Apple's Chinese wind power partner linked to Uyghur forced labor programs

123468

Comments

  • Reply 101 of 143
    waveparticlewaveparticle Posts: 1,497member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught. No western scientist has found any of her words are incredible. A lot of consipervay story are coming out of the mouths of nonscientists. I would not trust them at all. 
  • Reply 102 of 143
    crowleycrowley Posts: 10,453member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    elijahg
  • Reply 103 of 143
    waveparticlewaveparticle Posts: 1,497member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    Tom Cotton and Pompeio has claimed virus is from the lab a year ago. Also nation security advisor and defense department. Have they ever relayed any convincing evidence? So the world does not need to investigate further? They don't. So these are just speculation and accusation. Why the world allow speculation and accusation to spread? 
    GeorgeBMac
  • Reply 104 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.

    Then some of the earliest cases of the virus occurred in the United States.   According to your logic that means we created it.   But then you were never big on logic -- or truth.   Just dogma.
  • Reply 105 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    Holy smokes George, I can can get that you may have been lead astray or convinced by the news you read, but even in your own warped world if you want to convince us then you're going to have to try.  Tell us something, ANYTHING other than diatribe.

    If you can't do that then you're just another loud mouth on the internet.  A moron.  Please prove me wrong, show me that you have something to back up your words.  An actual fact.  An actual news source.  Just one.
    George can tell the elephant story. 
    George would certainly fail at retelling elephant story.
    Can you tell him? How many elephants?

    It's a cute, even an interesting story.   But I find this one far more interesting:   The U.S. banned China from its so called "International Space Station" (so much for "international"!).  That forced China into building its own -- which is coming on line just as the American station is at the end of its life.   China is expected to open their station to international visits and research.   I wonder if they will let the U.S. in?   Would you?

    China space station: Shenzhou-12 delivers first crew to Tianhe module


    Rocket carrying the Shenzhou-12 spacecraft and three astronauts takes off from Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center

    Astronauts


    Again, no link to why the U.S. banned China's participation in the ISS;

    https://www.labroots.com/trending/space/16798/china-banned-international-space-station

    "The International Space Station is just that – a place where international space agencies can work together in an effort to accomplish common goals: better understanding outer space and how it impacts various processes, sciences, and the likes.

    More than a dozen different countries have visited the International Space Station since the first components reached outer space, including Russia, which boasts one of the most capable space agencies besides the United States. China, on the other hand, isn’t one of them. Despite its interests in collaborating on the International Space Station, China was officially barred from visiting by the United States in 2011.

    Initially, China’s five-year-old space agency was viewed as too young and inexperienced to offer any useful contributions to the International Space Station. Soon after the Chinese developed their own space stations and sent astronauts to space to visit them, it became clear that this wasn’t the case.

    Later, trust issues would become the source of the United States’ unwillingness to work with China on the International Space Station. Two matters of distrust, including the use of an anti-satellite weapon and the hacking of Jet Propulsion Laboratory intellectual property, purportedly fueled a bill passed in 2011 to ban China from the International Space Station.

    Even today, China isn’t allowed to visit the International Space Station, but other space agencies apart form NASA have expressed how they wouldn’t mind having China onboard. After all, it’s international collaboration that conceived the International Space Station in the first place, and with more brilliant minds in outer space, humanity could spring forward into the next era of technological advancements in space."


    The anti-satellite test;

    https://swfound.org/media/9550/chinese_asat_fact_sheet_updated_2012.pdf

    "The Space Debris Created by the Test

    The KKV collided with the FY-1C at a relative velocity of over 32,400 km/hr. Although there were no explosives on board the KKV, the force of the impact completely destroyed the satellite. In hypervelocity impacts such as this ASAT test, normally solid objects behave like liquids. Thus, the FY-1C and KKV effectively passed through each other, and the resulting cloud of debris fragments from each object continued largely in the same direction and velocity as before.

    Within minutes after the collision, the debris cloud started to spread around the satellite’s original orbit. Ten days after the ASAT test, the debris had spread throughout the entire orbit, resulting in a “ring” of debris around the Earth. Three years after the test, the debris has spread out even more, effectively covering much of LEO.

