2014 Mac mini Wishlist

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  • Reply 881 of 1528
    MarvinMarvin Posts: 15,435moderator
    hmm wrote: »
    Considering the similarities between the hardware configurations of the mini and the 13", your chances of iris pro graphics are very high.

    The 13" only has Iris, not Iris Pro - Iris is half the speed. However, the quad-core mini tends to get the same CPUs as the entry 15" so I expect the second model could get Iris Pro. These CPUs are more expensive than the previous ones so if they do go for Iris/Iris Pro, they have to get a $100 price hike. The margins are too low otherwise. That's still ok though - $899 for Iris Pro + quad-i7 is pretty much the quad-i7 + 650M that people wanted for $999 in the past.

    Tim mentioned products would roll out into 2014, I guess the mini is the one that gets the raw deal. Although he did say during the presentation that all their products had been updated in time for the holidays. Maybe they don't consider poor little tiny Tim (the mini) part of their family, at Christmas.

    The mini will never be a model they pay much attention to. Unfortunately it is the worst of both - a low seller and low revenue. Customers immediately think that it's underpowered because of its size and there's no Apple displays cheap enough to pair with it and the peripheral prices are high.

    The mini has uses as a server but when you think about what a server does and the most popular OSes for it such as CentOS and Debian, these are systems that run with a tiny memory footprint and are designed to be stable for months on end. iOS is much better suited for this than OS X. The mini could easily be reworked into a high clock-speed A7 machine running iOS and sold as a cheap server. The UI is really lightweight and can run no problem at 320x480 so even if it needed remote desktop type control, this can be done very easily and managed remotely by an iOS device or Mac in a manner similar to the iOS simulator.

    I'm sure people still have the notion that Apple will always need an affordable desktop to offer but it's always about sales volume. If the sales aren't there, they drop the products because the sales indicate the needs and demands of the market. Maybe they'd miss out on switchers but the Macbook Air and even iOS devices are doing this job better.

    It's great to have the option of getting the same CPU in the $1999 MBP in an $899 desktop but I reckon the number of units would be around 150k per quarter. The average selling price of their desktops is around $1290. The cheapest iMac started at $1199 in 2012 up until November. To get an ASP of $1290, this means they had to be selling a fair amount of higher up models, likely the $1699 27" iMac.

    150k per quarter would contribute around $35m to their gross profit of $17b. I'd estimate the iMac contributes over $400m. There is only around $400-500m of gross profit from desktops. Their laptops account for 3x more.

    If a significant amount of the 150k are actually buying them to use as servers and not desktops, they can build them for $200-300 less. They might even manage to hit below $299 (think overclocked iPad mini with 4GB RAM, 128GB SSD with optional 2.5" storage and no display). It could even function as a basic desktop. The kind of desktop you buy for someone that needs to check email on a big screen and browse the web (without Flash) but would be best not getting any issues and needing support. Scaling would be a slight issue as monitors come in different shapes but they could say 16:9 1080p display optimal. They could allow USB support for storage and cameras. They could be able to stretch gross margins above 40% while still hitting a lower price.
  • Reply 882 of 1528

    No luck for a new Mac Mini.  My Mac Pro is so old that none of the new Apple software will run on it.  I can no longer afford to buy a new Mac Pro, so my only option is the Mac Mini.  I have a 30" Cinema Display, making an iMac pointless to buy when I already have a fantastic monitor.    I don't need a server.  I need a desktop that won't annihilate my budget and doesn't have a screen built in that I see no sense in paying additional for.  It's a little depressing being in the group of Mac users who aren't important enough to cater to.

  • Reply 883 of 1528
    marvfoxmarvfox Posts: 2,275member

    Just purchase what you can afford which is a refurbished MM and be done with it.

  • Reply 884 of 1528
    conrailconrail Posts: 489member
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by marvfox View Post

     

    Just purchase what you can afford which is a refurbished MM and be done with it.


    I'm guessing the new Mini (if it does continue) will be a radical change.  Most likely a sealed box like the AppleTV. Flash memory, no HDD options, and memory soldered to the board.  They will be able to reduce the size a good bit too.  I could see it being repositioned as a SOHO/home media server.  The digital hub of the post PC world.  It *might* even get the next generation 64 bit ARM processor, starting the transition away from bootcamp too.  

