Blu-ray vs. HD DVD (2007)

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  • Reply 3821 of 4650
    marzetta7marzetta7 Posts: 1,323member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Walter Slocombe View Post


    http://www.highdefdigest.com/news/sh...on_Mounts/1105



    Are Weinstein about to jump onto Blu-ray?







    Nothing from them since June and the official line is "We aren?t commenting on our High-Def plans at this time"



    I think it is going to happen. I think some retailers will also take notice of the data this week as well.



    5 Reasons Why Retailers Should Invest in Blu-ray







    We can only hope studios like Paramount and Universal will wise up and also see the reasons above...but alas, Microsoft's $$$ might be the only thing they're seeing.
  • Reply 3822 of 4650
    marzetta7marzetta7 Posts: 1,323member
    Nielsen/VideoScan Numbers ending October 21th



    http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/questex/hom102807/



    WE: BD-51% HDD-49% YTD: BD-65% HDD-35% SI: BD-61% HDD-39%
  • Reply 3823 of 4650
    marzetta7marzetta7 Posts: 1,323member
    Blu-ray Wins with Video Quality



    http://www.dvdfile.com/index.php?opt...k=view&id=6326



    Quote:

    When I was particularly impressed with 20th Century Fox?s return to Blu-ray Disc, I noted that the video CODEC for each is AVC. I then vaguely recalled that many of the discs that impressed me were also compressed using the AVC CODEC. So I thought it might be interesting to correlate CODEC type against video quality rating for those discs that I?ve reviewed to see if there was anything to be learned. Since I began reviewing HD on disc in the spring of 2006, I believe I?ve accumulated a sufficiently large enough sample to identify valid trends (assuming they exist).



    From this little analysis, I might learn a few other things. I was curious to discover whether or not my ratings were consistent and reliable. Since I routinely watched (and continue to watch) broadcast HDTV, I had a baseline of experience, but HD discs are so impressive compared to DVD that I might have given HD discs in early reviews a higher rating than they deserved simply because I was so initially impressed. If that had happened, after I became accustomed to the look of HD discs, my ratings would have dropped off.



    I was also interested to see if, as the production houses became more accustomed to the compression tools, and as advanced CODEC tools came on line, if there had been an improvement in the quality of the transfers.



    But perhaps the most contentious question is whether there is any statistically noticeable numerical difference in the video ratings between HD DVD and Blu-ray Disc. As you can imagine, I?ve received quite a few emails from readers who disagree with my expressed preference for Blu-ray Disc, which I find offers a more film-like presentation. I?ve written that the best of BD looks better than the best of HD DVD and I?ve suggested that the differences in bit rate and storage capacity are the technical reasons why. As a result, I?ve been accused of blatant prejudice.



    So I gathered the video ratings and CODECs from all my reviews, dumped the data into an Excel spreadsheet, and began to analyze. And the results are . . . interesting.



    A plot of the raw data is difficult to read because of the variability, so I calculated a moving average with a sample size of three, but although the curves became a lot easier to read, the plotted values are distorted. I also ran a linear regression of the data for each format. To put technobabble aside, a linear regression is simply a way of fitting the numerical data to a straight line approximation. The slope or tilt of that line represents a trend.



    The resulting graph reveals several interesting things. First, for the most part, BD seems to have scored higher than HD DVD in video quality. Second, the trend analysis seems to indicate that BD is improving (the trend line indicates that during the review period its score improved by 0.76 video points), while HD DVD had a slightly negative quality trend (losing 0.12 video points on its trend line). But Blu-ray Disc?s quality trend may not be an indicator of a dramatic improvement in the skills of compression houses; it?s more likely a consequence of the early use of MPEG-2 and single layer discs. Once Blu-ray Disc?s capacity doubled and advanced CODECs dominated, such a dramatic improvement should be inevitable. It?s nice to see that the analysis demonstrates an expected result.







    Now, one could argue that I gave HD DVD lower ratings from bias, but I can assure you that?s not the case. I simply report what I see. One could also argue that my HD DVD scores dropped slightly as I experienced the video quality of Blu-ray Disc. That is possible. Regardless, the differences in my perceptions of the two formats remain valid. So even if HD DVD had improved over time, Blu-ray Disc must have improved more.



