How and where Trump's new tariffs affect Apple

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in AAPL Investors edited April 3

President Trump's new tariffs go far beyond China, and hit every nation in the world. Here's how badly Apple has been hit, and where it has been struck globally.

Donald Trump holding up a signed document with visible text, standing against a backdrop of American flags.
Donald Trump's signed tariff plan - Photo credit CNBC



In February 2025, the Bank of America said that the impact of tariffs on Apple would be significant. Before the extent of the tariffs were announced, Bank of America estimated that they would mean Apple may have to raise iPhone prices by 10%.

Apple has yet to make any announcements about price changes. It might have attempted to swallow small increases in component costs, but it is unlikely to absorb these massive ones. The company has previously made a point of how it has kept the iPhone costs the same for years -- although only in the US.

That means it has borne at least some inflation costs mostly because of smart buys of commodities like DRAM and NAND, and also any added expense of new technologies being added to the iPhone. But those costs will continue to rise anyway, and the addition of tariffs may mean even Apple cannot avoid raising its prices.

Previously Apple was able to negotiate a tariff exemption during President Trump's first term, but as yet it has failed to do so again. So at present, Apple will have to pay the tariffs on everything it imports into the US.

And, there is some double-dipping involved, perhaps. An iPad assembled in Vietnam will also incur a cost for having a processor manufactured in Taiwan.

It should be clear that a TSMC processor made in Arizona would face no tariff, but materials imported to make those chips will be impacted. And, for now, it appears those chips are completed in TSMC's facilities in Taiwan, at least until the AMKOR finishing plant comes completely on line.

Taking each country's tariffs separately, though, this is what CNBC says Apple now has to pay for devices or components from each of its biggest supply regions.

China



China currently accounts for:


  • 80% of Apple's whole production capacity

  • Assembly of 90% of all iPhones

  • Assembly of 55% of Macs

  • Assembly of 80% of iPads



Overall, it's estimated that around 40% of all of Apple's suppliers are based in China. Tariffs that Apple will have to pay to import goods from these suppliers are immediately set to 34%.

India



Currently India assembles approximately 10% to 15% of iPhones, but has been expected to reach up to 20% by the end of 2025, helped by the country cutting import taxes for Apple and others.

Apple is now required to pay a tariff of 26% on imports from India.

Vietnam



Vietnam has benefited from an increase in investment from Apple, partly to avoid the expected tariffs, and partly to avoid overall US/China trade tensions. It has also been intended to reduce Apple's over-dependence on China as a single supply source.

Now, however, Apple will have to pay an import tariff of 46%. This will affect:

Other major countries



Apple produces some Macs in Thailand, which now has a 36% tariff. Malaysia also manufacturers the Mac, and is facing a 25% tariff.

The vast majority of processors in all Apple devices, though, are manufactured by Taiwan's TSMC. And imports to the US from Taiwan now have a 32% tariff.

The impact on Apple, and market sentiment



Analysts are starting to chime in on what they expect to see from these tariffs. Krish Sankar from TD Cowen believes that US sales account for about 31% of total revenues with about 75% coming from hardware products. He estimates that every 10% of tariffs would impact Apple's net income by about 3.5% in FY25 and FY26 EPS.

He also estimates that Apple will raise prices to offset tariffs, and estimates that every 10% of tariffs levied can be offset by an about 6% increase in product average selling price. Samik Chatterjee from JP Morgan has also come up with the 6% figure.

Analyst Daniel Ives from Wedbush calls the tariff plan "illogical," and "economic Armageddon" for the global economy, and specifically, the American consumer. Ives reiterates that when other countries are hit with tariffs, it's ultimately the American consumer that bears the entire brunt of the bill.

He still considers Apple a focus to own in a stock portfolio, but is expecting to see at least in the short term a 10% hit.

Trump's new tariffs immediately caused stocks in technology firms to fall. Apple saw the largest drop of any technology firm.

Apple's stocks fell almost 7.5% in extended trading as of 8 AM Eastern Time on April 3. It's not clear what the market sentiment will be when the market opens.

In comparison, Nvidia's shares dropped 4%, while Tesla lost approximately 4.5%. Amazon, Meta, and Google parent company Alphabet all lost between 2.5% and 5%, while Microsoft is down almost 2%.

Unless Apple stocks rebound during regular trading, this fall is the company's worst since September 2020. That was when the iPhone 12 launch was delayed because of COVID disruption.