  • Reply 885 of 1528
    mjteixmjteix Posts: 563member

    @Winter, @hmm, @Marvin

     

    The quad-core Iris pro cpu in the entry level 15" MBP, is not that much more expensive than the quad-core in the current midrange/server Mac mini ($440 vs $378, and would still generate economy of scale with the 15" MBP). The problem lies with the entry level Mac mini:

     

    - moving from a $225 cpu (shared with the previous 13" MBP) to a $342 Iris cpu, is a much bigger step, and

    - it would involve a second motherboard for the Mac mini since Iris and Iris pro parts don't share the same socket, nor the same IOH

     

    FYI, Apple choosed to use HQ parts for all 15" MBPs while MQ parts would offer better performance at lower costs (for the models with dedicated graphics).

     

    So the problem for Apple is to find parts that share the same socket, so that they can manufacture a single motherboard for cpus appropriate to the entry level, the midrange and the server model. Like the following ones:

     

    http://ark.intel.com/compare/75027,75469,76087

     

    - Entry level:

    dual-core 2.80 Core i5-4200H, 47W, HD 4600 graphics, FCBGA1364, $257 (+$32 vs previous model)

    - Midrange model (same as the entry level 15" MBP):

    quad-core 2.00 Core i7-4750HQ, 47W, HD 5200 graphics, FCBGA1364, $440 (+$62 vs previous model)

    - Server model:

    quad-core 2.40 Core i7-4700EQ, 47W, HD 4600 graphics, FCBGA1364, $378 (same price, ECC RAM support)

     

    Apple could easily absorb the increase in cost, especially if they keep the ram/storage specs the same. All three models would offer a nice increase in performance over the Ivy Bridge versions.

  • Reply 886 of 1528
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    winter wrote: »
    Guess I'll be waiting a bit longer.

    I was a bit disappointed too. More so Mavericks found a flaw in my hard disk during install on my MBP. I currently have Mavericks running off an USB drive (which sucks) I will need to try recovering the disk today, but I think it is hosed pretty bad. The problem is I have to balance repairing this 2008 MBP (which really has several issues) or just buying a new machine.

    One good thing is that the laptops are far more reasonable now. I really had hopes for a cooler running Haswell based Mini with a GPU I could respect. Or an XMac type machine. Sadly we get neither. Worst yet barely a mention on line in forums or news sites.

    Talk about frustrated!!????????????????????????????????????????
  • Reply 887 of 1528
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    You have some interesting points here!
    Marvin wrote: »
    The 13" only has Iris, not Iris Pro - Iris is half the speed.
    That maybe so but it is still better than the base GPU in Haswell.
    However, the quad-core mini tends to get the same CPUs as the entry 15" so I expect the second model could get Iris Pro. These CPUs are more expensive than the previous ones so if they do go for Iris/Iris Pro, they have to get a $100 price hike. The margins are too low otherwise. That's still ok though - $899 for Iris Pro + quad-i7 is pretty much the quad-i7 + 650M that people wanted for $999 in the past.
    I wouldn't mind paying that much if the GPU delivers the results. Every indication so far is that the Iris GPUs do deliver. For years my biggest problem with the Mini has been GPU performance, Apple simply never offered a model that was worth the extra cash to purchase. The 2011 model with the discrete AMD GPU was too much of a joke to even think about.

    The thing here is Haswell combined with Mavericks changes the ball game considerably. Not only are the drivers vastly improved, but memory can be dynamically allocated to the GPU. This would vastly improve the capability of the Mini and would out the Mini in another performance category.

    Tim mentioned products would roll out into 2014, I guess the mini is the one that gets the raw deal. Although he did say during the presentation that all their products had been updated in time for the holidays. Maybe they don't consider poor little tiny Tim (the mini) part of their family, at Christmas.
    To which I would have to ask; what is the point? Waiting until the end of November would just kill sales throughout the holiday season.
    The mini will never be a model they pay much attention to. Unfortunately it is the worst of both - a low seller and low revenue. Customers immediately think that it's underpowered because of its size and there's no Apple displays cheap enough to pair with it and the peripheral prices are high.
    Well it has been under powered, that relates directly to the GPU which is extremely important to all modern operating systems and the services they support. The sad thing here is that Haswell has the thermal performance to address the GPU issue even if an uprated power supply is required, but sales are currently rolling over a cliff.

