twolf2919

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twolf2919
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  • ByteDance would rather shut down US TikTok than sell it

    I guess American companies are not capable of creating a competitive platform offering the same features? Don’t wait for this brain dead time-waster to be forced out, get its domestic replacement out there now, then shame, induce, or appeal to the “patriotism” of TTers to migrate over. Hell, Trump could single handedly move his sheeple over in days. 
    The problem isn't the development of a competitive platform, but the 'network effect' of having a large audience.  Does anyone remember Google Hangouts?  In purely technical respects, it was far superior to Facebook.  But it never took off because people won't move to it since their 'friends' are not on it.   Chicken/egg problem.  Facebook now faces much the same problem with Threads - the X/Twitter competitor.   While more successful than Google's Hangout - probably because it leveraged its Snapchat and FB audiences - it still hasn't taken out X/Twitter.
    muthuk_vanalingam
  • A quarter of Apple's revenue will come from Services by 2025

    dewme said:
    twolf2919 said:
    I think the article is incorrect in stating Apple has 2 billion active users - it has two billion active devices.  Big difference.
    Sure. What would you suggest as a more accurate measuring stick for number of users?

    I do understand the difference. Some people like me have many Apple devices. But other households share Apple devices like HomePods, Apple TVs, and even iPads between family members. They’re definitely extrapolating from the one somewhat deterministic data point to one that is far less deterministic. They could have been more clear about their size being an estimate or approximation, but with such a large magnitude number it may be irrelevant to identifying the scope of the opportunity for growth. 
    None of what you write is relevant.  There is no need to suggest a more accurate measure - the sentence written by the article's author would have been just as valid had they used the word 'devices' rather than 'users'.  But it would have been accurate.
    blastdoor
  • A quarter of Apple's revenue will come from Services by 2025

    I think the article is incorrect in stating Apple has 2 billion active users - it has two billion active devices.  Big difference.
    muthuk_vanalingamiOS_Guy80watto_cobra
  • Apple will crush the DoJ in court if Garland sticks with outdated arguments

    Well written analysis.

    Anti-trust laws clearly demand the government show the defendant to be a 'monopoly'.    US AG Merrit Garland himself defines monopoly as "the ability to set prices and exclude competition."    But clearly, before you can decide whether a company has these abilities, you have to define the market in which it supposedly has that ability - and that's where Garland is all over the map trying to obfuscate that in the only real market - that of smartphones - Apple clearly does NOT have a monopoly: worldwide it has only 20% of the market.  In the US, it's a bit over 50%.  And whether it's in the US or the rest of the world, Apple clearly doesn't have the ability to dictate prices - there are devices from $100 to $2000+ available in the market of smartphones.  And there are lots of companies selling them, so clearly Apple hasn't been able to exclude competitors!

    What the DOJ is  really objecting to is Apple's ability to design its hardware and software and its ability to dictate to  companies that it lets onto its devices how much access they get to the underlying capabilities.  But in a capitalist society, it should not be the government's business to make business or technology decisions.  Apple has been very successful  with its decision to sell their products as simple-to-use, secure, elegant, and performant devices that integrate seamlessly.  As its success indicates, Apple customers have wholeheartedly bought into this combination - why is the government siding with the supposed "competitors" - which are actually just software and accessory companies Apple allowed onto their platform in the first place?

    I am not suggesting Apple is perfect.  For instance, Apple did create an "app" market on its platform.  Its built-in apps should not get more access to the underlying platform than other apps attempting to provide the same features!  E.g. Apple's own Safari browser currently has access to Apple Pay, but I don't think Chrome or other browsers do (although I didn't actually check that).  The problem with the DOJ suing Apple on these grounds, is that it quickly becomes murky whether something is an "app" or a built-in operating system feature.   Using the same example of "Apple Pay", is that itself an app or a payment feature built into iOS?

    I agree with the author that the DoJ doesn't have a legal leg to stand on. The only thing the DOJ has going for it is the fact that judges - especially on the Supreme Court - are elderly folks (just like the politicians in Washington) with not a flimsy grip on the technologies they need to adjudicate over.

    teejay2012aderutterradarthekatBart Y40domiwatto_cobra
  • Apple will crush the DoJ in court if Garland sticks with outdated arguments

    Well written analysis of this ridiculous DoJ action.  But I think in one of your rebuttals to the DoJ claim regarding iPhone preventing 3rd-party apps  in messaging, you ignore a key phrase you even include yourself:  "from sending or receiving carrier-based messages,"  None of the apps you say have no problems being on iPhone - you point to WhatsApp - have the ability to send/receive *carrier-based message* - i.e. SMS/MMS.  At least as far as I know.

    roundaboutnowwilliamlondonmuthuk_vanalingamwatto_cobra