AT&T may hold on to exclusive iPhone deal until 2010

Posted:
in iPhone edited January 2014
In what may be a rare peek at negotiations between Apple and carriers, a prominent newspaper claims AT&T agreed to hefty iPhone 3G subsidies on the condition that it remained the lone US carrier for the handset until 2010.



Tucked away amid discussions of AT&T's pleased reaction to the iPhone's results, USA Today surprisingly mentions that the American cellular service provider didn't simply agree to switch from a monthly revenue sharing model to a heavily subsidized approach without first setting some conditions.



As struck before the original iPhone's launch, Apple's initial agreement for iPhone exclusivity had AT&T serve as the only US network for iPhones until 2009, or roughly two years after customers' contracts began. But to greenlight the subsidy -- which is described as "painful" and damaging in the short term -- AT&T allegedly insisted on an extension of the deal until 2010, when T-Mobile and other carriers could start offering the device.



The report explains that the deal very likely has its roots in AT&T's determination to hold on to its market share lead in a field where most every potential customer already owns a cellphone. As the only real choice for the company is to "steal" subscribers rather than attract completely new customers, the iPhone lineup is a bargaining chip that transfers customers from rival networks and keeps existing ones in line.



AT&T chief Randall Stephenson declines to speak about the terms of the contract but goes on record as acknowledging that reaching the magic $199 price point for the iPhone was a mutual imperative not just for himself, but for Apple co-founder Steve Jobs. Without a low-enough price, both top executives worried the iPhone would never hit the inflection point where it enters the mainstream.



"The $199 price point is where demand leaps," according to Stephenson. "This is going to bring in a whole new demographic."



Long-term revenue is also a concern for AT&T in particular, as an average iPhone 3G subscriber is estimated to pay about $100 per month for voice and data, or nearly double the $55 per month paid by most other subscribers. A longer exclusivity period gives AT&T a better chance at recouping the expensive subsidies through these high-value monthly plans.



Outside of recognizing the switch to a subsidized model with iPhone 3G, Stephenson's remarks have been consistent with the silence on terms from both Apple and AT&T, which have never publicly disclosed the length of time involved or the money exchanging hands. Until now, this has left analysts and even USA Today's own previous sources making tentative estimates or floating rumors that the agreement was to have lasted as long as five years, or enough to guarantee AT&T's exclusivity through 2012.



And while the newly suggested duration may provoke a reaction from customers of other US carriers, who may be learning that they could have had a fully sanctioned iPhone in just one year without the new deal in place, the 2010 termination for AT&T's grip on the cellphone may be convenient for Apple. AT&T and Verizon have both pledged to upgrade to the same 4G network standard in the same year, which may give iPhone buyers their choice of ultra high-speed mobile Internet access from multiple carriers.



Whatever the end date, Stephenson says AT&T is "very happy" with the results of its Apple partnership and that any immediate losses are part of a larger, calculated gamble that it believes will pan out.



"You don't [push forward] by making little incremental moves. You've got to make big moves," he explains. "You've just got to be right more than you're wrong."
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Comments

  • Reply 1 of 30
    SpamSandwichSpamSandwich Posts: 33,407member
    No iPhone for me for another 2 years.
  • Reply 2 of 30
    ipeonipeon Posts: 1,122member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by AppleInsider View Post


    Tucked away amid discussions of AT&T's pleased reaction to the iPhone's results, USA Today surprisingly mentions that the American cellular service provider didn't simply agree to switch from a monthly revenue sharing model to a heavily subsidized approach without first setting some conditions.



    What? There was a contract change? I thought the only change was that the iPhone was now half the price.



    I'm being sarcastic. Some here have argued to no end that there was no contract modifications. You know who you are.
  • Reply 3 of 30
    solipsismsolipsism Posts: 25,726member
    I think it was TenoBell that was saying that he thought the contract was not 5 years like Verizon's CEO mentioned Apple approached them with, but only 2 years. If it was someone else



    Quote:
    Originally Posted by iPeon View Post


    Some here have argued to no end that there was no contract modifications. You know who you are.



    I'm not following. If you change from revenue sharing to subsidy you are changing the contract. How can that be debated?
  • Reply 4 of 30
    justflybobjustflybob Posts: 1,337member
    So, exactly why is this "news"?



    If you bought the iPhone at the subsidized $199 or $299 price points, you also signed up with AT&T for two years.



    The iPhone 3G launched on July 11, 2008



    Two years from now, it will be.... (drum roll, please).....



    2010!



    Shear genius when it comes to big numbers, I tell ya!
  • Reply 5 of 30
    solipsismsolipsism Posts: 25,726member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by justflybob View Post


    So, exactly why is this "news"?

    If you bought the iPhone at the subsidized $199 or $299 price points, you also signed up with AT&T for two years.

    The iPhone 3G launched on July 11, 2008

    Two years from now, it will be.... (drum roll, please).....

    2010!

    Shear genius when it comes to big numbers, I tell ya!



    This has nothing to do with user contracts. This has to do with carrier to manufacturer contracts. Since not everyone who wants and iPhone bought one right away they desire for AT&T to extend the contract helps them maintain customers for up to two years AFTER the Apple contract ends.
  • Reply 6 of 30
    dluxdlux Posts: 666member
    Quote:

    AT&T and Verizon have both pledged to upgrade to the same 4G network standard in the same year, which may give iPhone buyers their choice of ultra high-speed mobile Internet access from multiple carriers.



