese market within a short period of time," says Yan, "but IDC predicts that its share in China?s mobile phone operating system market will reach the peak in 2013, and that the mobile phone vendors and telecom operators will adopt new operating systems with a more open attitude."
IDC's analysis anticipates that Apple's introduction of the lower-cost iPhone 5c combined with the consummation of the company's long-rumored deal with China Mobile, the world's largest wireless carrier, will help Apple capture a significantly larger share of the 450 million smartphones IDC expects to be sold in China in 2014.
Apple's marketshare has "declined dramatically" in the last year thanks to slow sales of the iPhone 5, but is "expected to remarkably improve with the launch of the new iPhone,? according to IDC China's James Yan.
These predictions come despite indications that the iPhone 5c, which is rumored to launch first on China Mobile's 3G network as the carrier and its 740 million customers await issuance of 4G operating licenses, is being outsold by its Touch ID-enabled sibling by a large margin. The data suggests that the iPhone 5s was more than three times as popular as the iPhone 5c during their record-breaking opening weekend.
The report paints a bleak picture for the future of Google's rival Android operating system, predicting that the now-dominant OS will begin to decline in 2013 and slowly be overtaken by iOS and smaller, "more open" competitors.
"It is difficult to displace Android?s dominant position in the Chinese market within a short period of time," says Yan, "but IDC predicts that its share in China?s mobile phone operating system market will reach the peak in 2013, and that the mobile phone vendors and telecom operators will adopt new operating systems with a more open attitude."
Comments
Impossible! The iPhone 5c is going to be a complete and utter failure in China because it's too expensive!
/s
Gotta love predictions like this one being utterly wrong. Though his backtracking and cheerleading after seeing the real sales numbers is quite amusing. You'd almost think he hadn't spent days on end spreading FUD and doom and gloom about how the launch would be a failure.
Who are the smaller "more open" competitors?
Nonsense. Don't you understand the price has actually nothing to do with the popularity of Apple products? You can read up on it in various articles, right here on this site.
Do you have any evidence for this? Please share.
If not, please do the decent thing and shut up.
Too bad currently the "lower cost" 5C is doing terrible in China. iPhone sales are gonna double, buts it's going to be because of the 5S (particularly the gold model) not the 5C.
And your evidence is what, exactly? Do you have the hard sales numbers or are you just listening to the analyst speculation?
Nonsense. Don't you understand the price has actually nothing to do with the popularity of Apple products? You can read up on it in various articles, right here on this site.
Yes, it is nonsense. Hence why I was mocking the people who were claiming that before last Friday's launch and the sales figures came out.
Nonsense. Don't you understand the price has actually nothing to do with the popularity of Apple products? You can read up on it in various articles, right here on this site.
Excellent point. China has been averaging 10% growth in GDP per year for the last 30 years. (This year perhaps 7%) and half of it's 1.35 billion (2012) people are is still living in poverty. The growth is going to be amazing for Apple.
Who are the smaller "more open" competitors?
They just made that up as Android is the most open of the major players. You can tell the analyst is wrong just by looking at the Windows phone share. If they think Windows phone is going to do that well they know nothing of the phone industry.
I'd like to see the same graph with estimated profits for each group.
Best post!
AI - friendly suggestion: Please quit posting analyst or research organization predictions. It just demeans the other fine material on your site.
If you really feel a strong urge to post something, I suggest you use the standard "Lorem Ipsum" text instead. It contains far more intelligence than the analyst babble:
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipisicing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum.
Do you have any evidence for this? Please share.
If not, please do the decent thing and shut up.
Hard evidence? Of course not. Nor will we ever have anything that people on here would call hard evidence. Apple doesn't split the numbers.
Marketshare doubles means no growth story left after 2x - That means AAPL is doomed!
Read an article in Forbes (so take it for what it's worth) that by 2020 600 million people in China will have "middle class" incomes. Who knows what phones will look like by then or if it will still be relevant, but the consumer buying power in China is clearly getting stronger every year so maybe this is just great timing as more and more people at least have the option to buy the more expensive iPhone.
this. Remember this is china, where 1000 year plans are the norm… 7 years is barely a tick of the economic clock.
Note in 2020, that's 4 turns of the apple design crank (2014, 2016, 2018, 2020). And with the 'c' series, maybe more.
And your evidence is what, exactly? Do you have the hard sales numbers or are you just listening to the analyst speculation?
Yes, it is nonsense. Hence why I was mocking the people who were claiming that before last Friday's launch and the sales figures came out.
Neither. He pulled it right out of his ass, just like the analysts.
Who's Localytics? Are they a well-known firm? Considering that even well-known ones -- like Canalsys, IDC, Gartner -- put out pap (methodologically and otherwise), do you know if this Localytics is an equally, if not more, credible outfit?
As to Sina Tech, what do you mean by 'votes'? Where? Some website? Is that supposed to be scientific?
The simple truth is, there is no basis for someone to say, as the original poster did, that "5C sales are TERRIBLE". That is pure, unadulterated nonsense. With a side of FUD.