charlesn

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charlesn
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  • Apple hampered its Siri ambitions by penny-pinching

    As with politics, it's important to remember that there's stuff that seems incredibly important and urgent "inside the Beltway," that turns out to be not so important and or even discussed in the rest of the country outside that bubble. Speaking as someone inside the tech bubble, I think Siri has pretty much been an unmitigated clusterf**k for the 15 years Apple has owned it. And yes, I see the failure to deliver the all new Siri it promised and heavily marketed as a serious black eye and embarrassment to the company, if not worse. I'm pretty much onboard with the outrage Gruber expressed. But outside the bubble? Hmmm, last time I looked at 2025 tracking of smartphone sales, iPhone models had 3 of the 5 top spots and 4 of the top ten. I honestly don't think the whole Siri thing has registered much if at all with mass market buyers. We're talking about delayed capabilities that no one has ever had before, so there's nothing to "miss." I'm not even sure this rises to the level of the Maps fiasco years ago and--in the overall scheme of iPhone's success and dominance--that turned out to be much ado about nothing. So the outrage over Siri will continue to churn here inside the Beltway, but anyone expecting Cook to be fired by the board or to step down is delusional. The Cult of Dead Steve has been praying for Cook to fail ever since October 5, 2011, to justify their deification of Jobs as the one and true god capable of leading Apple to success. Nearly 14 years later, Cook has now been at the helm longer than Steve was in his second stint at CEO, but the Cult of Dead Steve continues its vigil. At some point sooner than later, Cook will retire, and then they'll move on to hating his replacement and praying for an AI Steve. 
    Alex1Nmuthuk_vanalingam7omrSmittyWlolliver
  • Trump blinks: Floats suggestion that Apple might get a tariff exemption

    macgui said:
    ktappe said:
    SiTime said:
    Many iPhones are assembled in China, but iPhones are assembled in countries other than China as well. Apple can continue to ship iPhones from India (and elsewhere ex-China) to warehouses in America at the 10% tariffs rate during the 90-day pause. America can get the India (and elsewhere ex-China) assembled iPhones, while the China assembled iPhones can go to the rest of the world.
    India won't let it work like that. The phones assembled in India are for the Indian market. Indian laws (PLI, BIS, CRS) financially punish companies who import phones instead of making them in India. So Apple would run headlong into Indian tariffs while trying to avoid Chinese tariffs. 
    Really?

    Apple airlifts 600 tons of iPhones from India 'to beat' Trump tariffs, sources say

    NEW DELHI, April 10 (Reuters) - Tech giant Apple chartered cargo flights to ferry 600 tons of iPhones, or as many as 1.5 million, to the United States from India, after it stepped up production there in an effort to beat President Donald Trump's tariffs, sources told Reuters.
    The details of the push provide an insight into the U.S. smartphone company's private strategy to navigate around the Trump tariffs and build up inventory of its popular iPhones in the United States, one of its biggest markets.

    https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-airlifts-600-tons-iphones-india-to-beat-trump-tariffs-sources-say-2025-04-10/

    Apple may have had to pay India some additional fees but India allowed it. Maybe India also realizes what a dangerous bully-child Trump is. His art of the deal is paying less if anything at all than he previously agreed on. Contracts and legal obligation mean nothing to him. He learned this from dear old dad and had practiced it ever since. And MAGAs OK that. Until it's them in his crosshairs.
    Context is everything. This sounds like a big number, but... India manufactures about 14% of all iPhones. It is estimated that it could ramp up production an additional 20%, which means it could manufacture roughly 17% of all iPhones. Not even remotely close to what's shipped to the U.S. from China. Estimates are that 50 million iPhones are sold in the U.S. annually--so let's call it roughly a million a week. So what India just shipped is roughly a week and a half supply, on average. I have no data on the following, but to be fair, I would imagine that iPhone sales in the last 5 months of a new model's year aren't as strong as the first five months, so 1.5 million phones might last longer than the average this time of year. But without an exemption, Apple is still looking down the barrel of a gun, especially when it comes to ramping up for the iPhone 17. 
    watto_cobra
  • Trump blinks: Floats suggestion that Apple might get a tariff exemption