    As of mid-September, 2010, the U.S. military’s Space Surveillance Network (SSN) has tracked a total of 3,037 pieces of debris from this event, 97% of which have remained in orbit.Scientists estimate more than 32,000 smaller pieces from the event are currently untracked. The debris from the destruction of the FY-1C currently spreads from altitude as low as 175 km and as high as 3,600 km.

    This is the largest debris cloud ever generated by a single event in orbit.

    The Impact of the Test Debris on Operational Satellites

    According to Celestrak, on January 22, 2007, there were 2,864 active or inactive satellites in Earth orbit with known positional data.7 Of these, 1,899 pass through the regime now affected by the debris from the Chinese ASAT test—fully two-thirds of all payloads in Earth orbit.7 The first acknowledged maneuver to avoid a piece of debris from the Chinese ASAT test occurred on June 22, 2007, when flight controllers at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center briefly fired the thrusters on their TERRA satellite to avoid a seven percent chance of being struck the following day.8

    On October 10, 2007, a detailed analysis of the FY-1C debris being tracked predicted that just over six percent of the debris (136 pieces) will have reentered the Earth’s atmosphere by 2017 and 79 percent will still remain in orbit until about the year 2108.7

    Fuck China for that.


    So you can now return to your regularly scheduled kissing of Xi's ass.

    Again, the U.S. fucked up.   But you blame China.  

    LOL!

    Your'e cognitive dissonance is showing. since the fuckup is all due to China's actions.

    Hey, aren't those the same fuckers that casually allowed their Long March 5B to reenter earth's atmosphere.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-57045058

    Again, the U.S. fucked up.   But you blame China. 
    ... Then try to change the subject....     Pitiful...


  • Reply 106 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 

    It is unlikely that it will ever be pinned down.   And, at this point, why bother?  The only purpose seems to be to score political points.

    We should be focused on where the other 10 billion doses of vaccine that the world needs will be coming from -- but even that has become politicized.   And too, we should be working together to figure out how to prevent the next pandemic and how to identify it and control it if/when it happens.  But we're too busy pointing fingers at each other.  Personally, i think the wealthiest, most powerful nation on earth should stand up and serve as an example for the rest of the world instead of blame casting -- especially since it may be the one to blame.

    "Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, told state-owned tabloid the Global Times that attention should shift to the United States, which was slow to test people in the early stages of the outbreak, and is also the home of many biological laboratories.

    "All bio-weapons related subjects that the country has should be subject to scrutiny," he was quoted as saying.

    Commenting on the U.S. study on Wednesday, foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said it was now "obvious" the COVID-19 outbreak had "multiple origins" and that other countries should co-operate with the WHO."



  • Reply 107 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    LOL....  The WHO just finished that investigation and said a lab leak was "Highly Unlikely".

    It's a shame that doesn't fit with your dogma nor your hate for China.
  • Reply 108 of 143
    crowleycrowley Posts: 10,453member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    LOL....  The WHO just finished that investigation and said a lab leak was "Highly Unlikely".

    It's a shame that doesn't fit with your dogma nor your hate for China.
    It was delayed for months by Chinese obstruction, and was then largely populated by Chinese staff.  There is understandable scepticism of the veracity of that report.
    elijahgmuthuk_vanalingam
  • Reply 109 of 143
    crowleycrowley Posts: 10,453member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 

    It is unlikely that it will ever be pinned down.   And, at this point, why bother?  The only purpose seems to be to score political points.

    We should be focused on where the other 10 billion doses of vaccine that the world needs will be coming from -- but even that has become politicized.   And too, we should be working together to figure out how to prevent the next pandemic and how to identify it and control it if/when it happens.  But we're too busy pointing fingers at each other.  Personally, i think the wealthiest, most powerful nation on earth should stand up and serve as an example for the rest of the world instead of blame casting -- especially since it may be the one to blame.

    "Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, told state-owned tabloid the Global Times that attention should shift to the United States, which was slow to test people in the early stages of the outbreak, and is also the home of many biological laboratories.