    MPEG-2 was used for early BD releases and was used for a small handful of HD DVDs, but the real CODEC workhorses for HD on disc are VC-1 and AVC. And when I calculated the average video ratings for BD and HD DVD for both CODECs, here?s what I found:





    CODEC HD DVD Blu-ray Disc

    VC-1 8.39 8.81

    AVC 8.43 8.96





    Several findings are of particular interest. First, regardless of the format, the AVC CODEC seems to produce a more pleasing presentation than the VC-1 CODEC. Second, regardless of CODEC, Blu-ray Disc seems to offer a more pleasing presentation than HD DVD. Third, the differences between the appearance of transfers compressed with the two CODECs are more noticeable on Blu-ray Disc than on HD DVD, suggesting once again that BD is more revealing. Admittedly, the original data points are based on purely subjective assessments, but I?m confident that the data are representative of accurate observations rather than bias.



    When DVD was young and some studios were issuing discs in non-anamorphic video, there were respected reviewers who took the position that since most people did not have displays capable of the anamorphic squeeze that non-anamorphic discs should be the norm. Those writers objected to anamorphic DVDs because they were reviewing discs on non-anamorphic displays; for a 4:3 display, DVD players throw away every third scan line of an anamorphic transfer to restore proper proportions, which reduces video resolution. What they saw was real, but theirs was an incredibly short-sighted position. When those same reviewers purchased displays capable of the anamorphic squeeze, they suddenly flipped their positions. They became anamorphic video advocates and complained whenever a studio resurrected a non-anamorphic laserdisc master for a DVD release. What, you may ask, does this have to do with the subject matter at hand?



    My point is this. I recommend that consumers support the highest possible quality HD disc format to ensure that when they eventually purchase a sufficiently revealing display, the quality of the discs will maximize the enjoyment factor. Consumer electronics (and PCs) have a wonderful tendency to offer more for less over time. Average HD-ready display prices are dropping. Average HD-ready display performance is improving. Within five years, most of you will purchase displays that will reveal the subtle differences between Blu-ray Disc and HD DVD. I humbly suggest that your dollars should be invested in the format that is more able to deliver a viewing experience that comes closest to the motion picture theater experience.



    And I would be remiss if I didn?t suggest to the studios that if the AVC video CODEC produces better results, perhaps that would be the better choice for future releases.



    Some HD DVD proponents will interpret this article as prejudiced support for Blu-ray Disc. In response, I can only write that I report simply what I observe, and I have no vested interest in either format other than a desire to maximize my and your enjoyment of home theater. Let the flames begin.



    Addendum



    Some readers still don?t accept my suggestion that BD produces a better presentation than HD DVD. One wrote to accuse me of bias, would not believe the technical reasons that BD is potentially a better format than HD DVD, said that he could no longer trust me, and he would leave the site forevermore. I wished him well and further hoped that he could find a site that didn?t share my ?bias.? For that writer and others who expressed a desire for a more inclusive statistical analysis, one that would include other sites, I?ll offer external data. I?m reluctant to report these scores since the displays used for the reviews range from direct view CRTs to LCD flat panels to a very few high-end displays. So I?m not confident in the quality of the displays, nor, with one exception, am I familiar with the judgments of the writers. But, I think it?s safe to assume that differences between the two formats may be valid, even if I?m not comfortable with the absolute scores. So by popular demand, here are some numbers based on many hundreds of reviews from other sites. (Notes: the scores were normalized to our zero to ten scale; and, the greater BD to HD DVD differences were earned on better displays.)





    Site Average Video Score BD Average Video Score HD DVD

    HiDef Digest 7.94 7.78

    Home Theater Spot 8.14 7.88

    DVD Talk 7.94 7.28

    Upcoming Discs 8.06 7.96

    Home Theater Forum 8.56 7.80

    Average of the Averages 7.88 7.68





    Please note that every single site scored BD video quality higher than HD DVD. So if I?m biased, I guess I?m not alone.



    Some readers observed correctly that while the BD camp implemented advanced video CODECs and abandoned the legacy CODEC, in the HD DVD camp Universal seemed to be cranking out quantity rather than quality. So, readers pointed out that the shape of my BD curve was due to the abandonment of MPEG-2 and the implementation of AVC. All true, but I suggest that this does not alter the overall video quality ratings. Let?s first limit our consideration to two very recent blockbuster releases that were both compressed with the AVC video CODEC and should have received very careful transfers: Paramount?s Transformers and Fox?s Fantastic 4: Rise of the Silver Surfer. (Once again, the scores have been scaled to our zero to ten video rating.)