    As for customers part of the problem is marketing, walk into any Apple store and try to find the Mini. I really think the Mini was built for Apples third party resellers. This is why Apple has never even tried to present a rational configuration in their stores. Nobody in their right mind lays out +$600 for a computer and the attaches a +$800 monitor to it. Especially when the GPU in the machine has been less than wonderful.
    The mini has uses as a server but when you think about what a server does and the most popular OSes for it such as CentOS and Debian, these are systems that run with a tiny memory footprint and are designed to be stable for months on end. iOS is much better suited for this than OS X. The mini could easily be reworked into a high clock-speed A7 machine running iOS and sold as a cheap server. The UI is really lightweight and can run no problem at 320x480 so even if it needed remote desktop type control, this can be done very easily and managed remotely by an iOS device or Mac in a manner similar to the iOS simulator.
    These are points that are very valid! An A7 or better processor in a Mini type machine could make for a very nice SOHO type server. However I think yo underestimate how important RAM is for more advance server duties. Even so A7 should be able to address plenty of RAM.

    The thing here is A7 could be valuable for many traditional Mini duties beyond use as a server. It just doesn't have the performance to sit on today's desktops as a primary workstation.

    I'm sure people still have the notion that Apple will always need an affordable desktop to offer but it's always about sales volume. If the sales aren't there, they drop the products because the sales indicate the needs and demands of the market. Maybe they'd miss out on switchers but the Macbook Air and even iOS devices are doing this job better.
    I honestly believe that Apple needs an entry level machine. That could be a low end Mini or a laptop. My perspective has changed of late though. The problem is this, much of the really low end demand has gone to tablets and frankly for good reason, it is a segment that won't come back anytime soon. This has me believing that the only choice Apple has is to introduce a machine attractive to professional users, especially those professional users that balk at the Mac Pros price structure. I see more potential for a Mini with Haswell Iris Pro than I do for an entry level machine. I'd still go a step farther and build a machine with 4 RAM slots and a high performance SSD interface just like the rest of the Mac machines. The thing is with modern tech you might not need a bigger box, though you might have to give up rust based storage. I see this as very doable in the $900 to $1200 range. It would be a machine that is what many professionals need, a machine with lots of RAM and a respectable GPU.

    It's great to have the option of getting the same CPU in the $1999 MBP in an $899 desktop but I reckon the number of units would be around 150k per quarter. The average selling price of their desktops is around $1290. The cheapest iMac started at $1199 in 2012 up until November. To get an ASP of $1290, this means they had to be selling a fair amount of higher up models, likely the $1699 27" iMac.
    I think it was two years or so ago that somebody at Apple let slip that desktop sales have sucked and that even iMac sales where flat. Laptop sales have come close to 80% of all Mac sales. That means 20% of the sales went to desktop machines and the bulk of those are usually the iMac. So yeah sales haven't been all that great. Apple however has been complicit in making sure the Mini doesn't succeed in my mind. For years it shipped with too little RAM to even run Apples operation systems properly. Apple established the Minis reputation for being a poor value.