    "All bio-weapons related subjects that the country has should be subject to scrutiny," he was quoted as saying.

    Commenting on the U.S. study on Wednesday, foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said it was now "obvious" the COVID-19 outbreak had "multiple origins" and that other countries should co-operate with the WHO.

    Do you honestly not see the contradiction between not thinking there's any point in finding out where the current pandemic originated while cheerleading efforts to figure out how to stop the next one?
    elijahggatorguy
  • Reply 110 of 143
    crowleycrowley Posts: 10,453member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.

    Then some of the earliest cases of the virus occurred in the United States.   According to your logic that means we created it.   But then you were never big on logic -- or truth.   Just dogma.
    None of that is verified, and even if they are all reports are of isolated cases; the first big cluster was in Wuhan, which indicates it as the epicentre.


    elijahgmuthuk_vanalingam
  • Reply 111 of 143
    crowleycrowley Posts: 10,453member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    Tom Cotton and Pompeio has claimed virus is from the lab a year ago. Also nation security advisor and defense department. Have they ever relayed any convincing evidence? So the world does not need to investigate further? They don't. So these are just speculation and accusation. Why the world allow speculation and accusation to spread? 
    Absolutely no one, zero people, have said that there is no need to investigate further.  Oh, apart from GeorgeBMac the PRC's fan club president, who doesn't think there is any point, we should just believe China.
    elijahgmuthuk_vanalingam
  • Reply 112 of 143
    waveparticlewaveparticle Posts: 1,497member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 

    It is unlikely that it will ever be pinned down.   And, at this point, why bother?  The only purpose seems to be to score political points.

    We should be focused on where the other 10 billion doses of vaccine that the world needs will be coming from -- but even that has become politicized.   And too, we should be working together to figure out how to prevent the next pandemic and how to identify it and control it if/when it happens.  But we're too busy pointing fingers at each other.  Personally, i think the wealthiest, most powerful nation on earth should stand up and serve as an example for the rest of the world instead of blame casting -- especially since it may be the one to blame.

    "Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, told state-owned tabloid the Global Times that attention should shift to the United States, which was slow to test people in the early stages of the outbreak, and is also the home of many biological laboratories.

    "All bio-weapons related subjects that the country has should be subject to scrutiny," he was quoted as saying.

    Commenting on the U.S. study on Wednesday, foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said it was now "obvious" the COVID-19 outbreak had "multiple origins" and that other countries should co-operate with the WHO.

    Do you honestly not see the contradiction between not thinking there's any point in finding out where the current pandemic originated while cheerleading efforts to figure out how to stop the next one?
    The logic is if we verified the virus is due to lab leak then we can figure out how to stop the next one? This logic is almost false. First, WHO report says the lab leak theory is least likely. Second, if it is due to lab leak, there are such labs in many nations. Lab leak could happen there. This is like nuclear reactor accident. One disaster happened in Chernoble. Other reactors around the world could have it. 
    GeorgeBMac
  • Reply 113 of 143
    waveparticlewaveparticle Posts: 1,497member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    Tom Cotton and Pompeio has claimed virus is from the lab a year ago. Also nation security advisor and defense department. Have they ever relayed any convincing evidence? So the world does not need to investigate further? They don't. So these are just speculation and accusation. Why the world allow speculation and accusation to spread? 
    Absolutely no one, zero people, have said that there is no need to investigate further.  Oh, apart from GeorgeBMac the PRC's fan club president, who doesn't think there is any point, we should just believe China.
    What I said is Tom Cotton and Pompeio already said they have ample 'evidence'. Why don't we first start the investigation from these two people. They HAD ample evidence. 
    GeorgeBMac
  • Reply 114 of 143
    crowleycrowley Posts: 10,453member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    Tom Cotton and Pompeio has claimed virus is from the lab a year ago. Also nation security advisor and defense department. Have they ever relayed any convincing evidence? So the world does not need to investigate further? They don't. So these are just speculation and accusation. Why the world allow speculation and accusation to spread? 
    Absolutely no one, zero people, have said that there is no need to investigate further.  Oh, apart from GeorgeBMac the PRC's fan club president, who doesn't think there is any point, we should just believe China.
    What I said is Tom Cotton and Pompeio already said they have ample 'evidence'. Why don't we first start the investigation from these two people. They HAD ample evidence. 
    Obviously I put the same or less stock in the opinions of Trump sycophants than I do in the PRC's propaganda machine.  Neither of them are significant.
    muthuk_vanalingamgatorguy
  • Reply 115 of 143
    waveparticlewaveparticle Posts: 1,497member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    Tom Cotton and Pompeio has claimed virus is from the lab a year ago. Also nation security advisor and defense department. Have they ever relayed any convincing evidence? So the world does not need to investigate further? They don't. So these are just speculation and accusation. Why the world allow speculation and accusation to spread? 
    Absolutely no one, zero people, have said that there is no need to investigate further.  Oh, apart from GeorgeBMac the PRC's fan club president, who doesn't think there is any point, we should just believe China.
    What I said is Tom Cotton and Pompeio already said they have ample 'evidence'. Why don't we first start the investigation from these two people. They HAD ample evidence. 
    Obviously I put the same or less stock in the opinions of Trump sycophants than I do in the PRC's propaganda machine.  Neither of them are significant.
    Thank God! They are no longer in office. Although they still have supporters as long as they have no political power they cannot do any more harm to American people. 
  • Reply 116 of 143
    elijahgelijahg Posts: 2,824member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 

