Apple revenues could catch Microsoft by 2010
Apple Inc. has a decent shot of outgrowing Microsoft Corp. within the next five years if it can keep churning out hit wonders, an extrapolation of revenue data from the two industry heavyweights has revealed.
An analysis at 10Layers points out that while both Microsoft and Apple have seen healthy revenue growth in the last 5 years, Apple is growing at a near exponential rate compared to Microsoft's linear path.
"Microsoft?s revenues have grown approximately 60 percent from just under $30B in 2002 to over $44B in 2006," the report states. "However, while Microsoft has grown linearly for this period, Apple has accelerated with revenues of just under $6B in 2002 growing to just under $21B in 2006."
For Apple, that represents an impressive 250 percent revenue growth.
In an attempt to predict the future growth rates of both firms, 10Layers compiled an extrapolation of Microsoft?s linear and Apple's almost exponential revenue growth from the past twelve months.
The pure extrapolation shows that Apple could catch up with Microsoft as early as 2010 or 2011, given the current growth rates.
"Of course, an extrapolation is just an attempt at predicting the future based on the past," the report states. "It is clear however, that it is likely that Apple will give Microsoft a run for their money."
An analysis at 10Layers points out that while both Microsoft and Apple have seen healthy revenue growth in the last 5 years, Apple is growing at a near exponential rate compared to Microsoft's linear path.
"Microsoft?s revenues have grown approximately 60 percent from just under $30B in 2002 to over $44B in 2006," the report states. "However, while Microsoft has grown linearly for this period, Apple has accelerated with revenues of just under $6B in 2002 growing to just under $21B in 2006."
For Apple, that represents an impressive 250 percent revenue growth.
In an attempt to predict the future growth rates of both firms, 10Layers compiled an extrapolation of Microsoft?s linear and Apple's almost exponential revenue growth from the past twelve months.
The pure extrapolation shows that Apple could catch up with Microsoft as early as 2010 or 2011, given the current growth rates.
"Of course, an extrapolation is just an attempt at predicting the future based on the past," the report states. "It is clear however, that it is likely that Apple will give Microsoft a run for their money."
Comments
If you pulled that data back another 10 years, you would have a totally different curve that would make even less sense. What is the variable that represents Steve Jobs?
(Hold's arms over head to ward off flying rebuttles
Apple's market share is 80% in the iPod world, without which that curve would look dramatically different.
Only in the most recent quarter has the iPod had the single greatest revenue share. Before that, it was always still Mac hardware. The next quarter will probably be stronger for Macs than for iPods again.
http://www.geekculture.com/joyoftech...hives/915.html
With the iphone, Mactel and continued iPod success, Apple could continue it's growth. Microsoft seems to have a hit a wall. How many versions of Office and Windows can consumers and corporations buy?
This would coincide quite nicely with the end of the Mayan calendar! 2012 marks the end of the Microsoft regime.
This sums it up.
http://www.geekculture.com/joyoftech...hives/915.html
Lepoard - $130, Vista - $100-$680, http://www.geekculture.com/joyoftech...hives/915.html Priceless!!!!
Of course its B.S. but the really interesting item in this article to me is the current state of things. With only 2-5% market share in the Computer world (I never know which number to actually use) Apple revenues are already 50% that of Microsoft. To me that shoots down the 'Apple has to increase market share' argument.
(Hold's arms over head to ward off flying rebuttles
A couple of problems with your comparison. Apple's big ticket item that has really pushed their revenues in the past 2-3 years is the iPod, not their OS or computers or whatever. Second, Apple is a hardware company, and, as such, make a ton more revenue/money on each sale then Microsoft, who's 95% a software company. Take out the computer revenues, and replace it with an estimate of revenues for the OS itself, and you'd see there really is a discrepency.
Of course, all that really needs to happen is for the masses to realize that the iPod is just an overpriced, out-of-style, piece of bling, and decide to move on to the next big thing (whatever that may be - and, no, its not going to be the iPhone). Then your talking one tanking stock...
But, yeah, it would be nice to see this idea again after Vista (and Leopard?) gets released. As much as we Mac fans love to jeer at it, the majority of computer owners don't really even care about OS X and will just upgrade what they've got.
100% BS. We COULD have flying cars by 2010, but we won't. To talk about the future and say what could happen is poor journalism.
For your information, the first flying car was prototyped around the close of 2009. That's all I can say without messing up your future.
Why even post junk like this?