Read on AppleInsider

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Comments

  • Reply 1 of 55
    I still can’t believe people voted for this moron. It’s sad to see the pathetic joke this once great country has become.
    ssfe11blastdoorAshburnJaiOh81MisterKitNickoTTmaggot777prairiewalkerronnpulseimages
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  • Reply 2 of 55
    TravisVtravisv Posts: 25member
    So much for a certain person donating a cool million to a certain persons fund and being welcomed into the "tent" and kissing the ring. Looks like T.C got the short end of the stick even with TSMC  build a fab for processors.
    JaiOh81maggot777ronndarbus69gavzateejay2012tdknoxjib12Strangerswilliamlondon
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  • Reply 3 of 55
    ssfe11ssfe11 Posts: 128member
    Doesn’t the US hardware account for only 20% of eps? Services which is about 35% of eps has no tariff. If Apple meets in the middle and absorbs half the tariff say 15-20% won’t it only be an impact of like 6-7% on eps? 
    ronnwilliamlondonred oakfb007radarthekathecalder
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  • Reply 4 of 55
    thedbathedba Posts: 811member
    TravisV said:
    So much for a certain person donating a cool million to a certain persons fund and being welcomed into the "tent" and kissing the ring. Looks like T.C got the short end of the stick even with TSMC  build a fab for processors.
    Didn't president "bone spurs" kill the CHIPS act signed by Biden that was to bring some microprocessor manufacturing back to the US?
    Is that plant still going on line in Arizona?

    Edit: Forget my question about the plant in Arizona. It's already on line as stated by Appleinsider back in January 8.  Malcolm Owen's article --> 

    TSMC's Arizona plant starts making a second Apple chip

    edited April 3
    gavzafb007radarthekatbadmonk
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  • Reply 5 of 55
    ssfe11ssfe11 Posts: 128member
    Maybe I’m missing something but Tim meeting with Trump and in Feb and then both announcing the 500b US investment has total exemption written all over it. Again am I missing something? Would welcome comments. 
    Wesley Hilliardpulseimagesjibhecalder
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  • Reply 6 of 55
    ssfe11ssfe11 Posts: 128member
    Also Apple is down the most because it was up the most lol. Simple stuff but the media needs headlines. Apple is actually doing the best of big tech selloff from ATHs but the media won’t tell you that. 
    Wesley Hilliardronnjas99teejay2012fasu51fb007hecalder
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  • Reply 7 of 55
    Mike Wuerthelemike wuerthele Posts: 7,004administrator
    ssfe11 said:
    Maybe I’m missing something but Tim meeting with Trump and in Feb and then both announcing the 500b US investment has total exemption written all over it. Again am I missing something? Would welcome comments. 
    You're missing the fact that the President said yesterday that there were no exemptions.

    And, you're missing that the $500 billion investment wasn't new investment, and instead was already-announced projects and business as usual.
    edited April 3
    blastdoorJaiOh81qwerty52muthuk_vanalingamdanoxronnpulseimagesroundaboutnowteejay2012tdknox
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  • Reply 8 of 55

    Mmm MAGA kool-aid, yummy! 

    Trump just took a thriving economy and flushed it down the toilet. We can hope it’s only a recession (economic promises kept 🤦‍♂️). He destroyed the value of millions of Americans IRA’s and upended the world order where America is seen as a two bit player. He has awoken sleeping giants in China and the EU. 

    There will be a huge backlash against American goods and services further torching our economy. This will bite Apple - hard.

    Largest destruction of Brand capital ever. The world no longer trusts us. 

    Thats just economics.

    But the MAGA Kool-Aid sure is tasty. 

    At what point do you wake up?

    blastdoorDAalsethAshburnJaiOh81MisterKitNickoTTrandominternetpersonmaggot777dewmeprairiewalker
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  • Reply 9 of 55
    DAalsethdaalseth Posts: 3,229member
    ssfe11 said:
    Maybe I’m missing something but Tim meeting with Trump and in Feb and then both announcing the 500b US investment has total exemption written all over it. Again am I missing something? Would welcome comments. 
    Trump has a long history, going back many decades, of agreeing to something and then stabbing the other party in the back. 
    JaiOh81NickoTTdewmedanoxronngavzacharlesnanonymousetdknox12Strangers
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  • Reply 10 of 55
    ssfe11ssfe11 Posts: 128member
    Mike thx for the reply and id like to respond however im missing something else…where is the reply button? Lol
    JaiOh819secondkox2
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  • Reply 11 of 55
    And the retribution/vengeance tour marches on…
    NickoTTmaggot777ronngavzatdknox12Strangers9secondkox2badmonk
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  • Reply 12 of 55
    qwerty52qwerty52 Posts: 371member
    Not to mention the lower sales in Europe if EU decides to raise retaliation import tariffs on USA firms . It means 20% higher prices for all Apple products. So the consumers in Europe then may decide to buy Galaxy phones, because the prices of them will be 20% lower than an iPhone
    ronntdknox12Strangers9secondkox2radarthekatbadmonk
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  • Reply 13 of 55
    nubusnubus Posts: 759member
    Citi expects a 9%-point negative impact on total gross margins for Apple. That is a direct 19% reduction which should be seen in stock price.

    The second hit is on revenue. With everything being more expensive, jobs being lost, and stocks dropping there will be less for discretionary spending.
    The full impact of the 2007-2009 Great Recession took 2 years to peak. A further 9 years for unemployment levels to come back down.
    This isn't visible today but could hurt Apple for years. The stock isn't priced for this.