    It is unlikely that it will ever be pinned down.   And, at this point, why bother?  The only purpose seems to be to score political points.

    We should be focused on where the other 10 billion doses of vaccine that the world needs will be coming from -- but even that has become politicized.   And too, we should be working together to figure out how to prevent the next pandemic and how to identify it and control it if/when it happens.  But we're too busy pointing fingers at each other.  Personally, i think the wealthiest, most powerful nation on earth should stand up and serve as an example for the rest of the world instead of blame casting -- especially since it may be the one to blame.

    "Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, told state-owned tabloid the Global Times that attention should shift to the United States, which was slow to test people in the early stages of the outbreak, and is also the home of many biological laboratories.

    "All bio-weapons related subjects that the country has should be subject to scrutiny," he was quoted as saying.

    Commenting on the U.S. study on Wednesday, foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said it was now "obvious" the COVID-19 outbreak had "multiple origins" and that other countries should co-operate with the WHO.

    Do you honestly not see the contradiction between not thinking there's any point in finding out where the current pandemic originated while cheerleading efforts to figure out how to stop the next one?
    The logic is if we verified the virus is due to lab leak then we can figure out how to stop the next one? This logic is almost false. First, WHO report says the lab leak theory is least likely. Second, if it is due to lab leak, there are such labs in many nations. Lab leak could happen there. This is like nuclear reactor accident. One disaster happened in Chernoble. Other reactors around the world could have it. 
    So if you tripped over and smashed your nose, you wouldn't then investigate the reason you tripped? Resulting in you tripping over and smashing your nose again, and again and again because you had neglected to tie your laces, but you didn't know because you didn't investigate? That's "almost" stupid logic. Wait no, it is stupid logic, logic that can only be entertained by someone with a vested interest in defending the CCP. Every industry investigates when something goes wrong, but China wouldn't let independent investigators in - they wouldn't hand over data and they only allowed investigations months later, ensuring they had time to cover everything up.

    The WHO which is funded mostly by the Chinese and staffed by the Chinese makes their report less than reliable. Yes, there are such labs in many nations. Yes, "lab leak could happen there". No, serious lab leak has not happened there, and through learning from the possible Chinese lab leak would make leaks in other labs less likely. The reason another Chernobyl hasn't happened is because investigations after-the-fact, (investigations you and George seem to think are pointless) discovered serious process errors. Much like they could in Wuhan, but the CCP (and you and George) thinks the CCP can do no wrong. I suppose you both think the crackdowns in Hong Kong are a-ok too?