    Site

    Transformers

    HD DVD Video Score Silver Surfer

    BD Video Score

    DVDTOWN 8.0 10.0

    DVDfile 9.0 10.0

    HiDef Digest 9.0 9.0

    AV Forum 9.0 10.0

    Average 8.75 9.75





    Please note that for these very recent and very carefully prepared HD discs, BD outscored the HD DVD.



    But we can expand our view beyond two titles. Limiting myself to DVDfile?s video scores, let?s take a look at the ten discs in each format that were compressed with the AVC video CODEC and earned the highest video ratings in our review database:



    N=20

    Percentage of discs with video score of:

    10.0 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.0

    BD 20 30 0 0 0

    HD DVD 0 0 30 10 10



    Please note that BD outscores HD DVD; in fact, all the best BD scores are greater than the best HD DVD scores.



    Now, let?s take a look at the top eight discs in each format that were compressed with the VC-1 video CODEC (I couldn?t manage ten each since I only have eight BDs compressed with VC-1).



    N=16



    Percentage of discs with video score of:

    10.0 9.5 9.0 8.5

    BD 0 3.13 9.38 12.5

    HD DVD 0 50 0 0



    Please note that all these BDs compressed with the VC-1 CODEC are from Warner Home Video. So these transfers were compressed for the space limitations of HD DVD and then re-authored for BD. This is a difficult comparison to interpret. However, please note that the highest VC-1 score in either format is lower than the highest AVC score for BD. This reinforces my previous suggestion that the AVC CODEC produces a more film-like presentation that the VC-1 CODEC.



    Several readers have written to ask which titles in each format I consider the best I?ve reviewed. They expressed the wish to make the comparison themselves to see if they can reproduce my findings or refute them. I?m about to list those titles, but before I do, I must remind everyone that not all players and displays are equivalent. Both print magazines and websites devoted to hardware reviews routinely evaluate and score visual quality in both sources and displays. Their experiences and my own are similar. Some components are not as revealing as others. So with that in mind, here are my top picks for video quality:



    HD DVDs in alphabetical order (the discs that scored 9.5):



    Aeon Flux

    Batman Begins

    Chronicles of Riddick

    Corpse Bride

    King Kong

    The Matrix

    One Six Right

    Phantom Of The Opera

    Seabiscuit

    Terminator 3



    One was compressed with MPEG-2; the rest were compressed with VC-1.



    BDs in alphabetical order (the discs that scored 10):



    Black Book

    Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy

    Pirates of the Caribbean

    Fantastic 4: Rise of the Silver Surfer

    Tekkonkinkreet

    Ultraviolet



    One was compressed with MPEG-2; the rest were compressed with AVC.



    Departing Thoughts



    Not final thoughts, simply departing thoughts . . . I?m sure the debate is not over.



    The one aspect I could not yet find time for is a multi-site analysis of how the CODEC affects the video scores. That may have to wait for a later time.



    And I?m still baffled by the few readers who cannot accept the technical explanation that a higher bit rate and less compression for any given CODEC will produce a better image. Sony?s Superbit DVDs demonstrated very clearly that less compression and a higher average bit rate produces a better looking video transfer. Why doesn?t that experience with MPEG-2 convince skeptics that similar improvements will occur with VC-1 and AVC on HD discs?



    But for now, I hope this enhanced analysis answers most of your questions.



  • Reply 3824 of 4650
    frank777frank777 Posts: 5,839member
    Oh Heaven please help us. Now Marz has taken to posting actual Blu posters.
  • Reply 3825 of 4650
    emig647emig647 Posts: 2,455member
    HAHAHA, s'cause he's ran out of stuff to post himself. I think of his 907 posts, 90% are in blu-ray vs hd-dvd
  • Reply 3826 of 4650
    tenobelltenobell Posts: 7,014member
    I would take a third option.