    Does LTE require the SIM card as part of the spec? How will Verizon implement it among their existing customers?
  • Reply 7 of 30
    justflybobjustflybob Posts: 1,337member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by solipsism View Post


    This has nothing to do with user contracts. This has to do with carrier to manufacturer contracts. Since not everyone who wants and iPhone bought one right away they desire for AT&T to extend the contract helps them maintain customers for up to two years AFTER the Apple contract ends.



    I get that, Soli.



    It just seems to be ridiculous rehashing on what has been known for some time.



    It's as if AI is just throwing stuff up for us to rehash rather than providing real news.
  • Reply 8 of 30
    solipsismsolipsism Posts: 25,726member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by justflybob View Post


    I get that, Soli.

    It just seems to be ridiculous rehashing on what has been known for some time.

    It's as if AI is just throwing stuff up for us to rehash rather than providing real news.



    It wasn't known to all but a few and only assumed by a minority. Five years is what the majority (me included) thought it was because that is what Verizon said Apple approached them with and with the information provided it did seemed the most likely.
  • Reply 9 of 30
    shanmugamshanmugam Posts: 1,200member
    things will change when Verizon upgrade their network, period. it may be two years or three years.



    there is no other fish to catch for apple other than ATT. now att & apple in honeymoon period
  • Reply 10 of 30
    justflybobjustflybob Posts: 1,337member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by shanmugam View Post


    now att & apple in honeymoon period



    OK, so when does AT&T have to sleep on the couch?
  • Reply 11 of 30
    solipsismsolipsism Posts: 25,726member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by justflybob View Post


    OK, so when does AT&T have to sleep on the couch?



    I'd think AT&T gets the bed as Apple will be just be sleeping around for the next two years until it can admit to secretly having other relationships with other carriers.
  • Reply 12 of 30
    shanmugamshanmugam Posts: 1,200member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by justflybob View Post


    OK, so when does AT&T have to sleep on the couch?



    may be when Apple buy their own spectrum...
  • Reply 13 of 30
    NetShare is the best app in the Apps Store... But, am I the only one living in fear until my next ATT statement comes with a fine or a $3 Billion data usage charge??? I HATE ATT!!!
  • Reply 14 of 30
    jeffdmjeffdm Posts: 12,953member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by shanmugam View Post


    things will change when Verizon upgrade their network, period. it may be two years or three years.



    I think the fallback modes are where it falls apart. You know, when the "good" network isn't available except in the top 40 metro areas. First roll-out may be two or three years, but I would expect that to continue for a few years.



    I think I agree with another poster on the discussions, the length of the AT&T exclusivity has never been publicly confirmed by either AT&T or Apple. No amount of discussion and no number of newspaper articles or op-ed pieces is going to really solve it, my guess it's not going to be settled until the deal has ended.
  • Reply 15 of 30
    merdheadmerdhead Posts: 587member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Dlux View Post


    Does LTE require the SIM card as part of the spec? How will Verizon implement it among their existing customers?



    LTE requires a new phone so the SIM card is neither here nor there.



    Anyway, this is all a non issue, unless you're desperate to use T-Mobile for some reason and would be happy with 2G performance in that case. Apple will never support T-Mobile's 3G standard.



    LTE won't be out until at least 2010 when the other phone companies get onboard. so exclusivity contracts are largely moot.
  • Reply 16 of 30
    melgrossmelgross Posts: 33,600member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by justflybob View Post


    I get that, Soli.



    It just seems to be ridiculous rehashing on what has been known for some time.



    It's as if AI is just throwing stuff up for us to rehash rather than providing real news.



    Most news anywhere is just older news that people are interested in, with some new facts and conclusions. It's that most news is of continuing developments, major, and minor. Otherwise, the newspapers and other sources would be much leaner.
  • Reply 17 of 30
    melgrossmelgross Posts: 33,600member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by shanmugam View Post


    may be when Apple buy their own spectrum...



    Which will likely be never.
  • Reply 18 of 30
    melgrossmelgross Posts: 33,600member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by merdhead View Post


    LTE requires a new phone so the SIM card is neither here nor there.



    Anyway, this is all a non issue, unless you're desperate to use T-Mobile for some reason and would be happy with 2G performance in that case. Apple will never support T-Mobile's 3G standard.



    LTE won't be out until at least 2010 when the other phone companies get onboard. so exclusivity contracts are largely moot.



    I read somewhere that T-Mobile is changing to the same standard the AT&T is using. It looks as though the next generation, 4G, will be pretty much the same across carriers. That's when The iPhone can be moved around. I'm sure that Apple doesn't want to have more than one transmission standard, or different phone models for that.
  • Reply 19 of 30
    merdheadmerdhead Posts: 587member
    T-Mobile use the same 3G standards as ATT&T, but on a different frequency which is specific to the US. IT's very unlikely Apple would add a frequency for a single carrier.
  • Reply 20 of 30
    melgrossmelgross Posts: 33,600member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by merdhead View Post


    T-Mobile use the same 3G standards as ATT&T, but on a different frequency which is specific to the US. IT's very unlikely Apple would add a frequency for a single carrier.



    Different frequency makes it a different standard. But they are changing, or at least adding to it.
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