    Oh and remember right at the start of the pandemic, the CCP tried to silence the doctor who put his life on the line to notify the world of a respiratory illness that the CCP was trying to cover up, back in November 2019.

    The sooner the world moves away from China for manufacturing the better - cutting off the umbilical cord of revenue will cause the Chinese regime to collapse, it never would have survived this long without the vast funds injected from the West.
    muthuk_vanalingam
  • Reply 117 of 143
    waveparticlewaveparticle Posts: 1,497member
    elijahg said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 

    It is unlikely that it will ever be pinned down.   And, at this point, why bother?  The only purpose seems to be to score political points.

    We should be focused on where the other 10 billion doses of vaccine that the world needs will be coming from -- but even that has become politicized.   And too, we should be working together to figure out how to prevent the next pandemic and how to identify it and control it if/when it happens.  But we're too busy pointing fingers at each other.  Personally, i think the wealthiest, most powerful nation on earth should stand up and serve as an example for the rest of the world instead of blame casting -- especially since it may be the one to blame.

    "Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, told state-owned tabloid the Global Times that attention should shift to the United States, which was slow to test people in the early stages of the outbreak, and is also the home of many biological laboratories.

    "All bio-weapons related subjects that the country has should be subject to scrutiny," he was quoted as saying.

    Commenting on the U.S. study on Wednesday, foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said it was now "obvious" the COVID-19 outbreak had "multiple origins" and that other countries should co-operate with the WHO.

    Do you honestly not see the contradiction between not thinking there's any point in finding out where the current pandemic originated while cheerleading efforts to figure out how to stop the next one?
    The logic is if we verified the virus is due to lab leak then we can figure out how to stop the next one? This logic is almost false. First, WHO report says the lab leak theory is least likely. Second, if it is due to lab leak, there are such labs in many nations. Lab leak could happen there. This is like nuclear reactor accident. One disaster happened in Chernoble. Other reactors around the world could have it. 
    So if you tripped over and smashed your nose, you wouldn't then investigate the reason you tripped? Resulting in you tripping over and smashing your nose again, and again and again because you had neglected to tie your laces, but you didn't know because you didn't investigate? That's "almost" stupid logic. Wait no, it is stupid logic, logic that can only be entertained by someone with a vested interest in defending the CCP. Every industry investigates when something goes wrong, but China wouldn't let independent investigators in - they wouldn't hand over data and they only allowed investigations months later, ensuring they had time to cover everything up.

    The WHO which is funded mostly by the Chinese and staffed by the Chinese makes their report less than reliable. Yes, there are such labs in many nations. Yes, "lab leak could happen there". No, serious lab leak has not happened there, and through learning from the possible Chinese lab leak would make leaks in other labs less likely. The reason another Chernobyl hasn't happened is because investigations after-the-fact, (investigations you and George seem to think are pointless) discovered serious process errors. Much like they could in Wuhan, but the CCP (and you and George) thinks the CCP can do no wrong. I suppose you both think the crackdowns in Hong Kong are a-ok too?

    Oh and remember right at the start of the pandemic, the CCP tried to silence the doctor who put his life on the line to notify the world of a respiratory illness that the CCP was trying to cover up, back in November 2019.

    The sooner the world moves away from China for manufacturing the better - cutting off the umbilical cord of revenue will cause the Chinese regime to collapse, it never would have survived this long without the vast funds injected from the West.
    No, I support full investigation without necessarily a deadline. Further, any accusation should be included. Including China's accusation of a US lab. Do you support too? 
  • Reply 118 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    LOL....  The WHO just finished that investigation and said a lab leak was "Highly Unlikely".

    It's a shame that doesn't fit with your dogma nor your hate for China.
    It was delayed for months by Chinese obstruction, and was then largely populated by Chinese staff.  There is understandable scepticism of the veracity of that report among us ChinaHaters.
    Finished that for you

  • Reply 119 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.
    Of course. The truth has to be verified scientifically not politically. The world is very patient waiting for the scientists to find the origin of HIV. Nobody else is entitled to jump to conclusion before science. 
    The world has also been more than patient in waiting for China to comply with health investigations.  The fact (see George!) that they haven't is inviting people to jump to conclusions.
    The world has to wait until the pandemic is over. China is still focusing its efforts in fighting covid-19. The impatient people has other motives. China knows. Shi, the central figure in WIV just gave an interview with New York Times. Have you seen it? 
    Yes.  But she's hardly a reliable source, she has an interest in the lab leak theory being discredited.  And since China is blocking any independent investigation of the lab, it's just a single, compromised opinion. 