    Blu-ray and HD-DVD are ultimately killing each other as DVD sales flatten. DVR's, VOD, and Digital downloading grow more popular. Neither Blu-ray or HD-DVD will gain mainstream traction in the market.
  • Reply 3827 of 4650
    onlookeronlooker Posts: 5,252member
    I can not believe you guy's are so dedicated to this freaking thread.
  • Reply 3828 of 4650
    bitemymacbitemymac Posts: 1,147member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by emig647 View Post


    HAHAHA, s'cause he's ran out of stuff to post himself. I think of his 907 posts, 90% are in blu-ray vs hd-dvd





    Are you sure it's only 90%?...



    I'm just curious why he does what he does. I think he deserves a free PS3 from Sony for all the leg work and the love he has for the product he doesn't even own. I do admire his enthusiasm, however.
  • Reply 3829 of 4650
    hmurchisonhmurchison Posts: 12,431member
    I hereby bestow Marzetta7 with an Honorary Marketing Degree from the University of Washington. His tireless efforts and tenacity in pushing Blu-ray is unparalleled. He has more than earned this Degree.



    Congrats Marzetta7! You've earned it.



  • Reply 3830 of 4650
    bitemymacbitemymac Posts: 1,147member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by TenoBell View Post


    I would take a third option.



    Blu-ray and HD-DVD are ultimately killing each other as DVD sales flatten. DVR's, VOD, and Digital downloading grow more popular. Neither Blu-ray or HD-DVD will gain mainstream traction in the market.



    This is the direction Sony will push the market to.... or atleast will try. It's obvious PS3 is not gaining traction in the gaming console market and that would only point to death of the format, and will try to drag the competitior down with it.
  • Reply 3831 of 4650
    bitemymacbitemymac Posts: 1,147member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by hmurchison View Post


    I hereby bestow Marzetta7 with an Honorary Marketing Degree from the University of Washington. His tireless efforts and tenacity in pushing Blu-ray is unparalleled. He has more than earned this Degree.



    Congrats Marzetta7! You've earned it.







    +1
  • Reply 3832 of 4650
    onlookeronlooker Posts: 5,252member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by bitemymac View Post


    This is the direction Sony will push the market to.... or atleast will try. It's obvious PS3 is not gaining traction in the gaming console market and that would only point to death of the format, and will try to drag the competitior down with it.



    Now that I'm reading this crap again all I can say is what a crock that is. How the hell is sony draging it down? There are more Blu-Ray sales, more Blu-Ray studios, and more people making, and buying Blu-Ray disks, and It's Sony /or/ Blu-Ray draging it down? Think again.
  • Reply 3833 of 4650
    bitemymacbitemymac Posts: 1,147member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by onlooker View Post


    Now that I'm reading this crap again all I can say is what a crock that is. How the hell is sony draging it down? There are more Blu-Ray sales, more Blu-Ray studios, and more people making, and buying Blu-Ray disks, and It's Sony /or/ Blu-Ray draging it down? Think again.



    The blu-ray gains are evolved around PS3's in the market. Therefore, death of the gaming console format would point to death of blu-ray HDM format as well in the long run. The result of viral marketing has already damned the HDM market as a whole, but this will continue.



    BTW.... are we getting HDM playback with Leopard?... Any word on this?
  • Reply 3834 of 4650
    cory bauercory bauer Posts: 1,286member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by marzetta7 View Post


    Blu-ray Holds Off Transformers Blitz



    http://www.blu-ray.com/news/?id=618



    I told you the 190,000 number Paramount was attempting to tout didn't compute. 115,000 is much more like it. Regardless, this is HUGE blow to HD DVD. IMO, with this size of a blockbuster, HD DVD doesn't deserve to exist in that it can't even beat Blu-ray for the week. I think the HD DVD backed studios will take note of this, and make the necessary changes going forward. At the very least, Warner has got to be seeing this, and thus seeing the writing on the wall for HD DVD.



    As a Mac user, I would think that you would be able to understand that the team with the lesser percentile isn't forced to pack up and go home. So long as HD DVD maintains a 30% or greater share of the market, dual-format players will become the standard and no one will win.



    Quote:

    However, it was by a very small margin. 51% was Blu-ray and 49% HD DVD. Many also believes that the number where effected by Disney's "Buy 1 Blu-ray title and get 2" campaign which was launched (and ended) last week.