    And finally we have the rest of the world. The Tesla boycott is obvious. With Trump naming Taiwan as a country it will be less socially acceptable in China to buy U.S. products. Apple should be able to do OK outside China as there are no strong non-U,S, alternatives. They will however have less to spend.
    DAalsethronntdknox9secondkox2
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  • Reply 14 of 55
    applesauce007applesauce007 Posts: 1,711member
    I thought only the finished Apple products were imported to the US.
    The parts should ship directly to the factories and bypass tarrifs.
    The only tariffs are for the final products imported to the US and Apple could absorb that or get it waived.
    Moreover Apple could have stocked up before the tariff announcements and the tariffs may be over before stock is depleted.

    So it is not sooo bad for Apple.

    The market makers are just messing with Apple stocks.


    Wesley Hilliarddanoxblastdoorronnteejay2012ssfe119secondkox2
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  • Reply 15 of 55
    Wesley Hilliardwesley hilliard Posts: 431member, administrator, moderator, editor
    I thought only the finished Apple products were imported to the US.
    The parts should ship directly to the factories and bypass tarrifs.
    The only tariffs are for the final products imported to the US and Apple could absorb that or get it waived.
    Moreover Apple could have stocked up before the tariff announcements and the tariffs may be over before stock is depleted.

    So it is not sooo bad for Apple.

    The market makers are just messing with Apple stocks.


    Nope, this is wrong. It's on all goods, parts, materials. Even if final assembly was in the United States, most of the iPhone parts and materials have to be sourced from elsewhere. The US just doesn't have the materials. This hits Apple no matter what and in a big way.
    danoxblastdoornubusronnroundaboutnowcharlesnteejay2012tdknox12Strangersbloggerblog
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  • Reply 16 of 55
    Mike Wuerthelemike wuerthele Posts: 7,004administrator
    I thought only the finished Apple products were imported to the US.
    The parts should ship directly to the factories and bypass tarrifs.
    The only tariffs are for the final products imported to the US and Apple could absorb that or get it waived.
    Moreover Apple could have stocked up before the tariff announcements and the tariffs may be over before stock is depleted.

    So it is not sooo bad for Apple.

    The market makers are just messing with Apple stocks.


    This is a bafflingly wrong take. One of the worst I've seen yet.

    As Wes already said, even raw materials get hit with the tariffs. Stock-ups on components like DRAM and NAND aren't in the US, they're in China and Taiwan. And, the processor for the iPhone 17 is only just now in the fabrication process.

    If you think that Apple is stocking up on the unreleased, unannounced iPhone 17, without chips, enclosures, or motherboards fabricated yet, I don't even know what to tell you.
    edited April 3
    blastdoordanoxnubusronnroundaboutnowteejay2012tdknox12Strangersbloggerblog
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  • Reply 17 of 55
    danoxdanox Posts: 3,636member
    I thought only the finished Apple products were imported to the US.
    The parts should ship directly to the factories and bypass tarrifs.
    The only tariffs are for the final products imported to the US and Apple could absorb that or get it waived.
    Moreover Apple could have stocked up before the tariff announcements and the tariffs may be over before stock is depleted.

    So it is not sooo bad for Apple.

    The market makers are just messing with Apple stocks.


    Apple is it a charity if you want to buy something from Apple, you better buy it within the next month because the price will be going up.
    neoncathecalder
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  • Reply 18 of 55
    nubus said: The full impact of the 2007-2009 Great Recession took 2 years to peak. A further 9 years for unemployment levels to come back down.
    Most likely outcome is a Depression due to the fact that it's so early in Trump's term AND that the GOP only has three tools in it's economic toolbox: tax cuts, deregulation and spending cuts. None of those things can effectively address significant economic downturns. 
    ronnnubusgavzateejay2012tdknox12Strangersmattinoz
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  • Reply 19 of 55
    Glad I bought a new iPhone and MBP in January as I knew this mess was coming.
     0Likes 0Dislikes 0Informatives
  • Reply 20 of 55
    thedbathedba Posts: 811member
    danox said:
    I thought only the finished Apple products were imported to the US.
    The parts should ship directly to the factories and bypass tarrifs.
    The only tariffs are for the final products imported to the US and Apple could absorb that or get it waived.
    Moreover Apple could have stocked up before the tariff announcements and the tariffs may be over before stock is depleted.

    So it is not sooo bad for Apple.

    The market makers are just messing with Apple stocks.


    Apple is it a charity if you want to buy something from Apple, you better buy it within the next month because the price will be going up.
    Yep! Get your iPhone 16 (any variation) now, because all iPhone 17’s are definitely going up. 
    Unless he backs down, like he would often do during his 1st term, but back then there may have been some adults supervising him. Now who’s going to go against him? JD? Marco?  They’re all YES MEN. 
    muthuk_vanalingamtdknox12Strangersbloggerblog9secondkox2hecalder
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