    It was interesting to hear some of the excuses, such as well go out and buy your own RAM which makes about as much sense as Ford telling somebody their transmissions suck, go out and buy a third party transmission. The other common complaint was that a proper amount of RAM from Apple cost to much. Thankfully Apple demonstrated with their own hardware, in the form of Mac Book AIR, the lie that RAM has to be expensive from Apple. AIR has been around in its current form for a couple of years now, yet the Mini still suffers from the same basic architecture of a decade ago and still represents poor value out of the box for running OS/X.
    150k per quarter would contribute around $35m to their gross profit of $17b. I'd estimate the iMac contributes over $400m. There is only around $400-500m of gross profit from desktops. Their laptops account for 3x more.
    Actually I wouldn't be surprised to find that the numbers have favored laptops even more. The advent of the iPads will likely change that in the future if you believe as I do that tablet capabilities are just getting to the point of being able to displace laptops. I see the proportion of Mac Sales changing in the future with desktops becoming a greater percentage of sales. Not more sales mind you just that the allure of laptops will go away. The only problem here is value, Apples desktop line up sucks in this respect and is the common reason why people express the opinion that they are forced into buying an Apple laptop.
    If a significant amount of the 150k are actually buying them to use as servers and not desktops, they can build them for $200-300 less. They might even manage to hit below $299 (think overclocked iPad mini with 4GB RAM, 128GB SSD with optional 2.5" storage and no display). It could even function as a basic desktop. The kind of desktop you buy for someone that needs to check email on a big screen and browse the web (without Flash) but would be best not getting any issues and needing support. Scaling would be a slight issue as monitors come in different shapes but they could say 16:9 1080p display optimal. They could allow USB support for storage and cameras. They could be able to stretch gross margins above 40% while still hitting a lower price.
    You are on a common path here because I honestly believe that the only other option Apple has for a Mini like machine is to go extreme low cost. The only way to do that is to go A7. Considering the integration here of what would likely be an A7D ( D for desktop) they could most likely build that PC into half the volume of the current Mini. By the way the D is a chip with more I/O, in this case USB and TB. One only has to look at the size of the chips and PCBs in the iPhone or iPad to realize that a slightly bigger board could integrate RAM and everything else required to make a "PC".
  • Reply 888 of 1528
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    No luck for a new Mac Mini.  My Mac Pro is so old that none of the new Apple software will run on it.  I can no longer afford to buy a new Mac Pro, so my only option is the Mac Mini.  I have a 30" Cinema Display, making an iMac pointless to buy when I already have a fantastic monitor.    I don't need a server.  I need a desktop that won't annihilate my budget and doesn't have a screen built in that I see no sense in paying additional for.  It's a little depressing being in the group of Mac users who aren't important enough to cater to.

    Obviously Apple has gone off the deep end with introductory Mac Pro pricing. I'm not sure what they where thinking in that respect, they seem to not realize that there is a wide array of "Pros" that use their hardware.

    Sadly your only other choice these days is to buy an Apple laptop and keep the lid closed. It is a really pathetic solution. Maybe something will come out in the next couple of months but I'm not hopeful it will be what we need.
  • Reply 889 of 1528
    winterwinter Posts: 1,238member
    I am not purchasing a refurbished Ivy Bridge mini because the HD 4000 is not that big of a jump from the HD 3000. I was not placing all my chips on if a new mini would be announced yesterday because last week I purchased Pokemon X and a 2DS so that has filled the void I was seeking for the time being. : P

    I am either looking for Iris 5100 or Iris Pro 5200 (more likely the former since it is closer to my budget, also I want flash storage and 128 GB will suffice for me although 256 GB would be better) or else I will wait to see if they update it for Broadwell.
  • Reply 890 of 1528
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    winter wrote: »
    I am not purchasing a refurbished Ivy Bridge mini because the HD 4000 is not that big of a jump from the HD 3000. I was not placing all my chips on if a new mini would be announced yesterday because last week I purchased Pokemon X and a 2DS so that has filled the void I was seeking for the time being. : P
    Yeah, I'm not sure about people that would recommend Ivy Bridge over Haswell if the person is interested in GPU performance. iris performance can be pretty interesting and really lays to rest many of the integrated GPU woes of the past.
    I am either looking for Iris 5100 or Iris Pro 5200 (more likely the former since it is closer to my budget, also I want flash storage and 128 GB will suffice for me although 256 GB would be better) or else I will wait to see if they update it for Broadwell.

    I'm with you on this one, I'm not sure why the Mini wasn't revved. It is perhaps the machine that could most benefit from Haswell.
  • Reply 891 of 1528
    winterwinter Posts: 1,238member
    There's a possibility they are indeed working on a smaller form factor and are saving it for a future release date. That does seem unlikely though. Just do a silent release already. Ah well... I will continue to follow the rumors.
  • Reply 892 of 1528
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    winter wrote: »
    There's a possibility they are indeed working on a smaller form factor and are saving it for a future release date. That does seem unlikely though. Just do a silent release already. Ah well... I will continue to follow the rumors.
    What rumors? This is the problem I've heard zip about the Mini, nothing at all about an upgrade nor a replacement. It is sad it is almost the end of the year.
  • Reply 893 of 1528
    frank777frank777 Posts: 5,839member

    While I'd like it ASAP, it does make sense to upgrade it alongside the new Display and Mac Pro in December.

