Updated 24-inch iMac expected in 2024, 32-inch iMac in 2025
Apple's next update to the 24-inch iMac will occur in 2024, a famed analyst forecasts, as well as offering the prospect of a 32-inch model one year later.
24-inch iMac
Apple's 24-inch iMac is long overdue for an update, with it languishing on M1 chips when practically everything else in the Apple Silicon range has moved on to M2. In an update to predictions from TF Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, there may be a while longer to wait for an upgrade.
Posting to X on Tuesday, Kuo references a predictive tweet from March 2022 that claimed 2023 would be the year of the iMac Pro. In the latest posting referencing that tweet, Kuo instead offers a "New iMac prediction update."
In his prediction, he now says a 24-inch iMac refresh will occur in 2024. The tweet flies in the face of numerous rumors that a shipment in late 2023 was on the cards, but after the October event rumors resulted in the launch of just a new Apple Pencil, a 2024 release now seems more likely.
Kuo's comment correlates with Mark Gurman's October 15 claim that new MacBook Pro and MacBook Air lines running on M3 are at important stages of mass production, but won't surface until early 2024.
New iMac prediction update:
1. 24-inch iMac refresh in 2024.
2. Higher-end 32-inch mini LED display iMac in 2025. https://t.co/l7jzEecwZi-- (Ming-Chi Kuo) (@mingchikuo)
Kuo's posting also discusses the occasionally rumored large-screened iMac, with Kuo proposing a "higher-end 32-inch mini LED display iMac in 2025."
The 32-inch size has been mentioned before in reports, forecasts, and leaks, but 2025 is a little later than expected. For example, in July, Mark Gurman wrote that the model probably wouldn't surface until the end of 2024.
Read on AppleInsider
Comments
Please give us back the 27”…! A true flagship computer. I just don’t want to spend $1,500 on an Apple monitor, nor buy an ugly Samsung one…
ProDisplay XDR is $5000. Mac Studio base model is $2000. Hard to believe this thing will start at $7000. The ProDisplay XDR is an early version of a miniLED with only 656 FALD zones or so. If it is like the iPP12.9 or MBP14/16, it could have 40,000 zones. Imagine four MBP16 displays fused into one. Sounds expensive.
Even a regular 32" 6K LCD monitor is probably $3000, if it is available.
The iMac 24 also needs to have a base model at $1000.
when the iMac 5k came out, a 27” monitor was pretty big. And 5k did not exist. 4K was costly and yet Apple came out with a 5k monitor. Not only thst, but they had to invent new internal connectors to drive all those pixels as there was no standard way at the time. Apple was offering the 5k at launch with a novel display for an absolute steal.
Apple isn’t a PC OEM company which is another reason why it does cost more, all that research and development cost money. The OS and the hardware integration comes at a price.
Laptops and external display OLEDs haven't quite ridden the mass production of economies of scale just quite yet. Especially robust ones that can last 8 to 10 years. Maybe by 2024. And, Apple is the only one shipping miniLEDs in millions of units. My sense is miniLEDs cost 1.5x to 2x as much as regular LCD displays at the same ppi, and don't get the benefit of the rest of the market shipping more millions. Perhaps it is a chicken or egg problem, but there are reasons why there are very few PC OEMs using miniLEDs like Apple's. Cost has to be a big factor. Seems not paying Intel gives them an advantage there.
Anyways, regarding that 27" 5K display in the iMac 5K. It's been 10 years. The cheapest one you can get is the LG UF 27" 5K at still has $1300 MSRP after 6+ years, while Samsung's 27" 5K Viewfinity S9 has an MSRP of $1600. This are just regular 220 ppi LCDs with edge-lit monolithic back lights. There is some bigger gross margins in this LG and Samsung monitor prices, but they aren't miniLEDs either.
What's a 32" 220 ppi miniLED with 40k zones going to cost, then? It is both larger and use more advanced display tech and is less mass produced than these 27" 5K displays. Really can't see how such a display can be anything less than $3000? Maybe? An M3/4 Pro Mac mini base system would cost $1500?
So, it seems to me that a miniLED 32" 220 ppi (6K) iMac is going to have a very 2017 iMac Pro like price of $4500 to $5000. If it was a 27" 5K LCD, I can see base model prices starting at $3000.
Perhaps you can think of it this way. A MBP16 base model price is $2500. Now think of how much 3 more of those 16" miniLED displays is going to cost. $500 per 16" display? That would make it $4000. The issue with that is Apple sells 10s of millions of 16" miniLED. A 32" miniLED, would it even be a million across its lifetime? That means more expensive.
There's a bit of nuance, or perhaps a blaring detail, about Intel iMacs. Intel systems can be dirt cheap. Like $300 worth of parts cheap for CPU, RAM, and storage. That's what Apple put in their base model iMacs.
If you say Apple is going ship an iMac 27" 5K with M2, 8 GB RAM and 256 GB storage for $1800. I'd definitely say that it is possible. I don't think Apple is going to do that. I don't anyone should get it either.
If it is an M2 Pro, 16 GB RAM, and 512 GB of storage in an iMac 5K, it would be $3000. This would just be putting the $1300 M2 Pro Mac mini configuration, at $1300, into a ASD at $1600. That M2 Pro is binned too. The full M2 Pro Mac mini is a $300 upgrade option.