    It took a WHO investigation to expose last time (oh yeah, this isn't the first time) a Chinese labs leaked a highly contagious virus (oh my gosh George, another link!)
    She is a scientist. For the whole history of science, there is no scientist that make false scientific claims without being caught.
    That seems very unlikely.
    Tom Cotton and Pompeio has claimed virus is from the lab a year ago. Also nation security advisor and defense department. Have they ever relayed any convincing evidence? So the world does not need to investigate further? They don't. So these are just speculation and accusation. Why the world allow speculation and accusation to spread? 
    Why?
    That's how propaganda works to spin up big lies and spin up the gullible in a population.   Hitler did it.   Trump did it.   And so did Tom Cotton, Pompeo and Obrien.

    It's twisting reality to support their agenda.   But it's not reality.

    edited June 2021
  • Reply 120 of 143
    GeorgeBMacGeorgeBMac Posts: 11,421member
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    crowley said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    tmay said:
    crowley said:
    The possibility of this virus having an origin outside of China is an infinitely small number, and the epidemiological data does not support any origin outside of China. The fact that China spent such a high level of effort in Wuhan and the Huawei province to mitigate the spread of the virus, while the rest of the world was basically unaware of it, is telling.

    It absolutely did not originate in the U.S.
    ...

    Really?  You sure about that?
    Then how did it show up here at the same time that it showed up in China?

    The fact that China identified it and alerted the world to it while it took us a year to identify those earliest cases (using stored blood samples from research studies) doesn't change anything.  As in so many things, they were just better at it than us.

    No, that doesn't mean that it originated here just as it doesn't mean it originated in China.  it could have originated anywhere and traveled to both places - it is a very global world.   The fact that China was the only one to identify it and alert the world does not, in itself, mean that it originated there.

    The U.S. may be right that we need a Phase 2 to better identify where it came from -- but perhaps that phase 2 study should start in the U.S.
    https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19

    31 Dec 2019

    Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, China, reported a cluster of cases of pneumonia in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A novel coronavirus was eventually identified.

    1 January 2020

    WHO had set up the IMST (Incident Management Support Team) across the three levels of the organization: headquarters, regional headquarters and country level, putting the organization on an emergency footing for dealing with the outbreak.

    4  January 2020

    WHO reported on social media that there was a cluster of pneumonia cases – with no deaths – in Wuhan, Hubei province. 

    5 January 2020

    WHO published our first Disease Outbreak News on the new virus. This is a flagship technical publication to the scientific and public health community as well as global media. It contained a risk assessment and advice, and reported on what China had told the organization about the status of patients and the public health response on the cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.

    10 January 2020

    WHO issued a comprehensive package of technical guidance online with advice to all countries on how to detect, test and manage potential cases, based on what was known about the virus at the time. This guidance was shared with WHO's regional emergency directors to share with WHO representatives in countries. 

    Based on experience with SARS and MERS and known modes of transmission of respiratory viruses, infection and prevention control guidance were published to protect health workers recommending droplet and contact precautions when caring for patients, and airborne precautions for aerosol generating procedures conducted by health workers. 

    12 January 2020

    China publicly shared the genetic sequence of COVID-19. 

    13 January 2020

    Officials confirm a case of COVID-19 in Thailand, the first recorded case outside of China.  

    14 January 2020

    WHO's technical lead for the response noted in a press briefing there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of the coronavirus (in the 41 confirmed cases), mainly through family members, and that there was a risk of a possible wider outbreak. The lead also said that human-to-human transmission would not be surprising given our experience with SARS, MERS and other respiratory pathogens. 