     

    Despite the fact that it's good for the money, Apple's going to need something to deflect the $2999. Mac Pro price, and an upgraded $599. Mini (with perhaps a prosumer $999. model) might do the trick nicely. Otherwise, all we're going to hear on FaceBook and Twitter all day is how expensive Macs are.

     

    The only flaw in this thinking is if Apple decides that a more capable Mini is too much competition for the 21" iMac. Personally, I don't know why anyone still buys the 21", since the hardwired RAM and non-accessible HD shortens the life of the machine, which is supposedly for the budget-conscious. IMO, the 27" adds enough value (in screen size, RAM addition, graphics cards and expansion) to make up for the non-replaceable drive.

  • Reply 894 of 1528

    The problem I see is that Mac Mini shouldn't be in competition with iMac on any level.  They aren't the same.  iMac is an all in one, which is great if you don't already have awesome displays and see the built-in display in the iMac as pointless, and a waste of money.  The Mac Pro is a revolutionary design, with a huge price tag.  My Mac is long in the tooth and doesn't run any of the currently offered apps with the exception of iTunes.  I'm going to wait until the end of January.  If the Mac Mini isn't updated with the latest and greatest, I'm going to have to buy a current Mac Mini.  I'm two OS's behind now and can not upgrade.  

     

    I have to admit that being in this position is rather depressing.  There's no way I need an iMac, laptops also come with screens I don't need, and the Mac Pro is $3k+.  Apparently, I'm in a group of Mac users so inconsequential that Apple sees no reason to bother with us.  I liked Apple more when they weren't this massive company.

  • Reply 895 of 1528
    marvfoxmarvfox Posts: 2,275member

    Hopefully maybe a new Mac Mini will come out soon. The new Mac Pro is very expensive and a lot of people cannot afford to buy this now especially in this economy of ours.

  • Reply 896 of 1528
    winterwinter Posts: 1,238member
    wizard69 wrote: »
    What rumors? This is the problem I've heard zip about the Mini, nothing at all about an upgrade nor a replacement. It is sad it is almost the end of the year.

    This and other sites hoping that maybe something leaks. Then again there wasn't much said about the iMac and all of a sudden an update appeared.
  • Reply 897 of 1528
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Winter View Post



    There's a possibility they are indeed working on a smaller form factor and are saving it for a future release date. That does seem unlikely though. Just do a silent release already. Ah well... I will continue to follow the rumors.

    Think it will be black to match the apple TV/Mac Pro?

  • Reply 898 of 1528
    winterwinter Posts: 1,238member
    joelsalt wrote: »
    Think it will be black to match the apple TV/Mac Pro?

    I hope not as I like the silver and black color scheme. It matches my Oakland Raiders.

    On a serious note, I just saw that Iris 5100 is a 65% performance boost over the HD 4000. I wonder how much faster it is over the Intel HD 3000 and imagine if they offer an Iris Pro model for $800 or so. That would be awesome.
  • Reply 899 of 1528
    wizard69wizard69 Posts: 13,377member
    winter wrote: »
    I hope not as I like the silver and black color scheme. It matches my Oakland Raiders.

    On a serious note, I just saw that Iris 5100 is a 65% performance boost over the HD 4000. I wonder how much faster it is over the Intel HD 3000 and imagine if they offer an Iris Pro model for $800 or so. That would be awesome.

    Iris is nothing to sneeze at. There will be little reason for people to complain about integrate graphics for mainstream use.

    Beyond that I had a nasty thought as I pulled up this thread. I'm thinking this will have to be turned into a "2014 Mac Mini wish list". It is hard to believe how dry the rumor mill is of late.
  • Reply 900 of 1528
    Originally Posted by joelsalt View Post

    Think it will be black to match the apple TV/Mac Pro?

     

    Maybe red?

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