    SiTime said:
    Many iPhones are assembled in China, but iPhones are assembled in countries other than China as well. Apple can continue to ship iPhones from India (and elsewhere ex-China) to warehouses in America at the 10% tariffs rate during the 90-day pause. America can get the India (and elsewhere ex-China) assembled iPhones, while the China assembled iPhones can go to the rest of the world.
    It's not "many" iPhones assembled in China--it is the vast, vast majority. China has 80% of Apple's iPhone production capacity and 90% of all iPhones are assembled there. India, compared to China, remains a much more minor player at present and there simply is no significant amount of excess production capacity sitting idle there that Apple can simply turn on. Adding that capacity is a years-long process, but even if Apple could wave a wand and do it very quickly, why would they? Within 90 days or less, Trump could heavily tariff India again if it doesn't agree to what will likely be untenable trade terms that he'll offer and then Apple will be faced with the same problem. This is the business-killing issue with Trump--there's no rhyme or reason or discernible strategy to what he's doing, no predictability whatsoever, and businesses can't make long-term decisions and investments when they're flying blind. 
    muthuk_vanalingamilarynxsphericAlex_Vwatto_cobra
  • Trump blinks: Floats suggestion that Apple might get a tariff exemption

    9secondkox2 said: The status quo is not sustainable without ceding our economy and leading status in the world. 
    Really? Headline story from The Economist, Oct 2024: "The American Economy: The Envy of the World." Subhead: 
    "The American economy has left other rich nations in the dust." THAT was our economy's story six months ago. Record high stock market, strong GDP growth, near record low unemployment, no recession is sight and inflation steadily easing per the benchmarks set by the Fed. If by "status quo," you mean Trump's insanity that not only tanked the stock market, but rocked the market for US Treasuries as of yesterday--yes, I totally agree, THAT is not sustainable! Do you have ANY idea what happens if T-bills are no longer seen as such a safe haven and we have to start paying higher interest rates on them to attract buyers (as was happening yesterday) to finance our national debt and deficit spending? It's game over, my friend. Point, set, match--the US is screwed. But Trump and his staff are so incompetent, they hadn't thought that through and didn't see it coming until it happened. 

    And here's the thing: I would have no argument had Trump made a reasoned case to get better trade agreements with a tightly targeted set of countries. And then set about negotiations to make that happen, retaliating with tariffs if necessary. China would certainly lead that list. But what did he do? First, he prematurely tore up and refused to abide by the USMCA agreement that HE, himself, negotiated as a supposedly "much better deal" than NAFTA--in reality, it barely changed NAFTA, but whatever--and then he proceeded to knife both of our closest and most important trading partners in the back, no negotiations. But that was just the appetizer. Trump's main course was declaring a trade war on the entire world at once, including uninhabited islands, putting America in the untenable negotiating position of suddenly being alone as the global supervillain. If your goal is to drive better trade deals, and especially if your goal is to force China to the table, there couldn't be a more dumb and moronic way to go about that than turning the whole world against you at once, And that's exactly what Trump did. 

    Here in NYC, I've had a lifelong front row seat to Trump and none of this surprises me. This is who he has always been. An equal opportunity con man and grifter who has screwed over blue collar workers, investors, students to his bogus university, banks and even donors to his now legally shuttered Donald J. Trump Foundation charity. What kind of self-proclaimed multi-billionaire steals and spends charity donations on himself? It's mind-boggling to me that the aggrieved working class sees him as their savior, when he just sees them as an endless source of grift, shamelessly selling them literally anything from gold lamé high-tops to bibles to meme coins to watches, etc, etc. Like any good con man--and he may well be the best who ever lived--he talks a good game and sounds like he's on your side while he's turning you upside down and shaking the last coins from your pocket. Most if not all of the high profile billionaires in this country have built businesses of real significance of one type or another that have made many people rich and given many, many more people than that good jobs and comfortable lives. Trump has built nothing and done nothing to spread the wealth he has enjoyed, devoting his life only to the enrichment of himself and his family at the expense of everyone else he has screwed along the way. 
    thtdanoxmuthuk_vanalingamilarynxsphericwatto_cobra
  • Trump blinks: Floats suggestion that Apple might get a tariff exemption

    Even with its production diversification efforts in recent years, at least 90% of what Apple makes--and estimates go as high as 95%--still comes out of China. Any thought that Apple can turn on a dime and shift meaningful amounts of additional production to India or Vietnam for the next 90 days to avoid the crushing China tariffs is delusional. Manufacturing just doesn't work that way. And, of course, you have Trump's "Which way is the wind blowing today?" economic "policies," which make informed business decisions nearly impossible because there is no clarity, certainty or strategy about anything. He could pause the China tariffs tomorrow or maybe Apple gets an exemption or maybe Inida and Vietnam end up in the Trump doghouse 90 days from now because they didn't show sufficient fealty. Nobody knows. All we have is the pure, unadulterated id of a six-time serial bankruptcy filer who his own, hand-picked "best people" in his first term cabinet variously described as an idiot, a moron and an imbecile who was "off-the-rails" and had "the understanding of a third or fourth grader." And that's when they weren't calling him a fascist. We have a tantrum-throwing, know-nothing child at the wheel who is driving our economy and America off a cliff. 
    radarthekatssfe11muthuk_vanalingamdanoxwatto_cobra