    First case in U.S., as originally reported by the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan 31, 2020

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider."
    He traveled to the U.S. from Wuhan on Jan 15. 
       
    What exactly are you unable to understand about timelines?

    What do not understand?  The part of that timeline you leave out.

    You seem unable to read the link;

    "On January 19, 2020, a 35-year-old man presented to an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington, with a 4-day history of cough and subjective fever. On checking into the clinic, the patient put on a mask in the waiting room. After waiting approximately 20 minutes, he was taken into an examination room and underwent evaluation by a provider. He disclosed that he had returned to Washington State on January 15 after traveling to visit family in Wuhan, China. The patient stated that he had seen a health alert from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) about the novel coronavirus outbreak in China and, because of his symptoms and recent travel, decided to see a health care provider.


    Apart from a history of hypertriglyceridemia, the patient was an otherwise healthy nonsmoker. The physical examination revealed a body temperature of 37.2°C, blood pressure of 134/87 mm Hg, pulse of 110 beats per minute, respiratory rate of 16 breaths per minute, and oxygen saturation of 96% while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed rhonchi, and chest radiography was performed, which was reported as showing no abnormalities (Figure 1). A rapid nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) for influenza A and B was negative. A nasopharyngeal swab specimen was obtained and sent for detection of viral respiratory pathogens by NAAT; this was reported back within 48 hours as negative for all pathogens tested, including influenza A and B, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, and four common coronavirus strains known to cause illness in humans (HKU1, NL63, 229E, and OC43).

    Given the patient’s travel history, the local and state health departments were immediately notified. Together with the urgent care clinician, the Washington Department of Health notified the CDC Emergency Operations Center. Although the patient reported that he had not spent time at the Huanan seafood market and reported no known contact with ill persons during his travel to China, CDC staff concurred with the need to test the patient for 2019-nCoV on the basis of current CDC “persons under investigation” case definitions.8 Specimens were collected in accordance with CDC guidance and included serum and nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens. After specimen collection, the patient was discharged to home isolation with active monitoring by the local health department.



    On January 20, 2020, the CDC confirmed that the patient’s nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs tested positive for 2019-nCoV by real-time reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) assay. In coordination with CDC subject-matter experts, state and local health officials, emergency medical services, and hospital leadership and staff, the patient was admitted to an airborne-isolation unit at Providence Regional Medical Center for clinical observation, with health care workers following CDC recommendations for contact, droplet, and airborne precautions with eye protection.9



    It didn't take a year to diagnose that first patient, it took a single day. 

    How you are unable to comprehend that is beyond me. 





    Let me explain it to you again:   the part you left out is that the first cases in the U.S. have now been identified back into December 2019 -- the same time they arose in China.   And, it is likely there were other cases in other countries at the same time.   There's no good way to know where this virus arose -- or even when.

    Sorry if that disrupts your "China is the root of all evil" story.
    The HIV virus outbreak happened in SF in the 80s. But its source is traced tback o Africa. 
    There wasn't an immune-deficiency disease research lab in San Francisco in the 80s that I know of.
    The HIV outbreak shows that the place that happens does not necessarily be the origin. 
    Of course not. But if there’s lava in the street then the obvious assumption will be that it’s from the nearby volcano, and evidence is required to prove otherwise.

    Then some of the earliest cases of the virus occurred in the United States.   According to your logic that means we created it.   But then you were never big on logic -- or truth.   Just dogma.
    None of that is verified, and even if they are all reports are of isolated cases; the first big cluster was in Wuhan, which indicates it as the epicentre.



    The NIH of the United States verified that we had early cases here at the same time China did - in 2019.
    "Big Cluster"?   If you fail to test (like we failed to do) then you don't get "big clusters" -- till its too late to hide -- again like happened here -- on BOTH coasts.  

    Why did the U.S. refuse to initiate testing till the pandemic was ravaging the country?   The rest of the world was testing while we were stumbling and fumbling about -- with our own president openly claiming that he was keeping cases down by keeping testing down.
    Of the two, it looks like it was the U.S. doing the coverup.
Sign In or Register to comment.