    Source | - This isn't a presidential election; the guy with 49% doesn't "lose" anything significant.
  • Reply 3835 of 4650
    cory bauercory bauer Posts: 1,286member
    Oh, and the $198 HD DVD player is officially here for the holidays. If these sell well, one can expect to see HD DVD's numbers start to creep back up next year. Right now the "format war" is pretty much just PS3 owners versus guys who bought standalone HD DVD players when they were still expensive.
  • Reply 3836 of 4650
    frank777frank777 Posts: 5,839member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Cory Bauer View Post


    Oh, and the $198 HD DVD player is officially here for the holidays. If these sell well, one can expect to see HD DVD's numbers start to creep back up next year. Right now the "format war" is pretty much just PS3 owners versus guys who bought standalone HD DVD players when they were still expensive.



    Wow. Boxing Week may actually see me pick up one of these. And I hate Boxing Week shopping.





    I'm with Bite on his question. Enough with the stats.



    Can we have some input on Leopard's HD status tonight?

    Somebody's gotta have Leopard and the HD-DVD add-on. Check it out for us!
  • Reply 3837 of 4650
    I pretty much agree that both camps will soldier on for a long time yet and weekly sales figures don't matter that much. However, if one format maintains a 2 to 1 figure for a significantly long enough time it might have an impact on the choice of those people who, while not consumers, are what I would call late-adopters when it comes time to buy into a system.



    Microsoft announced numbers yesterday. The gaming arm, which is a black hole for bleeding money, showed some positive increase because of Halo.



    This brings up a point about the so called failure of the PS3; what's really needed to give it a quick start for gamers is some killer games.



    I saw an article about how Sony in Europe is trying to reposition the PS3 not just as a game machine but as the center of the home's entertainment center for all your downloads, movies, .mp3s and also games.



    Low priced players are always nice for the early adopters. but player price is only one factor along with lack of media, high price of media, low number of HD TVs in homes (18.1%) and the general confusion of competing formats.
  • Reply 3838 of 4650
    What I've found most funny is the drama queen dialog.



    Apparently HD-DVD experiences "devastating blows" every other week. Not to mention the semi-frequent creation of new make-or-break sales "benchmarks" they have to meet, less they bear yet another crushing catastrophe in the face of Blu-ray's awesome path of destruction, sending HD-DVD into life support (again and again). Reaching a new verge of extinction with every Nielsen report... each one proving they're SO obviously close to death... any second now they'll croak. I swear. No, really they will.



    Then when the "dust clears" and it's obvious that nothing has really changed, they move onto the next "test". They can't commit to or point to any actual signs of HD-DVD death, so they just indefinitely proclaim one big victory after another, week to week, imaginary benchmark after imaginary benchmark, press release after press release, feeding their self-fulfilling prophecy and living for the day when they hope to finally see a sign of an ACTUAL chink in the armor so they can finally proclaim, "Ah ha! See, I was right all along!"



    They should just put up the "Mission Accomplished" banner already so we can move on with reality... Or don't, because this has been pretty funny.
  • Reply 3839 of 4650
    bitemymacbitemymac Posts: 1,147member
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by OldCodger73 View Post


    Over on the AVS BD forum there are a number people very upset with Amazon over its handling of the Kubrick October 23 releases. A few people received their pre-orders, but for most the shipping date was pushed back several weeks and for some into December. Mine was changed to November 7. This was unacceptable so I canceled the order and bought it at a nearby Best Buy. It ended up costing an additional $2.00 over Amazon's price, but at least I had the disc. The problem is obviously at Amazon's end as BB had plenty of copies of all the Kubrick titles.



    Did any of you HD-DVD people pre-order any of the Kubrick discs from Amazon or are those the type of movies that don't appeal to Transformer fans? Were they shipped promptly?



    I was at my local Circuit City looking for 2001 and Shining. I was hoping to get another B1G1 deal on the HD-DVD's which many have been able to get with promotional code 02 at the cashier. However, I did not see any of the Kubrick releases on HD-DVD or Blu-Ray. I'll stop by BestBuy tomorrow and see if I can find 2001.
  • Reply 3840 of 4650
    frank777frank777 Posts: 5,839member
    I can't believe that Leopard's been out for 5 hours now, and no one has verified whether it has HD-DVD or BR support.



    It's Friday night. What else are Mac geeks supposed to be doing?
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